ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[supercane4867]

If the center doesn’t make landfall in Florida but decides to ride the Gulf Stream all the way up to the Carolinas, it will have a decent shot at strengthening back into a hurricane.

[gatorcane]

South Florida’s hurricane repellant in full force as you can see the convection just getting shoved back away from the coast as dry air erodes it.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

[Nimbus]

Anticyclone developing above the storm?

Levi said in his webcast that its actually bringing shear in from the west which at least temporarily keeps the west side of the storm a little drier.

[DestinHurricane]

If the center doesn’t make landfall in Florida but decides to ride the Gulf Stream all the way up to the Carolinas, it will have a decent shot at strengthening back into a hurricane.

What are you talking about? It has a great shot to strengthen back to cat 1 in the next 12 hours.

[Blown Away]

Power outages

Broward 4500

Dade 2260

Palm beach 2200

I went to the beach an hour ago in Stuart. Fpl is setting up an emergency response unit on the runway at Stuart air field.

If anyone in sofla was on the fence about a genny, checkout what less than 50mph gusts do to the FPL grid...you have been warned

Just finished my shutters.

[Sal Collaziano]

This is the gayest (happiest) hurricane I’ve ever seen. Starting to reconsider the storm-proof windows I was about to pay for.

[AxaltaRacing24]

South Florida’s hurricane repellant in full force as you can see the convection just getting shoved back away from the coast as dry air erodes it.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

i fully expect this burst to shear off and wane for the next one sometime in the net couple hours.

[skillz305]

Rain coming down super hard in Vero Beach, FL right now. First sign of Isaias.

[eastcoastFL]

Power outages

Broward 4500

Dade 2260

Palm beach 2200

I went to the beach an hour ago in Stuart. Fpl is setting up an emergency response unit on the runway at Stuart air field.

Where are you getting your numbers?
Is this site not accurate?
https://poweroutage.us/area/county/295

Broward
County of Florida
Customers Tracked
961,361
Customers Out
912
Outage %
0.09%

Never heard of that site. Fpl has a site with an outage map

[caneman]

Nice burst see if it can sustain

[supercane4867]

If the center doesn’t make landfall in Florida but decides to ride the Gulf Stream all the way up to the Carolinas, it will have a decent shot at strengthening back into a hurricane.

What are you talking about? It has a great shot to strengthen back to cat 1 in the next 12 hours.

I don’t see that happening given its current structure. It would need to rebuild the inner core basically from scratch at this point which takes maybe 12 hours even without shear. The shear issue will only resolve when the system starts moving N to NNE and aligns with the shear vector.

[wx98]

If the center doesn’t make landfall in Florida but decides to ride the Gulf Stream all the way up to the Carolinas, it will have a decent shot at strengthening back into a hurricane.

What are you talking about? It has a great shot to strengthen back to cat 1 in the next 12 hours.

Pressure is going up, so it’s currently going the wrong way...

[artist]

Power outages

Broward 4500

Dade 2260

Palm beach 2200

I went to the beach an hour ago in Stuart. Fpl is setting up an emergency response unit on the runway at Stuart air field.

Where are you getting your numbers?
Is this site not accurate?
https://poweroutage.us/area/county/295

Broward
County of Florida
Customers Tracked
961,361
Customers Out
912
Outage %
0.09%

Click on county list
https://www.fplmaps.com/

[Nimbus]

Power outages

Broward 4500

Dade 2260

Palm beach 2200

I went to the beach an hour ago in Stuart. Fpl is setting up an emergency response unit on the runway at Stuart air field.

If anyone in sofla was on the fence about a genny, checkout what less than 50mph gusts do to the FPL grid...you have been warned

Just finished my shutters.

They must be resetting these transformers as soon as they trip.

https://poweroutage.us/area/county/295

[rigbyrigz]

With (per Levi) the 250MB (mid) level shear continuing through the night, there may be bursts but they won't hold. (Blown off again, no vertical stacking). But Levi agrees with the notion that tomorrow daytime when this mid-level shear moves off, staying over water could see him regain his Cat1 power "then".

[Hurricaneman]

may It relocate in the convection if it keeps weakening pressure wise

[mutley]

Oh, I know too well. After Wilima we put in a 22kw Generac on the side of the house ... never again.

You mounted a generator on the side of your house? Is that what you are saying?

Yes, in the aftermath of hurricane Wilima we were without power for 3 weeks. We made the decision to install an integrated standby generator from Generac.

LOL. That's hilarious. But why not? Whatever gets you through, right?

[eastcoastFL]

If anyone in sofla was on the fence about a genny, checkout what less than 50mph gusts do to the FPL grid...you have been warned

Just finished my shutters.

They must be resetting these transformers as soon as they trip.

https://poweroutage.us/area/county/295

Looks so

https://www.fpl.com/storm/customer-outages.html

[drewschmaltz]

You mounted a generator on the side of your house? Is that what you are saying?

Yes, in the aftermath of hurricane Wilima we were without power for 3 weeks. We made the decision to install an integrated standby generator from Generac.

LOL. That's hilarious. But why not? Whatever gets you through, right?

I'm confused about why a whole house generator is hilarious? It's a great idea. And Generac has a great name especially in the larger kw class.

[skillz305]

had a pretty wild band come thru the treasure coast. just a little taste of isaias. he wont even be here for 12-16 more hours