ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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chaser1
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2521 Postby chaser1 » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:12 pm

gfsperpendicular wrote:I think we need to revoke Hispaniola's nickname for the time being


Right. From the shredder..... to the spawner.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2522 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:13 pm

gfsperpendicular wrote:I think we need to revoke Hispaniola's nickname for the time being

Yeah no longer can we call it the shredder! :roll:
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2523 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:13 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:I'm not even going to try and and say the name of the hurricane. I'm just going to call it "The I Storm"

Saw someone on here spell it “Isalsa”, I vote for that
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2524 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:13 pm

chaser1 wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:Just taking a look at the latest GFS rolling in. So far it is almost a mirror image to 18z. However, Great Inagua is a good waypoint to keep an eye on. According to the GFS it looks like is has it passing north of Great Inagua. Time will tell if that actually happens.


Great point. If the storm were really tracking 305° per NHC, then yeah it would pass north or easily over Great Inagua. On the other hand these aging eyes see something closer to 280/285 perhaps? Less scientific but notable is the number "9" configuration of the system as a whole. I think this typically would denote a westward track. If Isaias manages to travel south of the Islands, that would suggest at least a little bit of a track adjustment.


Just eyeballing it I'd say it looks like 285 as well. But that is most likely deceiving due to the convection. Not a good idea to try to estimate motion at night. Regardless, we've got recon out there to keep giving us center fixes. We'll find out exactly what its heading is in due time. Watch Great Inagua. After that Andros is the next waypoint.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2525 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:14 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:I'm not even going to try and and say the name of the hurricane. I'm just going to call it "The I Storm"

I just say it how it sounds at this point! :lol:
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2526 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:14 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:I'm not even going to try and and say the name of the hurricane. I'm just going to call it "The I Storm"

Saw someone on here spell it “Isalsa”, I vote for that


If you're going to do it that way you have to spell it with a lower case i and upper case S, like an iPhone.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#2527 Postby StruThiO » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:16 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:Why is it moving so fast? Weren’t trade winds supposed to be slow this season?

At this point I wouldn’t loose sleep over this mess as it’ll likely never amount to anything significant. Conditions just aren’t favorable out there even with a passing Kelvin Wave.


:lol:
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2528 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:17 pm

I took a nap and woke up to a hurricane???!
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#2529 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:18 pm

StruThiO wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Why is it moving so fast? Weren’t trade winds supposed to be slow this season?

At this point I wouldn’t loose sleep over this mess as it’ll likely never amount to anything significant. Conditions just aren’t favorable out there even with a passing Kelvin Wave.


:lol:

Give me a break, ok? This thing was a pain to track and watch all week then it suddenly decides to blowup while crossing Shreddonia!
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2530 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:18 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:I'm not even going to try and and say the name of the hurricane. I'm just going to call it "The I Storm"

Saw someone on here spell it “Isalsa”, I vote for that


That is how I started spelling it in the Discord chat last night lol
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2531 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:19 pm

Tides will be running higher as there’s a full moon on Monday.

 https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack/status/1289042159749005312


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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2532 Postby IsabelaWeather » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:19 pm

artist wrote:Translated -
Drivers transiting the Carr 100 at the height of km 0.7 (Rio Guanajibo Bridge) in the direction of Cabo Rojo to Mayaguez, right lane COMPLETELY OBSTRUCTED by fallen trees.
https://twitter.com/angeljsomar/status/1289037446479589378



I drove right by that earlier this afternoon. I was very surprised with the amount of trees down from the storm in the Mayaguez area. I believe it was from mudslides as opposed to wind but I can't confirm because there were a lot of branches (some large) which were obviously wind damage.

Meanwhile at my house most of the day was a bit breezy but not much more than typical and not a lot of rain. We did get a lot more rain after I go home, but Mayaguez had 6-8 inches, and Isabela area only received ~3.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2533 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:19 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:Tides will be running higher as there’s a full moon on Monday.

https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack/status/1289042159749005312


How wonderful :double:
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2534 Postby Beef Stew » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:19 pm

And to think, just a week ago we were wondering if Hanna would make a run for it and give us the season's first hurricane before August... Now we've hit two.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2535 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:20 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:I took a nap and woke up to a hurricane???!


At least we can confirm it's not an open wave now.
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2536 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:20 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:I'm not even going to try and and say the name of the hurricane. I'm just going to call it "The I Storm"

Saw someone on here spell it “Isalsa”, I vote for that


That is how I started spelling it in the Discord chat last night lol
Personally, I like it better and I get to thinking about eating chips.

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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#2537 Postby KC7NEC » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:21 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:
StruThiO wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Why is it moving so fast? Weren’t trade winds supposed to be slow this season?

At this point I wouldn’t loose sleep over this mess as it’ll likely never amount to anything significant. Conditions just aren’t favorable out there even with a passing Kelvin Wave.


:lol:

Give me a break, ok? This thing was a pain to track and watch all week then it suddenly decides to blowup while crossing Shreddonia!


2020 is in effect.

Serious though for discussion. With a stronger storm it's less likely to take the turn as early right?
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2538 Postby emeraldislenc » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:22 pm

I was thinking it would be a full moon soon which is not good if the storm hits on Monday.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#2539 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:22 pm

KC7NEC wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:
StruThiO wrote:
:lol:

Give me a break, ok? This thing was a pain to track and watch all week then it suddenly decides to blowup while crossing Shreddonia!


2020 is in effect.

Serious though for discussion. With a stronger storm it's less likely to take the turn as early right?

No a stronger storm would likely go more right or East.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#2540 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:22 pm

KC7NEC wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:
StruThiO wrote:
:lol:

Give me a break, ok? This thing was a pain to track and watch all week then it suddenly decides to blowup while crossing Shreddonia!


2020 is in effect.

Serious though for discussion. With a stronger storm it's less likely to take the turn as early right?


Other way around, stronger storm more likely to feel the trough and be tugged out to sea.
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