ATL: EPSILON - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19990
Age: 61
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#221 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 21, 2020 8:04 am

Heat content, not a lot left.
Image
2 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5017
Age: 24
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#222 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Oct 21, 2020 8:26 am

And just like that the dry slot is gone. That was fast. I hope NHC goes Cat 2 at the upcoming advisory as it certainly looks like one right now
2 likes   
I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

Boomer Sooner!
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8812
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#223 Postby aspen » Wed Oct 21, 2020 8:45 am

tolakram wrote:Heat content, not a lot left.
https://i.imgur.com/KHSuCoR.png

But there’s just enough to keep intensification going until tonight. I can’t wait until recon gets there.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#224 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Oct 21, 2020 8:46 am

What a beauty

Image
3 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9279
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#225 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 21, 2020 8:53 am

Next NHC advisory comes out at 10 AM CDT.
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19990
Age: 61
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#226 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:07 am

Live loop: https://whirlwind.aos.wisc.edu/~wxp/goe ... o1_60.html

source: https://www.aos.wisc.edu/weather/wx_obs/GOES16.html
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8812
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#227 Postby aspen » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:15 am

Recon is already en route and should arrive at Epsilon within the next few hours, although it has quite a way to go; it’s at 75W while Epsilon is at 59W.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9279
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#228 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:19 am

aspen wrote:Recon is already en route and should arrive at Epsilon within the next few hours, although it has quite a way to go; it’s at 75W while Epsilon is at 59W.

AF304 is the one. it's currently at 73W
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#229 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:19 am

Bit of a stadium effect even. Phenomenal for a mid-latitude October storm.
2 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9279
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#230 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:21 am


This thing should be already a CAT 3 or better! Looks at the mesovortices inside the eye!
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
Do_For_Love
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 271
Age: 34
Joined: Sat May 09, 2015 7:47 am
Location: Delaware

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#231 Postby Do_For_Love » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:24 am

Impressive looking storm for this time of year, that's for sure.
2 likes   
Irene '11, Sandy '12, Fay '20, Isaias '20, Ida '21
Top
Nuno
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 591
Joined: Fri Aug 30, 2019 8:35 am
Location: Coral Gables, FL

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#232 Postby Nuno » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:31 am

Exceeded my expectations. Enjoy it today because it'll start to falter later.
0 likes   
Andrew (1992), Irene (1999), Frances (2004), Katrina (2005), Wilma (2005), Fay (2008), Irma (2017), Eta (2020), Ian (2022)
Top
TallyTracker
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 719
Joined: Thu Oct 11, 2018 2:46 pm

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#233 Postby TallyTracker » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:32 am

Epsilon is such a beautiful storm! I agree with those saying it’s likely much stronger than 85 mph. Wouldn’t be surprised if it’s close to major hurricane strength. I guess we will know soon!
0 likes   
Fran '96, Georges '98, Gordon '00, Gabrielle '01, Charley '04, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Barry '07, Fay '08, Debby '12, Matthew '16, Emily '17, Irma '17, Michael ‘18, Elsa ‘21, Fred ‘21, Mindy ‘21, Nicole ‘22, Idalia ‘23, Debby ‘24, Helene ‘24
Top
User avatar
kevin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2554
Age: 26
Joined: Wed Aug 28, 2019 4:35 am

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#234 Postby kevin » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:40 am

ADT estimates have dropped to 965.8 mbar (970.4 mbar 2 hours ago) and 85 kts. I wouldn't be surprised if recon finds a high-end cat 2 or maybe even a low-end cat 3 by the time they get there. Whatever category it is, it sure looks like a beast of a storm. Definitely the most unique looking storm of the season.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8812
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#235 Postby aspen » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:46 am

Is it just me, or has Epsilon been moving more W/WNW instead of its forecasted NW/NNW?
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8812
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#236 Postby aspen » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:49 am

Now forecast to peak as an 85 kt Cat 2.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9279
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#237 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:58 am

aspen wrote:Is it just me, or has Epsilon been moving more W/WNW instead of its forecasted NW/NNW?

NHC said that Epsilon took a westward jog.
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
plasticup

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#238 Postby plasticup » Wed Oct 21, 2020 9:58 am

Image

https://i.imgur.com/eiwEV5R.mp4
0 likes   
Top
al78
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 326
Joined: Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:20 pm

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#239 Postby al78 » Wed Oct 21, 2020 10:09 am

Wow that storm is fantastic. I don't often see a hurricane with such a massive outer curved band
0 likes   
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: EPSILON - Hurricane

#240 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Oct 21, 2020 10:31 am

Image
10 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 42 guests