ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cheezyWXguy]

I am going to be so bummed if recon finds a major ERC already underway, with enough of an outer eyewall to reduce maximum winds from what they would be

I don’t think so yet. The ERC is inevitable, but with a core that well formed I doubt it’s even close to strong enough to flatten the gradient. Wilma peaked while the outer eyewall was complete.

[Cunxi Huang]

raw 8.1

2020NOV03 005017 6.2 942.1 119.8 6.2 6.3 8.1 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -6.22 -80.40 EYE 7 IR 20.0 14.22 82.52 ARCHER GOES16 18.7

[Sciencerocks]

I am going to be so bummed if recon finds a major ERC already underway, with enough of an outer eyewall to reduce maximum winds from what they would be

I'd like future recon planes to have jet engines that fly at 900 mph! That would be awesome to have the planes the size of the current fleet with that kind of speed. It would cover far more distance a lot faster.

[BYG Jacob]

incredible microwave but looks like an outer ring is forming - another eyewall meld?
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/dynamic/products/tc20/ATL/29L.ETA/ssmi/colorpct85/20201102.2107.f15.85rgb.29L.ETA.115kts.948mb.14.7N.82W.080pc.jpg

You can see an outer eyewall in that?

[Kingarabian]

raw 8.1

2020NOV03 005017 6.2 942.1 119.8 6.2 6.3 8.1 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -6.22 -80.40 EYE 7 IR 20.0 14.22 82.52 ARCHER GOES16 18.7

Yeah 8.1 is crazy. But I've never seen the CI constrained this long.

[aspen]

Holy jeez, look at all that eyewall lightning! And the CDO is just as cold as Goni's!

[tiger_deF]

The eye continues to shrink, and somehow convection is still deepening

[shiny-pebble]

Is it just me or has the eye contracted significantly in the past few frames of the IR loop?? Do you think its an ERC or just it intensifying more??

[supercane4867]

Eta has officially cracked the ADT scale...oops not really since they changed the limit to 8.5 now.

[Iceresistance]

Rain rate going up already.

[underthwx]

Geez, I hate flying w/o a Cat 5 monster... IMO, takes some courage to fly a prop plane into something that might be historical...

Man....you got that right....if any of you on the recon crew read this, thankyou for your service, and for the risks yall take to help keep us all safe....

[RL3AO]

raw 8.1

2020NOV03 005017 6.2 942.1 119.8 6.2 6.3 8.1 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -6.22 -80.40 EYE 7 IR 20.0 14.22 82.52 ARCHER GOES16 18.7

Yeah 8.1 is crazy. But I've never seen the CI constrained this long.

It's going to be 3 1/2 hours before the CI can be 7.0.

[Kazmit]

Recon is probably... around 45 mins away now?

[Highteeld]

Raw T 8.3

https://i.imgur.com/IiTf7XB.png

Got so excited I couldn't read properly. Raw T is really at 8.3

[skyline385]

Absolutely stunning CDO

[Blown Away]

Man, seems like Eta will close in on 14N in a couple hours, NHC says it will be 24 hours before that happens...

[supercane4867]

Starting to see some blue pixels in the eye on WV. Let's see if Eta can get to an orange eye.

[Kingarabian]

Starting to see some blue pixels in the eye on WV. Let's see if Eta can get to an orange eye.

https://i.imgur.com/rHmF02A.gif

Orange eye and Wilma record likely falls.

[TorSkk]

The top hurricane photos thread is about to get a couple pages bigger

[Ed_2001]

Absolutely stunning CDO

https://i.imgur.com/8O1gWfc.png

Looks a little like Hagibis from WPAC last year