ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[PTPatrick]

Anybody remember how ukmet did with Laura? Wasn’t it sort of not ukmet best performance?

[cfisher]

Looking at IR, it seems EYE shifted more northeast..

[Aric Dunn]

wobbling wsw..
another momentum shift.. and deep western and Sw eyewall convection building..

RI appears to be in full swing..

[Stormcenter]

Look at radar

Looking at IR, it seems EYE shifted more northeast..

[SoupBone]

My concern right now is that we're in "nowcasting" mode, watching Sally's movement. Words like meandering and west don't really bring comfort to the Lousiana side of this. That important north turn will be very key in the impacts on Lousiana through the Panhandle area.

[AxaltaRacing24]

Wait, have those cat 2 wind readings been flagged or is this actually already most likely a cat 2 at the moment?

i mean, it's already extremely close to that, but any slight organization with the next 3 hours will without a doubt confirm it with recon.

[cfisher]

Uhhhh that seems real north and east

[Stormcenter]

We now have the benefit of radar to confirm
movement. Radar does not lie.

My concern right now is that we're in "nowcasting" mode, watching Sally's movement. Words like meandering and west don't really bring comfort to the Lousiana side of this. That important north turn will be very key in the impacts on Lousiana through the Panhandle area.

[PTPatrick]

Seems to me we are now mostly needing to watch speed trends. Slower models keep it over water longer for turn...ukmet, icon, and euro are very very slow with landfalls in Alabama....slightly faster ones are Ms landfalls...I’m not believing my eyes seeing this thing still there on Thursday morning on euro and icon.

[Aric Dunn]

Uhhhh that seems real north and east

https://i.ibb.co/NnCCym7/image.png

You cant use Satellite to locate the center during this phase..

there will be a pulse down in convection soon and thats when the eye will start to become visible. Then we will see true RI assuming nothing inhibits it.

[Shell Mound]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1305549876290256898



 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1305553114720882688



 https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1305560291435048960

[Aric Dunn]

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1305549876290256898
https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1305553114720882688
https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1305560291435048960

just want to point out. .

I was 5 minutes before Levi

lol

[supercane4867]

12z HWRF depiction of satellite presentation near landfall looks like a stronger version of Danny 97

[CrazyC83]

Sally can't seem to decide if it wants a small pinhole eye or a larger eye.

[eastcoastFL]

Looking at IR, it seems EYE shifted more northeast..

I’m curious, Is there any benefit to using IR when you have radar available?

[cfisher]

Looking at IR, it seems EYE shifted more northeast..

I’m curious, Is there any benefit to using IR when you have radar available?

That's my mistake. Looks like a some kind of sheared MLC, but I see where the center is now.

[NDG]

Sally is taking a nice WSW jog to get back on track.

[MidnightRain]

Sally is taking a nice WSW jog to get back on track.

Looks more like a cyclonic loop. I don’t really see any overall movement in any direction on radar.

[tropicwatch]

Doesn't look like Miss Piggy even tried to find that center that time through Sally.

[cheezyWXguy]

Looking at IR, it seems EYE shifted more northeast..

I’m curious, Is there any benefit to using IR when you have radar available?

That's my mistake. Looks like a some kind of sheared MLC, but I see where the center is now.

There isn't an MLC in that location. The circulations are vertically aligned now. Thats just an area of banding where convection is currently deepest.