ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
It's in no hurry to move, feels like it have slowed down.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Lots of beautiful outflow boundaries expanding out of the dying convection. Classic


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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks like isaac is beelining towards bimini...
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Jr0d wrote:Weatherboy1 wrote:Vigorous circulation ... but convection decapitated. I had expected some to rebuild once Isaias got back over water but so far? Nope. Will likely spin down gradually unless some storms can rebuild soon
Convection will come back tonight. I would bet on it.
i would almost bet on it also seems to wanna keep fighting and this year way things are going this will just be another thing 2020 throws at us is it january 1st yet i am done with 2020 already lol. patiently waiting here in Virginia beach Virginia to see what this storm is going to do.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- DestinHurricane
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Convection starting to show up on IR north of llc. lets see if it holds
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Michael 2018
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
isaias is reminding us that it's only late july/early august right now.
1 month later on this path and it is likely at least a cat 2/3
1 month later on this path and it is likely at least a cat 2/3
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
DestinHurricane wrote:Convection starting to show up on IR north of llc. lets see if it holds
The north also appears to be deepening on radar. Lets see if this is the start of a resurgence.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
AxaltaRacing24 wrote:isaias is reminding us that it's only late july/early august right now.
1 month later on this path and it is likely at least a cat 2/3
hate to say it but if it was late august early september it could even be a 4 or a 5 with as strong of a fighter this one has shown to be
Last edited by Syx6sic on Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: RE: Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
jlauderdal wrote:TS conditions at my place, 40+ and heavy raingatorcane wrote:NDG wrote:Virginia Key wind gusts to 41 mph with that squall that went through.
1 Aug 1:54 pm 79 NE 30G41
Getting very windy here at the coast in Boca Raton. Also incoming feeder band should bring the strongest wind gusts yet.
That's some enjoyable window weather watching! Looks like there'll be plenty more where that came from.
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Andy D
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Funny. After my last post, FINALLY starting to see a Slightly deeper/more vigorous band wrapping around the NE/N/NW. Will be interesting to see if it builds or not
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
The storm is trucking pretty close to W-NW and if it doesn't turn N-NW soon, it'll definitely make landfall....but what as..a weak TS? Will the crazy uncle model CMC actually be right on this storm?
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Hammy wrote:I wonder if Andros was just enough land to cut off the water source and allow dry air intrusion given how much is to the west and how small the core is.
Funny to think that Isaias pretty much "laughed" at Hispanola, but tiny Andros put a hurting on him lol. 'Course, different dynamics at different times within it's life cycle. I'm sure you're right though and such a shallow storm losing it's energy source had to further play a role in the storms weakening
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Andy D
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Looking at the latest vis sat loops it appears the convection is rebuilding on the upper north to northeast quad of the system, which should start working its way to the core, that LLC is one vigorous circulation, and it continues to stair step WNW to NW... won’t take much for this small system to increase the pucker pressure again along the eastern Fl coastline... nowhere near over in my opinion... tracking since Camille, one thing for sure about these cyclones, they always have a surprise or two before it is all said and done... hard to believe it is only August 1st, seems like late September with all the activity we’ve had so far... gonna be a wild ride when we get to the heart of the season! Take care my Florida friends... it’s a marathon not a spring this year!
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
The first recon pass supports a 40-45 kt tropical storm. This is expected as it is currently a naked swirl. Let’s see if they can find higher winds in the displaced eastern convection.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
How many more hours left for Isaias makes some improvements before a potential landfall?
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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
I'm thinking we can discount that 150kt SFMR wind...
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
Hot tower north of the CoC.
However not very close.
Need to see more close in to rebuild an eyewall.
Hot towers are key in keeping this alive.
However not very close.
Need to see more close in to rebuild an eyewall.
Hot towers are key in keeping this alive.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
drewschmaltz wrote:You are all rightno reason to play victim or let a few bad apples get me down. Sorry to make it about me anyway! To bring it around back on topic - brutally hot here in Orlando. Afternoon clouds are just starting to build now. Feels like one of the hottest days of the year. I've been here for all my 35 years and it's always a little more pleasant when a storm is near. Cooler temps and "calm before the storm" feeling that I've always attributed to the lowering pressure (loose at best scientific data to back this up). Anyway, all of that is missing today - feels very much like a normal, hot, summer day.
That's a fact! I'm over here in East Longwood. Went outside to do some yard work but then said "nope" LOL. Back inside where my beer can stay cold far longer

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Andy D
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
chaser1 wrote:Hammy wrote:I wonder if Andros was just enough land to cut off the water source and allow dry air intrusion given how much is to the west and how small the core is.
Funny to think that Isaias pretty much "laughed" at Hispanola, but tiny Andros put a hurting on him lol. 'Course, different dynamics at different times within it's life cycle. I'm sure you're right though and such a shallow storm losing it's energy source had to further play a role in the storms weakening
I'm thinking Andros is the least of his problems, but it probably didn't help either.
Of course...I don't think he's ugly either.

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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:I'm thinking we can discount that 150kt SFMR wind...
C5 Isaias with a naked swirl anyone?


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