ATL: LAURA - Models
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 15987
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
-
Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 15987
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
It looks like the 6z GFS was a eastern shift from just east of Galveston on the 0z run to SW Louisiana on this one. Looks like 954 mb prior to landfall (which is a little stronger....0z was 959).
0 likes
-
Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 15987
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
-
Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 15987
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
06Z GFS is a little further east for landfall than 00Z but still depicts a strong hurricane.
The trough looks like it is starting to cut off near Houston in the water vaper imagery this morning and noticeably less shear over Marco.
May not effect future steering but if Marco comes in a little further west of Terrebonne Parish as a stronger storm it would shift the track of Laura left in future runs.
The trough looks like it is starting to cut off near Houston in the water vaper imagery this morning and noticeably less shear over Marco.
May not effect future steering but if Marco comes in a little further west of Terrebonne Parish as a stronger storm it would shift the track of Laura left in future runs.
0 likes
-
stormlover2013
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
You prob won’t see it shift much East than that, Like nhc said Laura has been more south, I say sw la to free port is best bet
1 likes
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
I haven't gotten more than 4 hours of sleep in 2 days thanks to model anticipation
2 likes
-
eastcoastFL
- Category 5
- Posts: 3901
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
- Location: Palm City, FL
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
HWRF 18hrs
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
eastcoastFL
- Category 5
- Posts: 3901
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
- Location: Palm City, FL
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
tiger_deF wrote:I haven't gotten more than 4 hours of sleep in 2 days thanks to model anticipation
Many people can suffer from this From late Aug through late October. Good news is once the power goes out you’ll be plenty tired
2 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
eastcoastFL
- Category 5
- Posts: 3901
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
- Location: Palm City, FL
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
HMON emerging from Cuba at 42hrs
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
eastcoastFL
- Category 5
- Posts: 3901
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
- Location: Palm City, FL
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
06z intensity guidance trending upwards but good news is there’s no more monster cat 4 and 5s.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
eastcoastFL
- Category 5
- Posts: 3901
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
- Location: Palm City, FL
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
HWRF coming off of Cuba also around 42hrs
Looking a little ragged but not dead
Looking a little ragged but not dead
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
eastcoastFL
- Category 5
- Posts: 3901
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
- Location: Palm City, FL
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
HWRF 57 hrs
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
06z HMON seems to make landfall at 96 hours as a 941 mbar hurricane at the TX/LA border, pretty much the same strength as last run (939 mbar) but further West.
Last edited by kevin on Sun Aug 23, 2020 6:28 am, edited 3 times in total.
0 likes
-
eastcoastFL
- Category 5
- Posts: 3901
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
- Location: Palm City, FL
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
HWRF 78hrs. Seems weaker
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
eastcoastFL
- Category 5
- Posts: 3901
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
- Location: Palm City, FL
Re: ATL: LAURA - Models
kevin wrote:06z HMON seems to make landfall at 96 hours as a 941 mbar hurricane at the TX/LA border, pretty much the same strength as last run (939 mbar) but further West.
https://i.imgur.com/aw7U2mO.png
Geez. 124kts
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest