ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[jlauderdal]

They have not issued any Hurricane watches for Broward County yet, just from Palm Beach going up. I wonder if with the next advisory, if it continues to shift west, will we see that. Also what are your thoughts for the Central to Northern Broward area. Do you think there will be any impacts based on what you see now?

Yeah if it shifts significantly more west they'll extend those watches into Broward and Miami Dade counties. As far as impacts, we don't know yet. Broward could get anything from a light breeze to cat 2 hurricane conditions.

Just returned from the gas station with my Genny fuel, people were there filling up the gas cans.

[jlauderdal]

Orlando TV Mets that last night were pretty much calling the all clear for FL last night now their voice is shaking showing the forecast track that has shifted west and reluctant to show the latest GFS run or 06z Euro run.

They were foolish calling the all clear in this setup. Oh well, there is time to prepare.

[TheStormExpert]

There’s a white tint in the sky with very little cloud coverage except if you look west here in NE Palm Beach County thanks to the SAL.

[toad strangler]

They have not issued any Hurricane watches for Broward County yet, just from Palm Beach going up. I wonder if with the next advisory, if it continues to shift west, will we see that. Also what are your thoughts for the Central to Northern Broward area. Do you think there will be any impacts based on what you see now?

Yeah if it shifts significantly more west they'll extend those watches into Broward and Miami Dade counties. As far as impacts, we don't know yet. Broward could get anything from a light breeze to cat 2 hurricane conditions.

Just returned from the gas station with my Genny fuel, people were there filling up the gas cans.

I'm at 45 gallons treated and stored away. Fully prepared since the end of May. I usually do that every year but this year I went the extra mile. Gonna be a long season.

[Evil Jeremy]

I filled up my gas tank last night. Usual amount of activity at the station. I'll check on some gas stations in Hollywood when I go get some lunch.

I'm also now mentally preparing myself for the possibility of putting up some shutters tonight...

[eastcoastFL]

I filled up my gas tank last night. Usual amount of activity at the station. I'll check on some gas stations in Hollywood when I go get some lunch.

I'm also now mentally preparing myself for the possibility of putting up some shutters tonight...

I’m not quite ready for shutters yet. I still have a few up from Dorian lol so it won’t be too hard.

[jlauderdal]

I filled up my gas tank last night. Usual amount of activity at the station. I'll check on some gas stations in Hollywood when I go get some lunch.

I'm also now mentally preparing myself for the possibility of putting up some shutters tonight...

If this motion continues the rest of the afternoon and they go with a hurricane watch/warning...the shutters will have to go up, I don't think they have ever been up this early at my place

[Jr0d]

Orlando TV Mets that last night were pretty much calling the all clear for FL last night now their voice is shaking showing the forecast track that has shifted west and reluctant to show the latest GFS run or 06z Euro run.

A bit irresponsible of them...though Orlando likely wont see too much. Their viewers in Brevard however need to be prepared.

SpaceX wanted to bring back tbe astronauts on the 2nd from the ISS to complete the crew Demo-2 mission. Thats not going to happen.

[BoudreauxWPB]

They have not issued any Hurricane watches for Broward County yet, just from Palm Beach going up. I wonder if with the next advisory, if it continues to shift west, will we see that. Also what are your thoughts for the Central to Northern Broward area. Do you think there will be any impacts based on what you see now?

Yeah if it shifts significantly more west they'll extend those watches into Broward and Miami Dade counties. As far as impacts, we don't know yet. Broward could get anything from a light breeze to cat 2 hurricane conditions.

Just returned from the gas station with my Genny fuel, people were there filling up the gas cans.

I work in the Stuart/Palm City area, but live in WPB. After the 11am, I figured I'd go fill up the truck now instead of waiting till 5:30 or so when I was back in PBC after panic mode has set in for people after the 5PM news. Good news is I still have 20 gallons in the garage from last season (if needed) for the generator. No lines in Palm City at the moment. One other guy filling up cans was all I saw.

[Blown Away]

I filled up my gas tank last night. Usual amount of activity at the station. I'll check on some gas stations in Hollywood when I go get some lunch.

I'm also now mentally preparing myself for the possibility of putting up some shutters tonight...

If this motion continues the rest of the afternoon and they go with a hurricane watch/warning...the shutters will have to go up, I don't think they have ever been up this early at my place

Meanwhile Isaias keeps chugging WNW and IMO moving slightly SW of 11am track.

[HurricaneEnzo]

Looks like Aric nailed it. Mountains cut off supply to the power source, looks like it’s temporary though. Core is about to blow up again.

Power source was never cut off. This is just a system battling westerly shear. Perfectly normal for blow ups of convection over the center just for them to be blown away again. Center is already starting to become exposed again as we speak.

[jlauderdal]

Yeah if it shifts significantly more west they'll extend those watches into Broward and Miami Dade counties. As far as impacts, we don't know yet. Broward could get anything from a light breeze to cat 2 hurricane conditions.

Just returned from the gas station with my Genny fuel, people were there filling up the gas cans.

I work in the Stuart/Palm City area, but live in WPB. After the 11am, I figured I'd go fill up the truck now instead of waiting till 5:30 or so when I was back in PBC after panic mode has set in for people after the 5PM news. Good news is I still have 20 gallons in the garage from last season (if needed) for the generator. No lines in Palm City at the moment. One other guy filling up cans was all I saw.

be careful with that gas from last season unless you treated it, 3-6 months max if its in a sealed container....if you arent sure, get rid of it and start fresh, no need to damage your genny, gas is cheap these days

[aspen]

Recon seems to be turning around for one final pass. They found the center quite further NW than before.

[StPeteMike]

Has there been any models this year the have been good with ridging and troughs? And what are they saying about isaias?

[Kat5]

Half naked swirl coming up.

[wzrgirl1]

They have not issued any Hurricane watches for Broward County yet, just from Palm Beach going up. I wonder if with the next advisory, if it continues to shift west, will we see that. Also what are your thoughts for the Central to Northern Broward area. Do you think there will be any impacts based on what you see now?

I believe the watches begin at Deerfield Beach and north which is in Broward County.

[Sanibel]

Relieved to not have to go through the drill on short notice here on the west coast of Florida...

[Bimms]

Thank you for your replies. I know DBC is in Broward County, but that is right on the border with Palm Beach county, so I was wondering more for Central Broward (like the Coral Springs area going down).

[artist]

Just issued-
Hurricane Local Statement
Hurricane Isaias Local Statement Advisory Number 14
FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-010030-

Hurricane Isaias Local Statement Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service Miami FL AL092020
1220 PM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020

This product covers South Florida

**Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch Issued for portions of
South Florida. **

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Watch
and the Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical
Storm Warning for Coastal Palm Beach and Metro Palm Beach
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning for Coastal Broward, Coastal Miami-Dade, and Metro
Broward

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Coastal Palm Beach and Metro Palm Beach
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Inland Broward, Inland
Palm Beach, and Metro Miami-Dade
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Broward,
Coastal Miami-Dade, and Metro Broward

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 460 miles southeast of Miami FL or about 550 miles
east-southeast of Naples FL
- 21.7N 74.5W
- Storm Intensity 75 mph
- Movement Northwest or 305 degrees at 16 mph

[Ian2401]

can someone overlay forecast points onto satellite loop. we are in now-casting territory