ATL: GONZALO - Remnants - Discussion

[SFLcane]

 https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1285668793612750848

[northjaxpro]

There you have it y"all. TD 7 is here.

[CyclonicFury]

Well there's our July MDR TC.

[AutoPenalti]

Yeah, there really is no argument here.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Very interested to see the NHC's intensity forecast. If named by July 23, it'll beat Gert (2005) as the earliest 7th named storm.

EDIT: Corrected 8th to 7th.

[northjaxpro]

I had a discussoon with someone anout 10 days ago when I said we could get 4 named storms in this month.of July. I.actually .predicted 3 in the poll conducted.

Four storms is looking pretty decent right now,

[toad strangler]

I had adiscussoon with domeone anout 10 dsys aho when O ssid ee will get 4 nsmed storms in thid month.of July. I.actually .predicted 3 in the poll conducted.

Four storms is looking pretty decent right now,

Tooo much liquid lunch eh?

[GCANE]

I had adiscussoon with domeone anout 10 dsys aho when O ssid ee will get 4 nsmed storms in thid month.of July. I.actually .predicted 3 in the poll conducted.

Four storms is looking pretty decent right now,

Tooo much liquid lunch eh?

I would say maybe 4 martinis

[Ivanhater]

How quickly things can turn in the tropics. And the Euro is showing another system behind this one.

Could we really be ahead of 2005 soon? Wow

[northjaxpro]

I had adiscussoon with domeone anout 10 dsys aho when O ssid ee will get 4 nsmed storms in thid month.of July. I.actually .predicted 3 in the poll conducted.

Four storms is looking pretty decent right now,

Tooo much liquid lunch eh?

NO I am quite lucid my friend. Just had a sticking of keys on my phone as I am away from my office at the moment. Glad you.found some humor in it with GCANE.

[EquusStorm]

Well no big shock there. Still convinced it was probably classifiable at 11, but an afternoon of maintaining and increasing organized convection no doubt sealed the deal.

[Do_For_Love]

Not surprised at this point, but yesterday it looked like Seven might not really get anywhere. It'll be interesting to see if it keeps performing on the high end of expectations or not.

[CrazyC83]

Reminds me of Danny in 2015. Probably has about 72 hours to do its thing before conditions fall apart, but the short term looks really conducive.

[toad strangler]

Well no big shock there. Still convinced it was probably classifiable at 11, but an afternoon of maintaining and increasing organized convection no doubt sealed the deal.

This isn't a good sign being the generally unfavorable background state and how far E SEVEN is.

[aspen]

Nice hot tower firing off at ~40.5W, just as the sun sets. Diurnal max will probably get this to TS status for 11pm.

[ScottNAtlanta]

This is getting ready to hit some very high oceanic heat content too.

[SFLcane]

They keep it TS into the caribbean. Intensity will be tricky

[aspen]

55 kt peak for the first advisory. I wasn’t expecting the NHC to be that aggressive.

[Aric Dunn]

Reminds me of Danny in 2015. Probably has about 72 hours to do its thing before conditions fall apart, but the short term looks really conducive.

though it is a good deal bigger than danny... if it becomes a hurricane it will likely be a big harder to kill off.

if oyu sneezed to hard.. danny would have fallen apart. lol

[Visioen]

I assumed I planned my holiday (started this weekend) too early to be TC tracking, but here we are!
The first ones are always attention grabbing, give it 2 months and if it's not a hurricane no one cares.