ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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shah83
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1921 Postby shah83 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:01 pm

Wait, the longer it takes to reach land, the less time it will spend over land, right?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1922 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:01 pm

I'm really starting to feel really sick. . .
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1923 Postby Ian2401 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:02 pm

recon officially diving for the core, got about a degree of latitude to go
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1924 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:02 pm

Here we go folks... getting close to the center now.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1925 Postby storminabox » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:02 pm

I’m overwhelmed
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1926 Postby Argcane » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:03 pm

I'm about to throw up.
Like really.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1927 Postby BYG Jacob » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:03 pm

My heart is pounding, this is one of those moments where we'll all be a little different.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1928 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:03 pm

My guess: 915mb, SFMR 150 knots.

Weird reality where that's conservative, but that's what I'm going with.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1929 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:04 pm

The pressure gradient in this is going to be wild. It might be hard to even get to the eye with how small and wobbly it is.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1930 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:04 pm

Image
Looks like a straight dive to the center, north to south pass.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1931 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:04 pm

Continues to go off track:
Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1932 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:04 pm

I have the updating photos here! Here's goes nothing!


Image

Image
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1933 Postby wxman57 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:04 pm

shah83 wrote:Wait, the longer it takes to reach land, the less time it will spend over land, right?


No. It will spend over 2 days crossing land, including some very rugged mountains in Honduras. Small storm + mountains = core death.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1934 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:05 pm

I'm excited. Straight Patrica recon monitoring vibes.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1935 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:05 pm

So close to history...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1936 Postby Ian2401 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:05 pm

the pressure gradient is going to be so steep
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1937 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:05 pm

WV still getting better. It's intensifying.

Image

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1938 Postby TallyTracker » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:05 pm

Let’s do 160 kts and 895 mb for my guess
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1939 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:06 pm

shah83 wrote:Wait, the longer it takes to reach land, the less time it will spend over land, right?


Yes, The longer it stalls the more likely it will turn NW and track farther east over the flat land and for less time.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1940 Postby hipshot » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:06 pm


It looks to be getting larger (area around the eye) as it approaches land or are my eyes fooling me.
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