ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Highteeld]

[Iceresistance]

wider angle view
https://imgur.com/zm0qPqL

IR positive eye temperature confirmed.

[cheezyWXguy]

I am not convinced pressure records will fall, but wind speed records could imo (well, for November I think pressure records could)

[skyline385]

Do we have any indication of an EWRC so far?

[cjrciadt]

Im going with 170kts SMFR/180kts FL/ 900mb

[RL3AO]

I think there's a non-inconceivable chance that we could be witnessing the strongest Atlantic hurricane EVER, and if not now, within the next few hours.

It's not inconceivable. I'm starting to get more and more confident that we're adding a new member to the sub-900 club in the Atlantic.

[zal0phus]

I'm going to get bullish- I think this will peak at 190 mph/885-890 mb. This is the kind of storm that appears once a generation.

[Iceresistance]

https://i.imgur.com/pHPNxQN.png

50 km to what?

[supercane4867]

Do we have any indication of an EWRC so far?

None....zero...nada

[Highteeld]

I think there's a non-inconceivable chance that we could be witnessing the strongest Atlantic hurricane EVER, and if not now, within the next few hours.

This is what I'm thinking, which is why I think Allen could be dethroned.

[tolakram]

Good IR loop. I keep forgetting that this is updated every minute, remember when the best we could do was 15 minute updates in this area?

https://whirlwind.aos.wisc.edu/~wxp/goes16/grb/meso_ircm/meso2_60.html

source: https://www.aos.wisc.edu/weather/wx_obs/GOES16.html

[SconnieCane]

I think there's a non-inconceivable chance that we could be witnessing the strongest Atlantic hurricane EVER, and if not now, within the next few hours.

I don't think we're quite into Wilma/Gilbert/Allen territory yet.

Mitch/Rita/Katrina (although the latter two were quite different-structured storms at their peak intensities, the pressure was about right) quite possibly.

[Iceresistance]

Do we have any indication of an EWRC so far?

There may already been one several hours ago.

[cheezyWXguy]

https://i.imgur.com/pHPNxQN.png

50 km to what?

Radius of CDG ring

[underthwx]

It's looking more and more like an all timer. Probably sub-910. Sub 900?!?!?!?!

The November record is impossible to determine, since the 1932 hurricane had a 915 mb reading OUTSIDE the eye with hurricane conditions. That could have easily been a sub-900 storm.

ETA may be making weather history....but I am genuinely concerned for those that have to endure this cyclone....man..I hope everyone did their best to get the heck outta there to somewhere safe...and I know each of you my friends, feel the same...

[Iceresistance]

I think there's a non-inconceivable chance that we could be witnessing the strongest Atlantic hurricane EVER, and if not now, within the next few hours.

This is what I'm thinking, which is why I think Allen could be dethroned.

Or Dorian. . .

[Highteeld]

https://i.imgur.com/pHPNxQN.png

50 km to what?

Pink ring width. using it as a proxy (incorrectly, even though SAB does it) for CDG ring width

[Iceresistance]

https://i.imgur.com/pHPNxQN.png

50 km to what?

Radius of CDG ring

O_O

[JediChick]

I got a migraine from staring at this thread all day, so naturally, instead of logging off, I'm waiting for recon...refreshing the thread with an ice pack on my head. This is an insane storm!

[Ian2401]

might need a replacement f5 key after tonight (and tomorrow with the election)