Aric Dunn wrote:I think the NHC position might just a little too far south....
Thank you, even the radar from Key West shows the circulation further north.
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Aric Dunn wrote:I think the NHC position might just a little too far south....
NDG wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:I think the NHC position might just a little too far south....
Thank you, even the radar from Key West shows the circulation further north.
cfisher wrote:NDG wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:I think the NHC position might just a little too far south....
Thank you, even the radar from Key West shows the circulation further north.
That's not the main circulation
Blinhart wrote:
So where are you planning on going to as of right now? I'm sure you can find hotels here in Crowley or in Jennings, which would give you a chance of going down to Hwy 14, I wouldn't suggest going any further south than that because of the potential Storm Surge.
cfisher wrote:NDG wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:I think the NHC position might just a little too far south....
Thank you, even the radar from Key West shows the circulation further north.
That's not the main circulation
aspen wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Aite, now will the NHC finally bump this to major hurricane strength in the next hour or will they first see how it fairs with the NW tip of Cuba?
I’m thinking they’ll go with a peak of 95 kt for this advisory, and then bump it to a MH peak once it finally clears Cuba.
NDG wrote:cfisher wrote:NDG wrote:
Thank you, even the radar from Key West shows the circulation further north.
That's not the main circulation
Recon is on its way to confirm where the circulation is but I am not sure if it will be in time before the circulation goes inland again, we shall see in later this evening.
Aric Dunn wrote:cfisher wrote:NDG wrote:
Thank you, even the radar from Key West shows the circulation further north.
That's not the main circulation
I disagree. Havana surface has switched to the east. and there is a massive feeder band going through the NHC position.
Aric Dunn wrote:NDG wrote:cfisher wrote:
That's not the main circulation
Recon is on its way to confirm where the circulation is but I am not sure if it will be in time before the circulation goes inland again, we shall see in later this evening.
I think it is safe to say where the center is..
This is a composite loop of all four nearby Cuban radars. .
https://i.ibb.co/WsBdxW0/4.gif
cfisher wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:cfisher wrote:
That's not the main circulation
I disagree. Havana surface has switched to the east. and there is a massive feeder band going through the NHC position.
Link?
Stormcenter wrote:I still wonder if Marco’s remains will create a weakness
for Laurel and draw her northward more than expected.
MBryant wrote:Blinhart wrote:MBryant wrote:I made a precautionary reservation for tomorrow to Friday about 200 miles north, just in case. I like options.
Port Arthur Evacuation is now being reported on Radio. 6AM tomorrow.
Cameron Parish is under a Mandatory Evacuation.
That whole parish just about goes underwater with a high tide. Parts of Cameron parish are actually due south of us in Orange. The Sabine meanders northeast from it's mouth before heading more northerly.
Rail Dawg wrote:Blinhart wrote:
So where are you planning on going to as of right now? I'm sure you can find hotels here in Crowley or in Jennings, which would give you a chance of going down to Hwy 14, I wouldn't suggest going any further south than that because of the potential Storm Surge.
When chasing it is always to a parking lot garage nearest landfall. The height above ground and the cement stairwells are a great location. Am still analyzing Laura and I always sleep in the truck. Hotels are impossible except for the news crews who always seem to end up with luxury accommodations lol.
In Michael there were some young chasers with me in the parking garage in Panama City. We knew the eye was going to be about 5 miles to our east (Mexico Beach) and they were determined to go see it. I told them VERY emphatically that they were risking their lives. They were live-streaming on YouTube. They went.
Sure enough I watched the live-stream of their car getting slammed with storm-surge waves and then floating. They bailed and went through the 185 mph winds in a house that they found. I watched houses and businesses explode from the gusts where I was at in the eyewall.
The moral of the story is chasing is a high-risk adventure but if you start small, learn the ropes, have a plan and have an escape plan the risks are greatly reduced.
Chuck
Rail Dawg wrote:Blinhart wrote:
So where are you planning on going to as of right now? I'm sure you can find hotels here in Crowley or in Jennings, which would give you a chance of going down to Hwy 14, I wouldn't suggest going any further south than that because of the potential Storm Surge.
When chasing it is always to a parking lot garage nearest landfall. The height above ground and the cement stairwells are a great location. Am still analyzing Laura and I always sleep in the truck. Hotels are impossible except for the news crews who always seem to end up with luxury accommodations lol.
In Michael there were some young chasers with me in the parking garage in Panama City. We knew the eye was going to be about 5 miles to our east (Mexico Beach) and they were determined to go see it. I told them VERY emphatically that they were risking their lives. They were live-streaming on YouTube. They went.
Sure enough I watched the live-stream of their car getting slammed with storm-surge waves and then floating. They bailed and went through the 185 mph winds in a house that they found. I watched houses and businesses explode from the gusts where I was at in the eyewall.
The moral of the story is chasing is a high-risk adventure but if you start small, learn the ropes, have a plan and have an escape plan the risks are greatly reduced.
Chuck
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