ATL: MARCO - Models

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Steve
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#261 Postby Steve » Thu Aug 20, 2020 12:31 pm

HMON heading for AL/MS border @ Cat 1
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 14L_34.png
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#262 Postby La Breeze » Thu Aug 20, 2020 12:34 pm

Steve wrote:HMON heading for AL/MS border @ Cat 1
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 14L_34.png

The models are swinging it seems.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#263 Postby Blinhart » Thu Aug 20, 2020 12:42 pm

If this system has a still strong closed circulation after going after the Yucatan, then I don't see any reason that this doesn't have a chance to bomb out to at least a Cat. 3.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#264 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:15 pm

Ruh Roh :eek: :eek:

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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#265 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:16 pm

12z ECMWF has 14L as a hurricane in the Gulf.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#266 Postby Kazmit » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:17 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#267 Postby HoustonFrog » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:19 pm

Kazmit wrote:Image

Sorry newbie here - how do I read this? At what point in time?
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#268 Postby hohnywx » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:20 pm

HoustonFrog wrote:

Sorry newbie here - how do I read this? At what point in time?


The time is up in the top center of the map. It is valid 7 AM Monday, August 24th.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#269 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:22 pm

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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#270 Postby SoupBone » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:23 pm

Euro has it at 998mb approaching the Galveston area. This is why the earlier NHC forecast showed this I guess.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#271 Postby Blinhart » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:24 pm

So if I'm reading all the different models correctly, this should make landfall somewhere in between Corpus Christi and New Orleans as either a strong TS to a Strong Cat 1.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#272 Postby BigB0882 » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:25 pm

What is the heading on the Euro when it is in the center of the Gulf? I can't see any images hosted on imgur thanks to firewalls at my work. The Euro hasn't wanted to develop anything so this is an interesting turn of events for them. And where is 13? Poof again?

Edit: I see that it is heading toward Galveston. I see it also weakens quite a bit from when it was at 987mb. So it isn't too excited about this one but more so than anything of late.
Last edited by BigB0882 on Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#273 Postby SoupBone » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:26 pm

BigB0882 wrote:What is the heading on the Euro when it is in the center of the Gulf? I can't see any images hosted on imgur thanks to firewalls at my work. The Euro hasn't wanted to develop anything so this is an interesting turn of events for them. And where is 13? Poof again?


No poof, a tropical storm heading to Galveston/Houston at 120 hours on the Euro.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#274 Postby BigB0882 » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:28 pm

SoupBone wrote:
BigB0882 wrote:What is the heading on the Euro when it is in the center of the Gulf? I can't see any images hosted on imgur thanks to firewalls at my work. The Euro hasn't wanted to develop anything so this is an interesting turn of events for them. And where is 13? Poof again?


No poof, a tropical storm heading to Galveston/Houston at 120 hours on the Euro.


I was talking about 13. I don't see that one on the one image that is showing up for me. All I see is 14 in the center of the Gulf at 987mb and 13 no where to be found.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#275 Postby catskillfire51 » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:29 pm

BigB0882 wrote:What is the heading on the Euro when it is in the center of the Gulf? I can't see any images hosted on imgur thanks to firewalls at my work. The Euro hasn't wanted to develop anything so this is an interesting turn of events for them. And where is 13? Poof again?

Edit: I see that it is heading toward Galveston. I see it also weakens quite a bit from when it was at 987mb. So it isn't too excited about this one but more so than anything of late.


I have a firewall at work too but tropical tidbits still loads if you try that website but it's headed to Houston as well.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#276 Postby SoupBone » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:29 pm

Euro inland on Wednesday, south of Galveston. Can't see the strength, maybe someone else can fill in that blank.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#277 Postby stormlover2013 » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:29 pm

high pressure is strong strong
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#278 Postby AerospaceEng » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:31 pm

Can’t wait to see the Euro ensembles.


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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#279 Postby catskillfire51 » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:32 pm

Weathermodels isn't working right now so I can see specifics
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#280 Postby stormlover2013 » Thu Aug 20, 2020 1:33 pm

Euro right in line with NHC and tvcn
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