ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

Looking at radar, there is a severe looking cell with possible rotation currently there over Gulf Shores, AL.

Penscola NAS now reporting 18.inches and counting...

[Sanibel]

Watching Jeff livestream...

Category 2 strengthening...100mph...

[ElectricStorm]

Recon 965.3 mb

[NDG]

Looks like pressure dropped another mb or two.

691
URNT15 KNHC 160519
AF305 1219A SALLY HDOB 48 20200916
051030 2957N 08734W 6966 02924 9752 +131 //// 160038 041 079 008 01
051100 2957N 08736W 6967 02913 9730 +134 +122 154032 036 069 004 00
051130 2956N 08738W 6965 02909 9717 +142 +107 157031 032 063 003 00
051200 2956N 08740W 6970 02893 9707 +139 +108 156032 032 053 001 00
051230 2955N 08742W 6963 02893 9700 +139 +115 154029 032 037 000 00
051300 2954N 08744W 6970 02878 9684 +147 +109 158025 027 035 000 00
051330 2954N 08746W 6964 02879 9670 +154 +103 146018 022 034 002 03
051400 2953N 08747W 6963 02878 9665 +157 +102 149008 016 030 000 03
051430 2952N 08749W 6967 02869 9663 +155 +107 157002 008 024 000 00
051500 2951N 08751W 6969 02867 9661 +157 +100 322013 016 024 000 00
051530 2950N 08752W 6967 02872 9653 +167 +100 322021 024 022 000 00
051600 2949N 08754W 6969 02874 9655 +170 +100 318030 032 021 000 00
051630 2949N 08754W 6969 02874 9662 +170 +095 318034 034 023 000 00
051700 2946N 08757W 6970 02885 9666 +171 +102 321035 035 023 000 03
051730 2947N 08758W 6963 02896 9665 +177 +095 325032 035 031 000 00
051800 2948N 08759W 6967 02890 9664 +177 +100 337033 033 039 001 00
051830 2949N 08800W 6970 02886 9670 +171 +098 347034 035 042 000 00
051900 2951N 08801W 6963 02896 9673 +169 +093 357035 036 047 000 00
051930 2952N 08802W 6969 02891 9675 +169 +093 005034 035 060 003 00
052000 2953N 08803W 6975 02884 9673 +172 +094 011035 039 075 002 00
$$
;

[ColdMiser123]

Extrapolated pressure down to 965.3 this pass, dropsonde will almost certainly be sub 970.

[TallahasseeMan]

Most recent recon pass clocked 966mb. Still strengthening.


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[Stormgodess]

Haven't said much because I've been in awe all day of this ridiculous storm and tying to provide updates for family in Foley. Mom and brother are sheltered in their apartment; power is out and they're headed for the eyewall. As much as I'd like to discuss tropics especially storms so close by, this one's hitting extremely close to home and it's been an absolutely surreal and unpleasant day.

So sorry. Praying for yall. Im new, and I know you dont know me from Adam... But if at anytime you need anything, if there is anything a Louisiana girl can do to help yall out. Please reach out... Been there.

[cfisher]

Just tuning in tonight, and uhhhh I did not expect Sally to have this impressive of satellite presentation. Another rapidly intensifying storm on approach, huh.

[WeatherEmperor]

Is the landfall expected to take place on the AL or FL aide of the stte border?


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[us89]

Just tuning in tonight, and uhhhh I did not expect Sally to have this impressive of satellite presentation. Another rapidly intensifying storm on approach, huh.

Impressive enough for a T5.8 estimate from CIMSS ADT. Hopefully it won’t reach the wind speeds normally associated with a rating that high.

[Keldeo1997]

965.3 extrap with 20kt FL winds which would be 963MB. RI might be underway

[galaxy401]

Watching Jeff livestream...

Category 2 strengthening...100mph...

Can you link the livestream please?

Those recon passes have been shocking! The rain and surge is going to be the worst part though.

[StPeteMike]

Is the landfall expected to take place on the AL or FL aide of the stte border?


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For sure AL side. Somewhere between Gulf Shores and Orange Beach.

[Extratropical94]

Now that drop is concerning

[NDG]

Buoy to the south now reporting winds gusting to 110 mph.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=42012

[us89]

Probably a gust,but ... dropsonde measured 112 kt winds at the surface in the NE eyewall.

[wx98]

Is the landfall expected to take place on the AL or FL aide of the stte border?


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It’ll be very close, but looking like Gulf Shores/Orange Beach in Alabama

[ElectricStorm]

Now that drop is concerning

https://i.imgur.com/PsuYIWV.png

Wow 112kts. Probably a gust right? Still though this storm is no joke

[saila]

I haven’t post but I lurk. I live in Fairhope along Mobile Bay. We just lost our power about 30 minutes ago. It is just me, my 18 year old daughter, our two cats and dog. It is blowing pretty hard here and raining. I have been through my share of storms but usually I have family around me. Different tonight. I have to admit I am a little scared.

Hurricanes suck in the dark. If you can get the national weather service Website on your phone, you can see Sally on the radar. That way you can tell what parts of the storm are near your location. I notice that the strongest gusts match up with the yellows/oranges on the radar. Good luck

[Snowman67]

Now that drop is concerning

https://i.imgur.com/PsuYIWV.png

Wow. She’s really winding up.