ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

Yes and now back to nowcasting like yesterday, the models are for entertainment, we have real weather to watch from this point forward

How about that Hurricane Watch for parts of the FL East Coast.
Money

They had do it, might even get expanded southwards. The money point was the cost of a hurricane watch/warning is significantly higher than TS. Lets hope damage is minimal and they can manage to keep covid form spreading in shelters.

Is about saving lives, not money, when Watches and Warnings are placed.

[wzrgirl1]

Got gas and water Tuesday.

It's going to be a cluster if they throw up watches.

I have a feeling the ridging might be stronger than intended and we might be seeing a strong TS/Cat 1 conditions here in NE Broward.

(Not a forecast)

I do as well. I am closing my shutters regardless. It is good practice and if something does happen to your home that could have been prevented with shutters then, the insurance company will not pay you if you didn't use your shutters.

[N2FSU]

I use Foreflight to input the NHC track coordinates to get a closer look. Here is the 11am:




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[N2FSU]

about 30nm from Vero Beach


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[Patrick99]

As always, for Miami-FTL, this'll come down to where it is in relation to Andros early tomorrow morning. Any minor tweaks to the cone, if it follows the left side, could allow it to slide underneath Andros. I feel like in reality, this rarely ends up being as close a call as people want to think.

[Jr0d]

URNT15 KNHC 311545
AF304 0709A ISAIAS HDOB 44 20200731
153500 2154N 07451W 6963 03113 9944 +143 +048 018035 039 051 003 00
153530 2152N 07450W 6961 03110 9952 +130 +051 019040 046 047 002 00
153600 2151N 07448W 6980 03084 9953 +126 +053 002010 028 028 002 03
153630 2151N 07447W 6961 03106 9953 +124 +053 197004 006 019 000 03
153700 2150N 07445W 6970 03091 9935 +137 +054 214009 012 017 001 00
153730 2149N 07443W 6967 03101 9930 +147 +055 227020 024 028 000 00
153800 2148N 07442W 6970 03103 9935 +147 +057 233030 032 041 001 00
153830 2146N 07441W 6966 03113 9956 +135 +060 241036 037 045 001 00
153900 2145N 07439W 6976 03107 9969 +129 +061 241038 039 047 001 00
153930 2144N 07438W 6961 03133 9983 +123 +062 239038 038 046 000 00
154000 2142N 07437W 6977 03122 0002 +114 +061 236040 041 047 000 03
154030 2141N 07435W 6970 03135 0011 +112 +059 232039 040 046 000 00
154100 2140N 07434W 6966 03145 0017 +111 +057 227040 040 045 000 00
154130 2138N 07433W 6965 03147 0028 +104 +055 229040 042 044 001 00
154200 2137N 07431W 6971 03142 0038 +101 +052 221041 041 042 002 00
154230 2136N 07430W 6966 03153 0051 +093 +049 215043 043 041 002 00
154300 2135N 07429W 6967 03153 0054 +091 +046 213043 043 040 001 00
154330 2133N 07428W 6970 03150 0057 +092 +041 210043 044 039 001 00
154400 2132N 07426W 6967 03158 0059 +093 +038 212044 046 039 001 00
154430 2131N 07425W 6970 03154 0057 +094 +036 213

993mb with 28kt SFMR winds...looks like the pressure has fallen a bit from the last couple of passes.

[lhpfish]

Pompano Beach... Pull the boat out of the water or wait until tommorow...

[Blown Away]

https://twitter.com/yconsor/status/1289221635854090240

Maybe, but Isaias doesn't stop with this WNW motion he will likely move over Florida peninsula and that turn might be inland over the SE CONUS.

[DestinHurricane]

Pompano Beach... Pull the boat out of the water or wait until tommorow...

I am wondering the same up the road in Boca. I'm leaning towards just tying up good.

[Jr0d]

Pompano Beach... Pull the boat out of the water or wait until tommorow...

Do it today unless you want to take the risk of gusty winds and occasional rain bands tomorrow.

[lhpfish]

Pompano Beach... Pull the boat out of the water or wait until tommorow...

Do it today unless you want to take the risk of gusty winds and occasional rain bands tomorrow.

West shifts are concerning, and if it does intensify and the neighborhood goes full freak out I might not be able to get out of the canal tomorrow morning.

[islandgirl45]

I use Foreflight to input the NHC track coordinates to get a closer look. Here is the 11am:
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200731/5e2363e3da57102e73369b843df01db5.jpg
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200731/03ab5cf9af80d8d27f648df413492c23.jpg


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How far to Daytona Beach?

[Bimms]

They have not issued any Hurricane watches for Broward County yet, just from Palm Beach going up. I wonder if with the next advisory, if it continues to shift west, will we see that. Also what are your thoughts for the Central to Northern Broward area. Do you think there will be any impacts based on what you see now?

[toad strangler]

As soon as I was convinced this was off the coast and we are sucking cirrus the W trend started. I along with many others on here apparently never learn anything. Hurricane Watch on the Treasure Coast. More changes on deck I'm sure.

[lhpfish]

They have not issued any Hurricane watches for Broward County yet, just from Palm Beach going up. I wonder if with the next advisory, if it continues to shift west, will we see that. Also what are your thoughts for the Central to Northern Broward area. Do you think there will be any impacts based on what you see now?

Deerfield Beach is Broward County... under a Hurricane Watch.

[NDG]

Orlando TV Mets that last night were pretty much calling the all clear for FL last night now their voice is shaking showing the forecast track that has shifted west and reluctant to show the latest GFS run or 06z Euro run.

[Jr0d]

My parents are in Cocoa Beach. Based on the latest GFS run, I told them to expect similar conditions to Erin in '95, where we had near hurricane conditions...it was also the first storm I truly experienced.

They will board up today, my dad went storm shopping yesterday so they should be well prepared.

[DestinHurricane]

They have not issued any Hurricane watches for Broward County yet, just from Palm Beach going up. I wonder if with the next advisory, if it continues to shift west, will we see that. Also what are your thoughts for the Central to Northern Broward area. Do you think there will be any impacts based on what you see now?

Yeah if it shifts significantly more west they'll extend those watches into Broward and Miami Dade counties. As far as impacts, we don't know yet. Broward could get anything from a light breeze to cat 2 hurricane conditions.

[Cat5James]

They have not issued any Hurricane watches for Broward County yet, just from Palm Beach going up. I wonder if with the next advisory, if it continues to shift west, will we see that. Also what are your thoughts for the Central to Northern Broward area. Do you think there will be any impacts based on what you see now?

Northern Broward is most at risk (in Broward County)... Im in the NW Broward suburbs, if models continue to trend west the watches will be spread, and we might even be upgraded from a TS warning to a Hurricane watch... all depends on the trends.

[Kazmit]

Looks like pressure is dropping again...