ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3321 Postby gatorcane » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:48 pm

KWT wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Looks like it is organizing to me


Yes the inner core is indeed closing off now and has been gradually doing so recently.

This goes along with the drop in pressure. Providing shear doesn't increase and force mid level dry air into the system over the next 12-24hrs, a major isn't out of the question.

However, seen many a system look good at one point then the above knocks the stuffing out of it, so something to keep an eye on.

At the moment, trends are bad for Florida.


Nice to see you KWT! Yeah trends are not good for South Florida. The good news is that there is some dry air and shear around Florida to keep the storm from getting real strong hopefully,
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3322 Postby Ian2401 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:49 pm

Shear is def still present... you can see the very healthy cirrus outflow expanding to the North and then it just...stops when you get to the Western edge of the storm. Hopefully this + SAL will keep Isaias in check
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3323 Postby Vdogg » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:53 pm

Looks like it took in a little bit of dry air but I think it's mixing it out. Hot towers firing again near the center.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3324 Postby eastcoastFL » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:53 pm

MJGarrison wrote:Can a closed eye-wall aid in strengthening?


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Absolutely
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3325 Postby alienstorm » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:54 pm

One large pimple I mean hot tower exploding near the center.
https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu ... 23&y=874.5
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3326 Postby eastcoastFL » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:56 pm

Really wish we weren’t about to lose visible sat as it’s starting to strengthen.

[img]blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/97e69fff-873a-4954-9504-6ee5033404ec[/img]
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3327 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:58 pm

Radar suggests that eyewall is falling apart. That was quick. Dry air and shear should keep it in check. Anyone have the chances of RI from SHIPS? It has got to be near 0.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3328 Postby gatorcane » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:00 pm

No hurricane watch for Broward and Miami-Dade? Thought it would at least extend down to Broward.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3329 Postby JPmia » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:01 pm

gatorcane wrote:No hurricane watch for Broward and Miami-Dade?


There is one for Broward, not Miami-Dade.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3330 Postby gatorcane » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:03 pm

JPmia wrote:
gatorcane wrote:No hurricane watch for Broward and Miami-Dade?


There is one for Broward, not Miami-Dade.


Ok that make sense. Looping the visible loop, don’t see much shear right now. Some dry air but the storm looks to be intensifying and not gaining a lot of latitude:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... t=vis-swir
Last edited by gatorcane on Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3331 Postby shiny-pebble » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:03 pm

Looks like some dry air got in the center but the eyewall is recovering quickly

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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3332 Postby dandeliongum » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:05 pm

JPmia wrote:
gatorcane wrote:No hurricane watch for Broward and Miami-Dade?


There is one for Broward, not Miami-Dade.


In Pembroke Pines, not under a hurricane watch. A friend in Pompano is though, looks like only part of Broward.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3333 Postby Stangfriik » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:05 pm

Uhhh  https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/status/1289330961767739397


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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3334 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:05 pm

Where is the best site to view current radar?

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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3335 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:06 pm

gatorcane wrote:
JPmia wrote:
gatorcane wrote:No hurricane watch for Broward and Miami-Dade?


There is one for Broward, not Miami-Dade.


Ok that make sense. Looping the visible loop, don’t see much shear right now. Some dry air but the storm looks to be intensifying and not gaining a lot of latitude:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... t=vis-swir


I would wager Miami gets a watch at 11, simply because those conditions can't be definitively ruled out at this point, and those conditions would be in roughly 24 hours.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3336 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:07 pm

dandeliongum wrote:
JPmia wrote:
gatorcane wrote:No hurricane watch for Broward and Miami-Dade?


There is one for Broward, not Miami-Dade.


In Pembroke Pines, not under a hurricane watch. A friend in Pompano is though, looks like only part of Broward.


It's a coastal watch through Hallandale Beach.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3337 Postby AutoPenalti » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:08 pm

tarheelprogrammer wrote:Radar suggests that eyewall is falling apart. That was quick. Dry air and shear should keep it in check. Anyone have the chances of RI from SHIPS? It has got to be near 0.

No, That’s not falling apart...
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3338 Postby toad strangler » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:09 pm

 http://twitter.com/stormchasernick/status/1289336734006689793



IS whatever aint gonna go down quietly
Last edited by toad strangler on Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3339 Postby shiny-pebble » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:11 pm

I do wonder if the little burp it had may help it a little. The eye looks to be redeveloping smaller than before. Just my amateur opinion though!!

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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#3340 Postby JPmia » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:11 pm

 https://twitter.com/thezodiac13/status/1289320282264449024


Last edited by JPmia on Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:14 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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