ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Why is there talk like we know the eye temp when satellites have renowned issues with small eyes like Eta?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:Cunxi Huang wrote:2020NOV02 232017 6.0 946.1 115.0 6.0 6.3 7.4 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -26.51 -78.22 EYE 7 IR 20.0 14.37 82.40 ARCHER GOES16 18.8
Raw T# is now 7.4.
Dear goodness!
It cant get to 7.8 right like the WPAC beast?! thats just too much for this part of the Atlantic!

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- SouthDadeFish
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
This thing is bombing out. I am strongly leaning toward cat 5 by the time recon gets there. Folks need to understand this was only a tropical storm yesterday. Just an absurd rate of intensification.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:RL3AO wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:I don't normally follow the progress while far from the storm, but it makes sense here. Also trying to post how many miles (rounded to the nearest 5 miles) it is.
Well you don't get a super typhoon in the Atlantic very often. It's hard not to watch.
Super Typhoon?
The structure is much closer to a west pacific typhoon than a standard Atlantic hurricane.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
NHC believes Eta still has 12+ hours over water, although it does look pretty close to land right now. In any case, recon is getting there before if all goes as planned (which isn't a given for this storm...)
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
cjrciadt wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Cunxi Huang wrote:Raw T# is now 7.4.
Dear goodness!
It cant get to 7.8 right like the WPAC beast?! thats just too much for this part of the Atlantic!
Goni was full 8.0
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Getting Wilma vibes. I think 160-170 knots is possible at some point.
Last edited by Highteeld on Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
SouthDadeFish wrote:This thing is bombing out. I am strongly leaning toward cat 5 by the time recon gets there. Folks need to understand this was only a tropical storm yesterday. Just an absurd rate of intensification.
It (probably) won't hit Wilmas pressure falls, but it might manage to beat or tie Wilmas record for fastest TS to Cat 5.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:RL3AO wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:I don't normally follow the progress while far from the storm, but it makes sense here. Also trying to post how many miles (rounded to the nearest 5 miles) it is.
Well you don't get a super typhoon in the Atlantic very often. It's hard not to watch.
Super Typhoon?
By definition a WPAC storm of minimum 130kt/150 MPH (High-end Cat. 4+) winds. In practice especially among "enthusiasts," refers mainly to the ultra high-end storms like Goni, Hagibis, Haiyan, Meranti etc.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
TorSkk wrote:Looking at CIMSS data it suggests MPI of just below 900 mb
If I remember correctly Patricia had busted the MPI at her location on the map(which is not high-res anyway).
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Sanibel wrote:I go with 145mph 940...
Just switch the spots of each 4 most likely...


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- ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
SouthDadeFish wrote:This thing is bombing out. I am strongly leaning toward cat 5 by the time recon gets there. Folks need to understand this was only a tropical storm yesterday. Just an absurd rate of intensification.
So we just had Haiyan 2.0 a couple days ago and now we *might* be looking at potential Wilma 2.0... within 2 days of each other. 2020 you can calm down now!

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- Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
RL3AO wrote:Iceresistance wrote:RL3AO wrote:Well you don't get a super typhoon in the Atlantic very often. It's hard not to watch.
Super Typhoon?
The structure is much closer to a west pacific typhoon than a standard Atlantic hurricane.
I see, but that did not make sense at first.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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Winter 2020-2021

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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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- Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
BYG Jacob wrote:Why is there talk like we know the eye temp when satellites have renowned issues with small eyes like Eta?
Satellites can now resolve pin hole eyes significantly better.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Weather Dude wrote:SouthDadeFish wrote:This thing is bombing out. I am strongly leaning toward cat 5 by the time recon gets there. Folks need to understand this was only a tropical storm yesterday. Just an absurd rate of intensification.
So we just had Haiyan 2.0 a couple days ago and now we *might* be looking at potential Wilma 2.0... within 2 days of each other. 2020 you can calm down now!
No wonder why 2020 is cursed. . .

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- galaxy401
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Does anyone live in those tiny islands northeast of Nicaragua? Those islands are about to get in Eta's intense eyewall.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Kingarabian wrote:BYG Jacob wrote:Why is there talk like we know the eye temp when satellites have renowned issues with small eyes like Eta?
Satellites can now resolve pin hole eyes significantly better.
2020 satellites are simply worlds better.
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- cheezyWXguy
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
BYG Jacob wrote:Why is there talk like we know the eye temp when satellites have renowned issues with small eyes like Eta?
Idk about the others, but when I referenced eye temp I was talking about what it literally depicts, not the true core temp. While it can’t display the true eye temp, it is still useful in determining whether the storm is still strengthening.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
galaxy401 wrote:Does anyone live in those tiny islands northeast of Nicaragua? Those islands are about to get in Eta's intense eyewall.
These islands are uninhabited, I think
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