EPAC: DOUGLAS - Remnants

[ScottNAtlanta]

It still looks remarkably good to be this close to HI.

[Kingarabian]

[Yellow Evan]

 https://twitter.com/toddkimberlain/status/1286787235799425025




 https://twitter.com/toddkimberlain/status/1286787634254282753




 https://twitter.com/toddkimberlain/status/1286791105456021505




 https://twitter.com/toddkimberlain/status/1286789033222459397




 https://twitter.com/toddkimberlain/status/1286792481611415552

[Kingarabian]

ADT continues to climb:

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 24 JUL 2020 Time : 225031 UTC
Lat : 17:25:48 N Lon : 143:59:24 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.5 / 960.4mb/102.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.5 5.7 5.7

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 26 km

Center Temp : +14.4C Cloud Region Temp : -59.4C

Scene Type : EYE

[johngaltfla]

ADT continues to climb:

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 24 JUL 2020 Time : 225031 UTC
Lat : 17:25:48 N Lon : 143:59:24 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.5 / 960.4mb/102.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.5 5.7 5.7

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 26 km

Center Temp : +14.4C Cloud Region Temp : -59.4C

Scene Type : EYE

Those are some wowser numbers that close to the big island!

[Kingarabian]

Stadium effect after stadium effect on this entire loop. Link below is 16mb.
https://imgur.com/a/GprsTrC

[Kingarabian]

Hurricane Douglas Intermediate Advisory Number 18A
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082020
200 PM HST Fri Jul 24 2020

...MAJOR HURRICANE DOUGLAS CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARD THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 144.3W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 930 MI...1495 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...29 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES

[Chris90]

I agree that on satellite it's taking on an annular appearance, but the same can't be said for microwave. Eyewall appears much thicker and stronger to the north and west, while thinner and weaker to the south and east. Douglas is maintaining remarkably well though, I hope everyone on the islands are ready and prepared.
Keeping my fingers crossed that Douglas is just another scare.

[Astromanía]

https://i.imgur.com/P0fsard.png

Reminds me Olivia 2018

[Yellow Evan]

TXPN23 KNES 250005
TCSCNP

A. 08E (DOUGLAS)

B. 24/2330Z

C. 17.5N

D. 144.2W

E. ONE/GOES-W

F. T4.5/4.5

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...WMG EYE SURROUNDED AND EMBEDDED IN MG RESULTS IN A DT
OF 4.5 WITH NO EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET AND PT ARE 5.0 BASED ON A 24 HOUR
WEAKENING TREND. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...CLARK

[Yellow Evan]

TPPZ01 PGTW 242352

A. HURRICANE 08E (DOUGLAS)

B. 24/2330Z

C. 17.49N

D. 144.15W

E. ONE/GOES17

F. T5.0/5.0 STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 07A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY MG
YIELDS AN E# OF 4.5. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR LG, TO YIELD
A DT OF 5.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


ELIAS

[CrazyC83]

The ADT can sometimes be high with annular storms, but I'm not sure if they will lower it below 100 kt before Recon arrives.

[supercane4867]

Hurricane watch issued for Oahu.

[supercane4867]

I'm starting to think impacts could be similar to Gil 1983 if Douglas misses the islands just to the north.

[Chris90]

Recon is en route to Douglas. We should get some good data shortly.

It's gonna be a fun night keeping up with all these storms.

[Kingarabian]

I'm thinking 90kts

[cycloneye]

Recon is en route to Douglas. We should get some good data shortly.

It's gonna be a fun night keeping up with all these storms.

Even with invest 92L.

[cycloneye]

Kingarabian stay safe there.

[Kingarabian]

Kingarabian stay safe there.

Thank you, you too! The Atlantic is beasting right now.

[cycloneye]

Kingarabian stay safe there.

Thank you, you too! The Atlantic is beasting right now.

Yes and one may be a big problem for me next week.