ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1841 Postby Kazmit » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:04 am

Upgraded to 85mph by the NHC.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1842 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:05 am

Storm is still slightly dry on its western side
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1843 Postby WxEp » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:06 am

This most recent radar image of the eyewall is very concerning. Rapidly strengthening.

Image
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1844 Postby ThetaE » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:06 am

NOAA plane shows that Sally still has a very asymmetric structure, with barely any TS winds on the southern side. This needs to change in order for Sally to continue to intensify... pretty clear on radar, as some have pointed out, that such an attempt to develop a more symmetric structure is currently underway. Guess we'll see how that pans out.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1845 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:06 am

80 mm/hr rain rate.
Can easily go to Cat 2 or more.

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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1846 Postby gfsperpendicular » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:06 am

I haven't seen much about the temperatures in that CDO but they are insane. I don't think I've ever seen such cold, consistent cloud tops this far north. Or maybe that's just my inexperience showing.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1847 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:07 am

The way it's going right now... Cat 3 may not be out of the question
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1848 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:07 am

ThetaE wrote:NOAA plane shows that Sally still has a very asymmetric structure, with barely any TS winds on the southern side. This needs to change in order for Sally to continue to intensify... pretty clear on radar, as some have pointed out, that such an attempt to develop a more symmetric structure is currently underway. Guess we'll see how that pans out.


You say that as Sally's pressure dropped nearly 10mb in just a few hours. Regardless, that radar structure is showing a huge improvement.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1849 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:08 am

AF308 now flying at 700mb as well.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1850 Postby Kazmit » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:09 am

Still has ~36 hrs over water. More than enough time to become a major, as long as upwelling doesn't occur just offshore.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1851 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:10 am

WxEp wrote:This most recent radar image of the eyewall is very concerning. Rapidly strengthening.

https://i.imgur.com/78nBj6c.png


Is she already north of the new track?
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1852 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:11 am

Ivanhater wrote:
WxEp wrote:This most recent radar image of the eyewall is very concerning. Rapidly strengthening.

https://i.imgur.com/78nBj6c.png


Is she already north of the new track?


Yes she is, by a good bit.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1853 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:11 am

AF just went through, looks like wnw motion back on.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1854 Postby DestinHurricane » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:12 am

Ivanhater wrote:
WxEp wrote:This most recent radar image of the eyewall is very concerning. Rapidly strengthening.

https://i.imgur.com/78nBj6c.png


Is she already north of the new track?


Yes, very much so.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1855 Postby PandaCitrus » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:12 am

Hurricane Charley went from 110mph to 145mph in 3 hours. So yeah, anything is possible during a rapid intensification phase in the gulf. And it's still 24 to 48 hours before landfall depending on speed.

Weather Dude wrote:The way it's going right now... Cat 3 may not be out of the question
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1856 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:12 am

Radar confirms that.

panamatropicwatch wrote:AF just went through, looks like wnw motion back on.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1857 Postby bella_may » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:12 am

Looks like she’s wobbling back to the west a little
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1858 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:14 am

Serving myself a big dish of Crow right now. I so didn’t expect this. Heck, even Wxman was saying 75 to 85 mph at landfall. Anyway, back to my big plate of Crow that is getting cold
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1859 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:15 am

Looks like sally hasn’t yet decided if she wants a micro core or a larger one. Very strong band on the ne side, but that swirl on the west side doesn’t want to let go yet
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1860 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:16 am

panamatropicwatch wrote:AF just went through, looks like wnw motion back on.


Yea, radar confirms that but still pretty good distance north of the forecast track, hope that motion continues.
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