ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Do_For_Love
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1861 Postby Do_For_Love » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:16 am

Dang, she's over performing. Didn't expect a decent Cat 1 already...

It looks like the AL/FL coast is already under some strong convection. Are the conditions rough down there right now?
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1862 Postby aspen » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:17 am

65 mph to 85 mph in under 2 hours. Holy ****. I think a major is not out of the question once Sally’s core-building is complete.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1863 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:18 am

Image

Looks like a clean 984mb on that pass.

160400 2844N 08659W 6965 03044 9844 +158 +096 174024 026 030 002 00
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1864 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:21 am

160730 2852N 08651W 6969 03084 9976 +104 //// 142051 052 072 005 01

Multiple 70kt SFMRs with plenty over hurricane force.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1865 Postby Airboy » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:22 am

AF Dropsonde in the center:
987mb (29.15 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 28.6°C (83.5°F) 24.4°C (76°F) 285° (from the WNW) 8 knots (9 mph)
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1866 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:23 am

Picked up forward speed?

Airboy wrote:AF Dropsonde in the center:
987mb (29.15 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 28.6°C (83.5°F) 24.4°C (76°F) 285° (from the WNW) 8 knots (9 mph)
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1867 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:23 am

Stormcenter wrote:Picked up forward speed?

Airboy wrote:AF Dropsonde in the center:
987mb (29.15 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 28.6°C (83.5°F) 24.4°C (76°F) 285° (from the WNW) 8 knots (9 mph)


This is simply the direction and speed of the wind in the eye.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1868 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:27 am

You look at radar and that center is once again at the fringe of convection, you have to wonder if it's going to get pulled back NE once again?
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1869 Postby p1nheadlarry » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:28 am

tolakram wrote:Looks like a clean 984mb on that pass.

160400 2844N 08659W 6965 03044 9844 +158 +096 174024 026 030 002 00


A much more symmetric wind field than I would have guessed just based on satellite/radar, though the SW quad is still slacking. Kudos once more to the flyboys/gals!
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1870 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:28 am

Big-ass feeder band kicking in now.
Going to look like a 850-lb shrimp.

Image
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1871 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:31 am

Eye:
68% RH @ 700mb
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1872 Postby FixySLN » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:32 am

Hurricane Sally.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sally Special Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020
1130 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020
Last edited by FixySLN on Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1873 Postby HurryKane » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:33 am

GCANE wrote:Big-ass feeder band kicking in now.
Going to look like a 850-lb shrimp.

https://i.imgur.com/08JMqqO.png


Mmmm shrimp. Anyway, like I was sayin', shrimp is the fruit of the sea. You can barbecue it, boil it, broil it, bake it, saute it.

The uncertainty with this one is unnerving; for those in emergency management who are making decisions this has got to be frustrating as all get out.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1874 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:33 am

Ok, looks like micro core it is
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1875 Postby BYG Jacob » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:33 am

gfsperpendicular wrote:I haven't seen much about the temperatures in that CDO but they are insane. I don't think I've ever seen such cold, consistent cloud tops this far north. Or maybe that's just my inexperience showing.

Michael was like that too
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1876 Postby NevadaFan18 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:33 am

Special advisory 13 from NHC shows Sally’s peak now at 90kts (105mph)
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1877 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:34 am

Peak at 90 knots now expected.

100 knot landfall is definitely not out of the question.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1878 Postby cfisher » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:34 am

Whoa this NE eyewall has some crazy vortical rotation.

Image
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1879 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:35 am

Raised the intensity even more. Now at 90 mph. Not good at all.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1880 Postby ronyan » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:35 am

Adjusted up to 90mph now via NHC.
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