ATL: DELTA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Fancy1001]

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/761981433606438913/763524673824096256/20201007.png?width=564&height=564

Looks like the core is restructuring nicely.

[Aric Dunn]

[tiger_deF]

https://i.ibb.co/q7bgfqx/LABELS-19700101-000000-29.gif

Is that warm spot the "eye"?

[Kazmit]

Does anyone else think that Delta reached category 5 during the first half of that 3 hours that recon wasn't in the storm yesterday before it fell apart.

No way. It didn't have a clear eye.

[wx98]

Does anyone else think that Delta reached category 5 during the first half of that 3 hours that recon wasn't in the storm yesterday before it fell apart.

I don’t. I think it may have been 140-145 like the NHC had (although they upped to 145 after it started falling apart). With it struggling to clear an eye, I just don’t think it made it that far. It is a pretty big ledge to cross over to get to Cat 5.

[Aric Dunn]

https://i.ibb.co/q7bgfqx/LABELS-19700101-000000-29.gif

Is that warm spot the "eye"?

its in there somewhere. will take some time to build back through the upper levels..

likely closed in the low and mid levels.

[kevin]

https://i.ibb.co/q7bgfqx/LABELS-19700101-000000-29.gif

What kind of visual is this and how can I find it? This looks gorgeous.

[Aric Dunn]

https://i.ibb.co/q7bgfqx/LABELS-19700101-000000-29.gif

What kind of visual is this and how can I find it? This looks gorgeous.

https://re.ssec.wisc.edu/s/u1AhvM

[CrazyC83]

Does anyone else think that Delta reached category 5 during the first half of that 3 hours that recon wasn't in the storm yesterday before it fell apart.

Highly doubt it. It probably peaked when the 121 kt SFMR and 132 kt FL winds were recorded. I estimate it was 120 kt at 18Z yesterday and 100 kt at 00Z (then 90 kt at 06Z and landfall).

[ElectricStorm]

Does anyone else think that Delta reached category 5 during the first half of that 3 hours that recon wasn't in the storm yesterday before it fell apart.

Nope. If the eye would have cleared out if would have gotten there. But it collapsed instead

[ElectricStorm]

I think this could be back to Cat 2 by the 10pm central advisory. Looks to be organizing nicely so far. This core should be more stable than the pinhole so it won't fall apart as easily. Which is a bad thing for the gulf coast

[GCANE]

ADT is calling out a MW EYE

[GCANE]

Starting to see off-scale cold cloud tops on IR

[aspen]

Oh boy, I see hot towers rotating around the CoC. We have a new eyewall under construction.

[supercane4867]

Big blowup of heavy convection into sunset

[ElectricStorm]

Oh boy, I see hot towers rotating around the CoC. We have a new eyewall under construction.

Dramatic Delta back at it again

[LARanger]

ADT is calling out a MW EYE

Microwave? Maximum Width / Wind? Mile-wide? Megawatt?

Sorry, my google-fu came up dry.

[bob rulz]

I wouldn't count out the ability of the Gulf to rapidly strengthen this back to cat 4 or even 5 intensity before landfall. Not calling for a cat 5, but we've seen the Gulf pull off these explosive bouts of intensification too often for me to feel comfortable with a cat 3 peak intensity. I feel for everyone living on the northern Gulf Coast this year...it's been a brutal one.

[supercane4867]

Eyewall still opens to the west. Current round of convection should help to complete it.

[cheezyWXguy]

Eyewall still opens to the west. Current round of convection should help to complete it.

https://i.imgur.com/fbKwNGr.jpg

Pretty clear Delta now has what it was lacking yesterday: convective activity on the northern eyewall. Should close off in a few hours at this rate, and it looks like that southern band trying to develop should be able to provide dual outflow once it moves further away from the Yucatán