ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Kazmit
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2081 Postby Kazmit » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:46 pm


No eye drop.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2082 Postby RL3AO » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:46 pm

2020NOV03 022017 6.3 940.1 122.2 6.3 6.3 8.4

Constrains will allow the CI/Adj T to start increasing in 30 minutes. Adj T will be allowed to hit 7.0 in two hours.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2083 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:46 pm

That eye temp keeps going up on satellite, Eta’s not done yet
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2084 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:47 pm

Kazmit wrote:

No eye drop.

Hm, yeah. Unless there's another dropsonde I missed, it looks like there wasn't one at all.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2085 Postby tolakram » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:47 pm

691
URNT12 KNHC 030242
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL292020
A. 03/02:16:00Z
B. 14.10 deg N 082.55 deg W
C. 700 mb 2469 m
D. 928 mb
E. 090 deg 17 kt
F. CLOSED
G. C6
H. 124 kt
I. 346 deg 3 nm 02:15:00Z
J. 076 deg 123 kt
K. 352 deg 5 nm 02:14:30Z
L. 130 kt
M. 190 deg 4 nm 02:17:30Z
N. 280 deg 137 kt
O. 193 deg 5 nm 02:18:00Z
P. 10 C / 3051 m
Q. 21 C / 2995 m
R. -4 C / NA
S. 12345 / 07
T. 0.02 / 0.5 nm
U. AF304 0429A ETA OB 07
MAX FL WIND 137 KT 193 / 5 NM 02:18:00Z
;
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2086 Postby aspen » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:48 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:That eye temp keeps going up on satellite, Eta’s not done yet

Yeah it looks like it’s catching up to its absolutely phenomenal IR appearance. Let’s see how much of a pressure drop the next pass finds.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2087 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:48 pm

Eye is 6nm :eek:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2088 Postby Nimbus » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:48 pm

Puerto Cabezas has a population over 100,000.

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2089 Postby NDG » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:48 pm

Kazmit wrote:

No eye drop.


They dropped several, one did not missed it.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2090 Postby p1nheadlarry » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:48 pm



Never been in an eye with hurricane force winds before have ya :wink:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2091 Postby tolakram » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:49 pm

There was some data errors but look at the plane altitude. I'd say that was a bumpy ride and they may have missed the eye.

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crazy, your opinion?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2092 Postby skyline385 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:49 pm

Looks like they going for NE pass next
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2093 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:49 pm

The hurricane just entered mature stage not long ago on the hourly loops. Using 1-min scans to determine the intensity was not very helpful(nor does the 6 hour average as used by SAB applicable in this case)

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2094 Postby NDG » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:50 pm

Owasso wrote:
Kazmit wrote:

No eye drop.

Hm, yeah. Unless there's another dropsonde I missed, it looks like there wasn't one at all.


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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2095 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:50 pm

I just want to point out it's quite possible Eta is still rapidly intensifying. This is an incredibly dangerous storm for Nicaragua and much of Central America. Often times the satellite signature precedes changes in TC intensity. As quick as this burst of intensification has been, a storm can't instantly go from a TS to a Cat 5. I am still deeply concerned for what's to come.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2096 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:50 pm

Worth mentioning that this is still a over 60 mb drop in the last 24 hours. Which is almost 3 per hour. That's a very impressive rate of deepening.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2097 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:53 pm

10:00 PM EST Mon Nov 2
Location: 14.1°N 82.7°W
Moving: WSW at 7 mph
Min pressure: 927 mb
Max sustained: 150 mph
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2098 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:53 pm

Eye temp has to be pretty near 10C on satellite now
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2099 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:53 pm

Advisory goes with 150/927.
160mph peak forecast now
Last edited by Owasso on Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2100 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:53 pm

NHC just posted their new advisory showing 150 mph/927 mb. Advisory briefly got removed but it's back now.
Last edited by galaxy401 on Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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