ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
ADT raw 7.9
2020NOV03 002017 6.2 942.1 119.8 6.2 6.3 7.9 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -7.45 -79.49 EYE 8 IR 20.0 14.24 82.50 ARCHER GOES16 18.7
2020NOV03 002017 6.2 942.1 119.8 6.2 6.3 7.9 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -7.45 -79.49 EYE 8 IR 20.0 14.24 82.50 ARCHER GOES16 18.7
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- Kazmit
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph
Ian2401 wrote:i have literally written 100 words out of my 2000 word essay due tonight but i literally cannot stop checking this storm every two seconds. feels like i am witnessing history
I have a test tomorrow and haven't started studying because of this thing.
9 likes
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
2020NOV03 002017 6.2 942.1 119.8 6.2 6.3 7.9
7.9 RAW. HOLY S***
7.9 RAW. HOLY S***
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
00z Best Track:
Location: 14.3°N 82.5°W
Maximum Winds: 130 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 934 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1007 mb
Radius of Circulation: 180 nm
Radius of Maximum wind: 5 nm
64 kt Wind Radii by Quadrant:
Maximum Winds: 130 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 934 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1007 mb
Radius of Circulation: 180 nm
Radius of Maximum wind: 5 nm
64 kt Wind Radii by Quadrant:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
Why can’t propeller planes fly faster 

3 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph
cheezyWXguy wrote:I am not convinced pressure records will fall, but wind speed records could imo (well, for November I think pressure records could)
This looks destined to overthrow the 1932 Cuba Hurricane as the strongest November TC in the Atlantic. It has to surpass 150 kt and 915 mbar, and just looking at Eta’s IR appearance, it might already be there.
6 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
- Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
Come on Recon, we are praying for you. . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph
tiger_deF wrote:
I'd watch a 2 hour movie of film shot from the interior of the plane as they head to Eta, with epic music playing the whole time
I've flown on two recon flights into a couple of relative weak storms off the Eastern Seaboard. The suspense when about to penetrate the eye wall was intense. Furthermore those storms were mature and not experiencing the RI Eta is. What a rush this penetration is gonna be!!
4 likes
Andy D
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
Looks to be going more south than expected


6 likes
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph
Highteeld wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Highteeld wrote:https://i.imgur.com/pHPNxQN.png
50 km to what?
Pink ring width. using it as a proxy (incorrectly, even though SAB does it) for CDG ring width
This is stupid... With a WMG eye should be DT8.0 from SAB
1 likes
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
More time over water lol
3 likes
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
That is one violent core.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
It's starting to look like the delay in recon is going to work out very well.
9 likes
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
Thicccc boi


12 likes
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph
Kazmit wrote:Ian2401 wrote:i have literally written 100 words out of my 2000 word essay due tonight but i literally cannot stop checking this storm every two seconds. feels like i am witnessing history
I have a test tomorrow and haven't started studying because of this thing.
Time to brew a pot of coffee!...
1 likes
- Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
RL3AO wrote:2020NOV03 002017 6.2 942.1 119.8 6.2 6.3 7.9
7.9 RAW. HOLY S***
THE 8, IS COMING

4 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- skyline385
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

Amazing structure and cloud tops are still exploding
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
This has gotta be the most anticipated recon of all time...
5 likes
Irene '11, Sandy '12, Fay '20, Isaias '20, Ida '21
- Kazmit
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

4 likes
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean
And getting stronger!

0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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