ATL: LAURA - Models

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Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3621 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:34 am

00z GEFS:
Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3622 Postby sphelps8681 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:36 am

Kingarabian wrote:00z GEFS:
https://i.imgur.com/1COmUPf.png


This will not be good for me. I am just 15 miles north of Beaumont. UGH!!
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3623 Postby SoupBone » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:37 am

I'm curious about this two part scenario. Were tonight's runs more west due to them running west like they've done for a week like this, specifically at night? So we see a slight eastern shift next runs.

Or is due to the data that made it in.

Was the HWRF more west this run?
Last edited by SoupBone on Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:38 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3624 Postby sphelps8681 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:38 am

AerospaceEng wrote:
Haris wrote:Huge shift left on GEFS... Couple members get it into CTX!!

Do you have a link?


Sorry but what is the CTX? Sorry I am old. LOL!!
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3625 Postby catskillfire51 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:39 am

sphelps8681 wrote:
AerospaceEng wrote:
Haris wrote:Huge shift left on GEFS... Couple members get it into CTX!!

Do you have a link?


Sorry but what is the CTX? Sorry I am old. LOL!!


I'm pretty sure Central Texas
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3626 Postby Steejo91 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:39 am

sphelps8681 wrote:
AerospaceEng wrote:
Haris wrote:Huge shift left on GEFS... Couple members get it into CTX!!

Do you have a link?


Sorry but what is the CTX? Sorry I am old. LOL!!


Central Texas
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3627 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:39 am

Just for entertainment purposes the NAM 3k still showing sub 900s

Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3628 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:41 am

00z Euro initialized:
Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3629 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:42 am

SoupBone wrote:I'm curious about this two part scenario. Were tonight's runs more west due to them running west like they've done for a week like this, specifically at night? So we see a slight eastern shift next runs.

Or is due to the data that made it in.

Was the HWRF more west this run?



Last 2 were identical basically maybe a hair/few miles East.. 12z was further East

00Z HWRF

Image


18z
Image


12z

Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3630 Postby sphelps8681 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:43 am

When does EURO come out?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3631 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:43 am

Kingarabian wrote:00z Euro initialized:
https://i.imgur.com/CwBmDPU.png


A little too weak but good position
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3632 Postby catskillfire51 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:44 am

eastcoastFL wrote:Just for entertainment purposes the NAM 3k still showing sub 900s

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2020082500/nam3km_mslp_wind_us_43.png


Even the NAM 3k made it to TX/LA border, I'm really thinking we are getting closer. We shall see after the Euro.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3633 Postby AerospaceEng » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:51 am

If anything it looks like the 0z euro initialized a hair too for north.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3634 Postby aperson » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:52 am

Note the 24h trend in ridging on the 00z Euro

Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3635 Postby SoupBone » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:53 am

catskillfire51 wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:Just for entertainment purposes the NAM 3k still showing sub 900s

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2020082500/nam3km_mslp_wind_us_43.png


Even the NAM 3k made it to TX/LA border, I'm really thinking we are getting closer. We shall see after the Euro.


I don't think so after that jump out the gate.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3636 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:53 am

00z Euro hour 24:
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3637 Postby galaxy401 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:57 am

Euro stronger and more SW so far. Not liking this trend.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3638 Postby ColdMiser123 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:59 am

Euro is well south and stronger than 12z through hour 36.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3639 Postby catskillfire51 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:01 am

and there's the dang wrench in things!
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3640 Postby shah83 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:01 am

Well, that tears it. Anyone needing to evacuate Houston has to plan to leave soon.
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