ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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BYG Jacob

Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1481 Postby BYG Jacob » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:46 pm

Why is there talk like we know the eye temp when satellites have renowned issues with small eyes like Eta?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1482 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:46 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Cunxi Huang wrote:
2020NOV02 232017 6.0 946.1 115.0 6.0 6.3 7.4 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -26.51 -78.22 EYE 7 IR 20.0 14.37 82.40 ARCHER GOES16 18.8

Raw T# is now 7.4.

Dear goodness! :eek:

It cant get to 7.8 right like the WPAC beast?! thats just too much for this part of the Atlantic! :double:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1483 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:46 pm

This thing is bombing out. I am strongly leaning toward cat 5 by the time recon gets there. Folks need to understand this was only a tropical storm yesterday. Just an absurd rate of intensification.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1484 Postby RL3AO » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:46 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
RL3AO wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:I don't normally follow the progress while far from the storm, but it makes sense here. Also trying to post how many miles (rounded to the nearest 5 miles) it is.

Well you don't get a super typhoon in the Atlantic very often. It's hard not to watch.

Super Typhoon?


The structure is much closer to a west pacific typhoon than a standard Atlantic hurricane.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1485 Postby jackdets » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:47 pm

NHC believes Eta still has 12+ hours over water, although it does look pretty close to land right now. In any case, recon is getting there before if all goes as planned (which isn't a given for this storm...)
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ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1486 Postby Sanibel » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:47 pm

I go with 145mph 940...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1487 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:47 pm

cjrciadt wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
Cunxi Huang wrote:Raw T# is now 7.4.

Dear goodness! :eek:

It cant get to 7.8 right like the WPAC beast?! thats just too much for this part of the Atlantic! :double:

Goni was full 8.0
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1488 Postby Highteeld » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:47 pm

Getting Wilma vibes. I think 160-170 knots is possible at some point.
Last edited by Highteeld on Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1489 Postby RL3AO » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:48 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:This thing is bombing out. I am strongly leaning toward cat 5 by the time recon gets there. Folks need to understand this was only a tropical storm yesterday. Just an absurd rate of intensification.


It (probably) won't hit Wilmas pressure falls, but it might manage to beat or tie Wilmas record for fastest TS to Cat 5.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1490 Postby SconnieCane » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:48 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
RL3AO wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:I don't normally follow the progress while far from the storm, but it makes sense here. Also trying to post how many miles (rounded to the nearest 5 miles) it is.

Well you don't get a super typhoon in the Atlantic very often. It's hard not to watch.

Super Typhoon?


By definition a WPAC storm of minimum 130kt/150 MPH (High-end Cat. 4+) winds. In practice especially among "enthusiasts," refers mainly to the ultra high-end storms like Goni, Hagibis, Haiyan, Meranti etc.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1491 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:48 pm

TorSkk wrote:Looking at CIMSS data it suggests MPI of just below 900 mb

If I remember correctly Patricia had busted the MPI at her location on the map(which is not high-res anyway).
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1492 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:48 pm

Sanibel wrote:I go with 145mph 940...

Just switch the spots of each 4 most likely... :double: :double:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1493 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:48 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:This thing is bombing out. I am strongly leaning toward cat 5 by the time recon gets there. Folks need to understand this was only a tropical storm yesterday. Just an absurd rate of intensification.

So we just had Haiyan 2.0 a couple days ago and now we *might* be looking at potential Wilma 2.0... within 2 days of each other. 2020 you can calm down now! :double:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1494 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:49 pm

RL3AO wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
RL3AO wrote:Well you don't get a super typhoon in the Atlantic very often. It's hard not to watch.

Super Typhoon?


The structure is much closer to a west pacific typhoon than a standard Atlantic hurricane.

I see, but that did not make sense at first.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1495 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:49 pm

BYG Jacob wrote:Why is there talk like we know the eye temp when satellites have renowned issues with small eyes like Eta?

Satellites can now resolve pin hole eyes significantly better.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1496 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:50 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
SouthDadeFish wrote:This thing is bombing out. I am strongly leaning toward cat 5 by the time recon gets there. Folks need to understand this was only a tropical storm yesterday. Just an absurd rate of intensification.

So we just had Haiyan 2.0 a couple days ago and now we *might* be looking at potential Wilma 2.0... within 2 days of each other. 2020 you can calm down now! :double:

No wonder why 2020 is cursed. . . :double:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1497 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:50 pm

Does anyone live in those tiny islands northeast of Nicaragua? Those islands are about to get in Eta's intense eyewall.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1498 Postby RL3AO » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:50 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
BYG Jacob wrote:Why is there talk like we know the eye temp when satellites have renowned issues with small eyes like Eta?

Satellites can now resolve pin hole eyes significantly better.


2020 satellites are simply worlds better.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1499 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:50 pm

BYG Jacob wrote:Why is there talk like we know the eye temp when satellites have renowned issues with small eyes like Eta?

Idk about the others, but when I referenced eye temp I was talking about what it literally depicts, not the true core temp. While it can’t display the true eye temp, it is still useful in determining whether the storm is still strengthening.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1500 Postby edu2703 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:51 pm

galaxy401 wrote:Does anyone live in those tiny islands northeast of Nicaragua? Those islands are about to get in Eta's intense eyewall.


These islands are uninhabited, I think
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