ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3281 Postby AutoPenalti » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:32 pm

Looks very impressive
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3282 Postby Blown Away » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:33 pm

Image
Some weather moving through the metro areas..
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3283 Postby SouthDadeFish » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:36 pm

Looks like recon is leaving Eta early, after only fix... I wonder if they had troubles after encountering the ongoing strong convective burst.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3284 Postby Kat5 » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:41 pm

Terrible satellite presentation tonight from Eta.... Let’s see if that turns around after Cuba.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3285 Postby FireRat » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:47 pm

Kat5 wrote:Terrible satellite presentation tonight from Eta.... Let’s see if that turns around after Cuba.


Looks like a Shrimp Comma
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3286 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:48 pm

Kat
It was anticipated due to dry air, but as other have mentioned, I am impressed with the blow up of storms considering, it is suppose to be struggling
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3287 Postby Blown Away » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:50 pm

Image
Eta's 7pm position vs the GFS 18z Ensembles...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3288 Postby fci » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:50 pm



Thank you for posting!
I’ve seen the question of shutters forever with answers ranging from Hurricane Watch to Hurricane Warning.
Good to see an “mph” put on it.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3289 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:53 pm

Well being in Key Largo needed to make a decision early, since they are not to difficult to do they are closed.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3290 Postby AutoPenalti » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:53 pm

Kat5 wrote:Terrible satellite presentation tonight from Eta.... Let’s see if that turns around after Cuba.

Satellite presentation yes, but IR tells a different story.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3291 Postby ronjon » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:54 pm

Kat5 wrote:Terrible satellite presentation tonight from Eta.... Let’s see if that turns around after Cuba.


Actually looks more impressive than earlier today. Seems to have found a sweet spot with lower shear just south of Cuba. Nice convective burst.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3292 Postby SFLcane » Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:59 pm

00z Models shifted way south track will likely shift south away from FL peninsula. Expansion of winds will still be there tomorrow but direct impacts if models keep trending south look doubtful.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3293 Postby ronjon » Sat Nov 07, 2020 8:00 pm

South Floridians...got your sandbags and canoes ready? May have 2-3 days of torrential downpours.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3294 Postby SFLcane » Sat Nov 07, 2020 8:03 pm

I guess that's why you don't bet against the Euro.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3295 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Nov 07, 2020 8:03 pm

psyclone wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Not much chatter on here for a storm that could make landfall in South Florida, considering the concentration of S2K members in the area.


I no longer fear hurricane season. at all. And there's lots of us like that. at this point the burden of proof is on the storm and it has a high hurdle to jump. Show me an eye on approach...unless and until then...the panic-o-meter is registering very low..

Same. We survived Irma, we’ll survive Eta.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3296 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Nov 07, 2020 8:05 pm

SFLcane wrote:I guess that's why you don't bet against the Euro.

I wouldn’t be betting on a model to begin with that performed horribly all season.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3297 Postby AutoPenalti » Sat Nov 07, 2020 8:06 pm

SFLcane wrote:00z Models shifted way south track will likely shift south away from FL peninsula. Expansion of winds will still be there tomorrow but direct impacts if models keep trending south look doubtful.

That’s not necessarily a good thing in the long term...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3298 Postby Blown Away » Sat Nov 07, 2020 8:07 pm

Image
Does Eta have a surprise for us? Probably just convection expanding but maybe an east wobble?? :double:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3299 Postby SFLcane » Sat Nov 07, 2020 8:14 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:
SFLcane wrote:00z Models shifted way south track will likely shift south away from FL peninsula. Expansion of winds will still be there tomorrow but direct impacts if models keep trending south look doubtful.

That’s not necessarily a good thing in the long term...


Meh at this point if it keeps up might just end up with rainy breezy conditions. We shall see
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3300 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Nov 07, 2020 8:17 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:
SFLcane wrote:00z Models shifted way south track will likely shift south away from FL peninsula. Expansion of winds will still be there tomorrow but direct impacts if models keep trending south look doubtful.

That’s not necessarily a good thing in the long term...

Why not, please explain more?
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