ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Cunxi Huang
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1661 Postby Cunxi Huang » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:42 pm

ADT raw 7.9

2020NOV03 002017 6.2 942.1 119.8 6.2 6.3 7.9 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -7.45 -79.49 EYE 8 IR 20.0 14.24 82.50 ARCHER GOES16 18.7
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1662 Postby Kazmit » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:42 pm

Ian2401 wrote:i have literally written 100 words out of my 2000 word essay due tonight but i literally cannot stop checking this storm every two seconds. feels like i am witnessing history

I have a test tomorrow and haven't started studying because of this thing.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1663 Postby RL3AO » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:43 pm

2020NOV03 002017 6.2 942.1 119.8 6.2 6.3 7.9

7.9 RAW. HOLY S***
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1664 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:44 pm

00z Best Track:

Location: 14.3°N 82.5°W
Maximum Winds: 130 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 934 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1007 mb
Radius of Circulation: 180 nm
Radius of Maximum wind: 5 nm
64 kt Wind Radii by Quadrant:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1665 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:44 pm

Why can’t propeller planes fly faster :(
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1666 Postby aspen » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:44 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:I am not convinced pressure records will fall, but wind speed records could imo (well, for November I think pressure records could)

This looks destined to overthrow the 1932 Cuba Hurricane as the strongest November TC in the Atlantic. It has to surpass 150 kt and 915 mbar, and just looking at Eta’s IR appearance, it might already be there.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1667 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:44 pm

Come on Recon, we are praying for you. . .
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1668 Postby chaser1 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:44 pm

tiger_deF wrote:


I'd watch a 2 hour movie of film shot from the interior of the plane as they head to Eta, with epic music playing the whole time


I've flown on two recon flights into a couple of relative weak storms off the Eastern Seaboard. The suspense when about to penetrate the eye wall was intense. Furthermore those storms were mature and not experiencing the RI Eta is. What a rush this penetration is gonna be!!
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1669 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:45 pm

Looks to be going more south than expected

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1670 Postby TorSkk » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:45 pm

Highteeld wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:

50 km to what?

Pink ring width. using it as a proxy (incorrectly, even though SAB does it) for CDG ring width

This is stupid... With a WMG eye should be DT8.0 from SAB
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1671 Postby Highteeld » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:46 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Looks to be going more south than expected

https://i.imgur.com/6ylWAH5.gif

More time over water lol
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1672 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:48 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Looks to be going more south than expected

https://i.imgur.com/6ylWAH5.gif

That is one violent core.
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1673 Postby RL3AO » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:48 pm

It's starting to look like the delay in recon is going to work out very well.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1674 Postby Highteeld » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:48 pm

Thicccc boi

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: 7 PM EST = 150 mph

#1675 Postby underthwx » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:48 pm

Kazmit wrote:
Ian2401 wrote:i have literally written 100 words out of my 2000 word essay due tonight but i literally cannot stop checking this storm every two seconds. feels like i am witnessing history

I have a test tomorrow and haven't started studying because of this thing.


Time to brew a pot of coffee!...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1676 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:48 pm

RL3AO wrote:2020NOV03 002017 6.2 942.1 119.8 6.2 6.3 7.9

7.9 RAW. HOLY S***



THE 8, IS COMING

:double:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1677 Postby skyline385 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:49 pm

Image

Amazing structure and cloud tops are still exploding
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1678 Postby Do_For_Love » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:49 pm

This has gotta be the most anticipated recon of all time...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1679 Postby Kazmit » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:49 pm

Image
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Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane in NW Caribbean

#1680 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:49 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Looks to be going more south than expected

https://i.imgur.com/6ylWAH5.gif

And getting stronger! :eek:
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!


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