ATL: ZETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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stormlover2013

Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1161 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:24 pm

yep, struggling the YUC did it's job.
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bella_may
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1162 Postby bella_may » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:30 pm

Looks like it’s ramping up again
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1163 Postby ClarCari » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:33 pm

Ok per the SAT loop I can’t call it struggling but rather a hiccup. It has more healthy features now than before landfall. The convection is displaced atm, but considering the rest of the system is very well structured, I can’t see this not popping over night.
The Gulf coast really needs to be aware not just bc of future intensity but especially because of it’s size and pretty even structure now which means impacts could be almost equally dangerous across the whole system.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1164 Postby bella_may » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:36 pm

The NAM and GFS are showing 80-90mph wind gusts fit coastal and southeastern/southwest Alabama. They’re telling us to expect power outages
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1165 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:42 pm

stormlover2013 wrote:
bella_may wrote:Looks like it’s ramping up again




that's what you want to believe because its coming ur way lol

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_GULF/anim8ir.html



Looks like its starting to ramp up.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1166 Postby aspen » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:43 pm

This needs to develop at least some convection in the next 6-12 hours if it even wants to survive. It looks like a low end, dying TS. It can’t last without any new healthy convective bursts.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1167 Postby BYG Jacob » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:44 pm

Looks etratropical
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1168 Postby underthwx » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:44 pm

stormlover2013 wrote:
bella_may wrote:Looks like it’s ramping up again




that's what you want to believe because its coming ur way lol

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_GULF/anim8ir.html


Hopefully the land interaction will cripple the storm until landfall...
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stormlover2013

Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1169 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:50 pm

underthwx wrote:
stormlover2013 wrote:
bella_may wrote:Looks like it’s ramping up again




that's what you want to believe because its coming ur way lol

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_GULF/anim8ir.html


Hopefully the land interaction will cripple the storm until landfall...


it does look sub-tropical
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ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1170 Postby Sanibel » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:50 pm

Pressure is still good at 985...All depends if that good structure re-fires I guess...
Last edited by Sanibel on Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1171 Postby underthwx » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:50 pm

BYG Jacob wrote:Looks etratropical

Epislon had that same big swirl look to it if I recall correctly, however I make no comparison between zeta and epsilon, other than they both had that similarity in appearance for a time in their individual "lifetimes"...
Last edited by underthwx on Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1172 Postby Frank P » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:51 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
stormlover2013 wrote:
bella_may wrote:Looks like it’s ramping up again




that's what you want to believe because its coming ur way lol

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_GULF/anim8ir.html



Looks like its starting to ramp up.


I see a little hot tower trying to fire off SW of the core! Convection in the north quad starting to thicken a tad too!
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1173 Postby tiger_deF » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:52 pm

New tower going up on the west of the CDO, first tower of white/purple intensity since Zeta moved off the coast
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Steve
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1174 Postby Steve » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:53 pm

aspen wrote:This needs to develop at least some convection in the next 6-12 hours if it even wants to survive. It looks like a low end, dying TS. It can’t last without any new healthy convective bursts.


Chances are decent that the hurricane models have it well depicted. Looks to stay a bit ragged before closing off an inner circulation layer only to concentrate that energy to its north around landfall. Still, I think anywhere from a 65-80mph system at landfall looks about right to me.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1175 Postby bella_may » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:55 pm

stormlover2013 wrote:
bella_may wrote:Looks like it’s ramping up again




that's what you want to believe because its coming ur way lol

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_GULF/anim8ir.html

Quite an ignorant thing to say and I’m also reporting your post
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1176 Postby us89 » Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:57 pm

Afternoon forecast discussion from the Peachtree City NWS says to expect a TS watch at 5 for parts of northwest Georgia. Could shape up to be the biggest tropical wind impact up here since Irma.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1177 Postby underthwx » Tue Oct 27, 2020 3:01 pm

With a decrease in OHC, possibly increase of shear will aid in keeping Zeta's intensity level in check, at a minimal Hurricane or Tropical Storm....whatever is best for the residents for where it landfalls, and all of those in impact areas, is what I hope for....and then later Zeta....gtho
Last edited by underthwx on Tue Oct 27, 2020 3:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1178 Postby GCANE » Tue Oct 27, 2020 3:03 pm

The higher CAPE air is working its way into the core now.
Seeing a lot more overshooting tops.

Image
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1179 Postby tiger_deF » Tue Oct 27, 2020 3:03 pm

Based on what I'm seeing from the 1 minute IR loop, it looks like what we thought was the MLC is actually the southern flank of the degraded CDO, with the LLC the "center" of this new, much larger circulation. The western and northern flank are steadily rebuilding as we speak.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1180 Postby xironman » Tue Oct 27, 2020 3:09 pm

It does look like the mlc has migrated north, maybe Zeta will finally put a show on.
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