ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1581 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:14 pm

Still going! :eek: :eek: :eek:

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1582 Postby tolakram » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:15 pm

JamesRainier wrote:
tolakram wrote:I'm afraid to look at recon progress for fear they will have to turn around.


Anyone, can a storm be too strong by the eye to fly into?


While we wait this story from Jeff Masters is worth a read.

Remembering a Crazy Flight Through Cat 5 Hurricane Gilbert
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/remembering-a-crazy-flight-through-cat-5-hurricane-gilbert-25-years-l.html
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1583 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:16 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
JamesRainier wrote:
tolakram wrote:I'm afraid to look at recon progress for fear they will have to turn around.


Anyone, can a storm be too strong by the eye to fly into?

Maybe, they did fly into 200+ mph winds in 2015 inside Pactrica.

I also remember them flying in and then getting stuck and they had to circle Patricia for a little until they found a way out. Thankfully the recon teams are well qualified professionals and they know what they're doing. Otherwise I wouldn't want them in any Cat.5 hurricane.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1584 Postby tiger_deF » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:16 pm



I'd watch a 2 hour movie of film shot from the interior of the plane as they head to Eta, with epic music playing the whole time
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1585 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:16 pm

It's hard to fathom that this was a tropical storm last night and just developed shortly before that, this year's RI with this and Delta is scarcely fathomable.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1586 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:17 pm

tiger_deF wrote:


I'd watch a 2 hour movie of film shot from the interior of the plane as they head to Eta, with epic music playing the whole time

To keep the stress down, I do the same thing on crazy homework
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1587 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:18 pm

tolakram wrote:
JamesRainier wrote:
tolakram wrote:I'm afraid to look at recon progress for fear they will have to turn around.


Anyone, can a storm be too strong by the eye to fly into?


While we wait this story from Jeff Masters is worth a read.

Remembering a Crazy Flight Through Cat 5 Hurricane Gilbert
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/remembering-a-crazy-flight-through-cat-5-hurricane-gilbert-25-years-l.html

Did not know there was Recon inside Gilbert, I did know about Allen in 1980.
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1588 Postby TorSkk » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:18 pm

Certainly doesn't look like an Atlantic hurricane with that CDG ring


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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1589 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:18 pm

A circular CDG ring in the Atlantic. Probably the first in history if eye continues to warm.

Image

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1590 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:19 pm

I have this bold feeling Recon may find a sub-900 storm.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1591 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:19 pm

Like... This is just silly

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1592 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:21 pm


But this will be updated. :wink:
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1593 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:21 pm

I know it's Monday, but it feels like Black Friday, tropics style...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1594 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:23 pm

 https://twitter.com/JeremyDeHart53d/status/1323419668170891265


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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1595 Postby Kazmit » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:23 pm

Iceresistance wrote:

But this will be updated. :wink:

That orange point will be changed to a red one.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1596 Postby Highteeld » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:23 pm

Cunxi Huang wrote:
Highteeld wrote:Pink ring needs to expand a bit to get a manual T 8.0, assuming warming eye

https://i.imgur.com/TJs9wUy.png

DT is capped at 7.5, a manual FT8.0 needs an addition banding feature or an MET8.0 to support a FT8.0.

even though CDG isn't supposed to count for an additional .5 T, we've been seeing it done lately, so I'm counting it if the width is met.
Last edited by Highteeld on Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1597 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:23 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:I know it's Monday, but it feels like Black Friday, tropics style...


We do have Cyber Monday
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1598 Postby JediChick » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:23 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:I know it's Monday, but it feels like Black Friday, tropics style...


Cyber Monday? :lol:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1599 Postby crownweather » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:23 pm

Just FYI - Intensification records to beat (both currently held by Wilma):

Wind Speed: 70 mph to 175 mph in 24 hours. (right now, Eta has strengthened from 70 mph to 150 mph in 18 hours).
Central Pressure: 97 millibar pressure drop in 24 hours. 979 millibars to 882 millibars. (Eta currently has a pressure of 934 millibars, which is a drop of 55 millibars in 18 hours).
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1600 Postby tiger_deF » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:24 pm

Between this and the election I have no idea how any of you have gotten any work done at all today. I've been able to go 15 minutes uninterrupted maximum :oops:
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