EPAC: DOUGLAS - Remnants

[Frank2]

As far as wind this does not appear to be an Iniki situation, though just a guess storm surge might be the biggest concern as the center approaches since the wind will be from the north until the center passes.

[Kingarabian]

Yesterday when it looked like we were just going to get brushed, I made the decision not to board up since we're central Oahu (Waipio area) but now I'm starting to worry. If it does make landfall, is it most likely to be on the North shore or could it pass over the center of the island?

Really hard to tell, it could be anywhere but the most likeliest landfall would be from the north per the CPHC OR if Douglas refuses to go more NW, east Oahu. But in the end if this makes a direct landfall over Oahu the entire state will feel its wrath.

Yikes. Really regretting that decision now

If your house is relatively aka built within the past 25 years, I think your windows should be fine (barring this from strengthening significantly within the next 10 hours). For me the main concern are the old structures that dominate large portions of the islands that are not hurricane ready. I remember Kailua or Kaneohe, strong gusts about 9 years ago ripped roofs off people's homes.

[Aric Dunn]

Yesterday when it looked like we were just going to get brushed, I made the decision not to board up since we're central Oahu (Waipio area) but now I'm starting to worry. If it does make landfall, is it most likely to be on the North shore or could it pass over the center of the island?

It could still pass directly over the island.

We don't have any boards at the house (we're moving and everything was dumped or put in storage) but my brother in law was talking about using some closet doors. We only have a couple though. If the back of the house faces Pearl Harbor, should we board up the back windows or the front?

Depending on exact track. The strongest winds will likely come.from the NW.

[CrazyC83]

It's also important to remember that Hawaii's higher elevations (and tall buildings) will see much higher winds than at sea level (i.e. the official intensity) due to downsloping and terrain effects.

[northjaxpro]

I must say I am really a bit surprised to see Douglas looking rather spry and rejuvenated as he nears the Hawaiian Islands. The core of the cyclone still looks very respectable. I hope everyone took the needed precautions and I trust they did there. Douglas may bring them an unexpected bigger punch than what we thought even 8-12 hours ago.

[Aric Dunn]

Per recon..

no weakening..

pressure actually down 4 MB from the previous flight.

[Kingarabian]

Per recon..

no weakening..

pressure actually down 4 MB from the previous flight.

Yeah and:
 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1287432991795535872

[OahuWahine]

Really hard to tell, it could be anywhere but the most likeliest landfall would be from the north per the CPHC OR if Douglas refuses to go more NW, east Oahu. But in the end if this makes a direct landfall over Oahu the entire state will feel its wrath.

Yikes. Really regretting that decision now

If your house is relatively aka built within the past 25 years, I think your windows should be fine (barring this from strengthening significantly within the next 10 hours). For me the main concern are the old structures that dominate large portions of the islands that are not hurricane ready. I remember Kailua or Kaneohe, strong gusts about 9 years ago ripped roofs off people's homes.

The main home was built in the 60s. The extension that I live in was built in 2007. So we decided to board up the front window.

[Kingarabian]

Yikes. Really regretting that decision now

If your house is relatively aka built within the past 25 years, I think your windows should be fine (barring this from strengthening significantly within the next 10 hours). For me the main concern are the old structures that dominate large portions of the islands that are not hurricane ready. I remember Kailua or Kaneohe, strong gusts about 9 years ago ripped roofs off people's homes.

The main home was built in the 60s. The extension that I live in was built in 2007. So we decided to board up the front window.

Sounds good. Just hunker down at this point and hope it wobbles away.

[Astromanía]

Take care of yourself Kingarabian, I'm dealing with tropical storm Hanna right now at my house

[supercane4867]

Recon didn’t find much weakening going on.

[Kingarabian]

Per recon's recent fix it's already off the 12z CPHC track.

[MGC]

Douglas is tilted due to shear....so surface center is south of long range radar and sat center. Maui might get grazed but Oahu is in more jeopardy IMO. I lived in Pearl City for a while back in the late 80s. Don't think I want to be in any of those high rise building in Honolulu. North shore and windward sides of the island are at greatest risk. Flooding will be a real risk due to the mountains. Wishing everyone well in Hawaii. Can't wait to get back one day......MGC

[Aric Dunn]

Also, per recon the LLC and MLC are pretty much on top of each other again. maybe a very slight tilt. but nowhere near what it was last night.

LLC is pretty much dead center od the RADAR eye.

[supercane4867]

2020 - 2 hurricane landfalls on the US in 2 days.

[Kingarabian]

Damn this thing is a bit more west than north in the last 5 hours...

[EquusStorm]

Extremely impressive for an approach from northeast of the islands. Amazed it's holding together as well as it has been but the fast movement helping it to not overturn the shallow warm layer is probably helping

[supercane4867]

Judging by IR motion alone it’s almost heading due west. Could be due to cloud tops being sheared away from the CoC tho. Maui needs to brace for impact.

[SconnieCane]

Per satellite loop, edge of the CDO now beginning to encroach on the northern Big Island and eastern tip of Maui.

[Yellow Evan]

I’d be surprised if this weakened to a tropical storm before clearing the islands at this point (assuming no direct landfall occurs). I wouldn’t even rule out strengthening due to warmer waters later today.