TS conditions at my place, 40+ and heavy raingatorcane wrote:NDG wrote:Virginia Key wind gusts to 41 mph with that squall that went through.
1 Aug 1:54 pm 79 NE 30G41
Getting very windy here at the coast in Boca Raton. Also incoming feeder band should bring the strongest wind gusts yet.
ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
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- CFLHurricane
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
I keep reloading the satellite feed thinking “surely Isaias has rebuilt by now”, and it just looks more pathetic beyond my lowest expectations each time.
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I'm not a meteorologist, but I did stay at a motel 8.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
DestinHurricane wrote:You guys sure this didn't just turn NNW? Sure does look like it to me.
Looks NW to me on radar
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
eastcoastFL wrote:DestinHurricane wrote:You guys sure this didn't just turn NNW? Sure does look like it to me.
Looks NW to me on radar
Hard to tell if it's NW or NNW to me.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Ken711 wrote:eastcoastFL wrote:DestinHurricane wrote:You guys sure this didn't just turn NNW? Sure does look like it to me.
Looks NW to me on radar
Hard to tell if it's NW or NNW to me.
So there was a turn from the previous WNW motion?
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Michael 2018
Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
You guys in Miami-Ft Laud-WPB area about to get hit with a nasty looking squall.
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/fl/key-west/amx
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/fl/key-west/amx
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
eastcoastFL wrote:DestinHurricane wrote:You guys sure this didn't just turn NNW? Sure does look like it to me.
Looks NW to me on radar
Looks like it’s moving generally NW toward Bimini Islands.
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- gatorcane
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
ronjon wrote:You guys in Miami-Ft Laud-WPB area about to get hit with a nasty looking squall.
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/fl/key-west/amx
I see the clouds darkening just to the east. Will report on conditions.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
fci wrote:caneman wrote:northjaxpro wrote:
Of course we can. I am a lifelong native Floridian. I have been to the rodeo many times with these cyclones my friend. So I do not need any tutorials about this from you or anyone else for that matter.
Be safe folks.
Easy sparky. NO one is giving you a tutorial. I've been a Floridian since 1976 and tracking hurricanes for more than 20 years. I've seen it all. You stated your opinion and I stated mine.
As yet another poster who has lived in Florida many years; maybe more than either of you; expressing our opinions is what this Board is for and if anyone was giving a tutorial it was not caneman.
In my opinion, as long as you are not slamming the NHC or Pro Mets, who know a heck of a lot more than those of us who have 20-40 years or more layperson experience; have at it and express your opinion, support your opinion, and don’t give us lectures or tutorials on what we can say.
(fci climbs off his soapbox and returns to watching this apparent non-event)
Yep. Little interest in posting here any longer after the tongue lashing I took after my last post.
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I HAVE ABSOLUTELY NO IDEA WHAT I'M TALKING ABOUT. PLEASE CONSULT SOMEONE WHO DOES. START WITH THE NHC. ALL POSTS ARE FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.
Re: RE: Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
jlauderdal wrote:Thats true but the cone has an error so for mclaughlin to say 0 is not a good idea.fci wrote:typhoonty wrote:Steve Mclaughlin on NBC 6 literally posted a tweet and said on air that there is "a 0% chance Isaias makes landfall in Miami Dade or Broward." I'm wondering how, in the Miami market, he doesn't know what the cone means. Ugh.
Actually, according to the Bryan Norcross video; the 11:00 AM advisory had Miami Dade and Broward no longer in the cone.
You are correct.
As a member of the media that people follow, even if they are out of the cone, saying 0% is irresponsible.
Better to say that the area is out of the cone but to still follow until it has actually passed.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Anxiously watching this from Long Island, NY. Really hoping that Team “it’s falling apart” is right.
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Biologist by training, weather enthusiast for life.
Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
drewschmaltz wrote:fci wrote:caneman wrote:
Easy sparky. NO one is giving you a tutorial. I've been a Floridian since 1976 and tracking hurricanes for more than 20 years. I've seen it all. You stated your opinion and I stated mine.
As yet another poster who has lived in Florida many years; maybe more than either of you; expressing our opinions is what this Board is for and if anyone was giving a tutorial it was not caneman.
In my opinion, as long as you are not slamming the NHC or Pro Mets, who know a heck of a lot more than those of us who have 20-40 years or more layperson experience; have at it and express your opinion, support your opinion, and don’t give us lectures or tutorials on what we can say.
(fci climbs off his soapbox and returns to watching this apparent non-event)
Yep. Little interest in posting here any longer after the tongue lashing I took after my last post.
You said nothing wrong, Drew.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Ken711 wrote:eastcoastFL wrote:DestinHurricane wrote:You guys sure this didn't just turn NNW? Sure does look like it to me.
Looks NW to me on radar
Hard to tell if it's NW or NNW to me.
A bit of a NW wobble but looks to be wobbling back WNW.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
I doubt Isaias will have convection by the 5pm advisory, even if towers start diring soon I doubt it will be enough to officially maintain hurricane status besides.
Later this evening when the sun starts to set is when I expect the convection to start firing. If Isaias can maintain that convection over night then I believe we will make it back to hurricane strength. If the convection fires and fizzles like some of models are showing then Florida will not get a hurricane.
Just an amateur opinion not a legitimate forecast
Later this evening when the sun starts to set is when I expect the convection to start firing. If Isaias can maintain that convection over night then I believe we will make it back to hurricane strength. If the convection fires and fizzles like some of models are showing then Florida will not get a hurricane.
Just an amateur opinion not a legitimate forecast
Last edited by Jr0d on Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
drewschmaltz wrote:fci wrote:caneman wrote:
Easy sparky. NO one is giving you a tutorial. I've been a Floridian since 1976 and tracking hurricanes for more than 20 years. I've seen it all. You stated your opinion and I stated mine.
As yet another poster who has lived in Florida many years; maybe more than either of you; expressing our opinions is what this Board is for and if anyone was giving a tutorial it was not caneman.
In my opinion, as long as you are not slamming the NHC or Pro Mets, who know a heck of a lot more than those of us who have 20-40 years or more layperson experience; have at it and express your opinion, support your opinion, and don’t give us lectures or tutorials on what we can say.
(fci climbs off his soapbox and returns to watching this apparent non-event)
Yep. Little interest in posting here any longer after the tongue lashing I took after my last post.
I hate it when some people have to ruin the party for everyone else.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
fci wrote:caneman wrote:northjaxpro wrote:
Of course we can. I am a lifelong native Floridian. I have been to the rodeo many times with these cyclones my friend. So I do not need any tutorials about this from you or anyone else for that matter.
Be safe folks.
Easy sparky. NO one is giving you a tutorial. I've been a Floridian since 1976 and tracking hurricanes for more than 20 years. I've seen it all. You stated your opinion and I stated mine.
As yet another poster who has lived in Florida many years; maybe more than either of you; expressing our opinions is what this Board is for and if anyone was giving a tutorial it was not caneman.
In my opinion, as long as you are not slamming the NHC or Pro Mets, who know a heck of a lot more than those of us who have 20-40 years or more layperson experience; have at it and express your opinion, support your opinion, and don’t give us lectures or tutorials on what we can say.
(fci climbs off his soapbox and returns to watching this apparent non-event)
I have no problems with anyone . You can bash me or anyone else and that's your right to those who feel like that. Have no problrms with that. I enjoy spending time on the board while working, practically daily to share my thoughts, which I have on Storm2k for 10 years come September. So, I come to lend my experience, thoughts analysis and advice to those who either ask for it, or out of my care and concerns to the publc. After all, I serve the publc in my capacity.
So, I respect everyone on this board. People from all walks of life come on.here Pros and enthusiasts alike. I have been a member for so long now on this forum I just want all members to look at me as one of the older uncles of StormK Lol.. Feel free to notify me with any questions if you elect to do so, whether to private message, or on the threads themselves, and I will do my best to respond back to you. I have done the best to reply back to those who ask me for anything through the years.
I did not intend on.a discertation here, but felt it was good to share how I feel, since we have a little lull with Isaias going through a weakening cycle currently.
Have a great afternoon and be safe people!
Last edited by northjaxpro on Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Hey guys, I know emotions are running high but can we focus on the matter at hand?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
I think Bertha (2014) found a replacement for ugliest still classified hurricane!



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- gatorcane
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
On fringe of band on the coast in Boca, feels and looks like TS conditions 

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