ATL: NANA - Remnants - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10348
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: ATL: NANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#481 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 02, 2020 7:42 pm

Systems going west under a ridge in this area usually develop...This might be against climo...
0 likes   
Top
us89
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 399
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2019 11:12 pm
Location: Tallahassee, FL

Re: ATL: NANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#482 Postby us89 » Wed Sep 02, 2020 7:49 pm

62 kt SFMR unflagged on that pass...but FL winds only up to 55 kt.
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33393
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: ATL: NANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#483 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 02, 2020 8:16 pm

us89 wrote:62 kt SFMR unflagged on that pass...but FL winds only up to 55 kt.


I'd say the SFMR is a bit high? 55 kt would be my best intensity guess.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8057
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: NANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#484 Postby aspen » Wed Sep 02, 2020 8:18 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
us89 wrote:62 kt SFMR unflagged on that pass...but FL winds only up to 55 kt.


I'd say the SFMR is a bit high? 55 kt would be my best intensity guess.

Nana was upped to 55 kt for the 00z best track update.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
wx98
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2018 9:24 pm

Re: ATL: NANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#485 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 02, 2020 8:48 pm

55 kts is what I figured from that last pass too so not surprised. Looks like maybe 6 hours or so until landfall in Belize.
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33393
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: ATL: NANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#486 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 02, 2020 9:16 pm

Latest pass had 72 kt FL winds at 10,000 feet (supports 65 kt at the surface). Combined with the previous SFMR, I'd go with 60 kt. Pressure looks to be down to about 993 as well.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14934
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: NANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#487 Postby NDG » Wed Sep 02, 2020 9:28 pm

As forecasted, Nana is close to a hurricane right before making landfall.
2 likes   
Top
ClarCari
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 578
Joined: Thu Aug 13, 2020 11:02 am

Re: ATL: NANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#488 Postby ClarCari » Wed Sep 02, 2020 9:31 pm

Recon data has been suggesting she’s gonna try and make it all the way through..and she just might.

9:52 PM Edit: I KNEW IT!!!
Last edited by ClarCari on Wed Sep 02, 2020 9:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
2 likes   
Top
us89
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 399
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2019 11:12 pm
Location: Tallahassee, FL

Re: ATL: NANA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#489 Postby us89 » Wed Sep 02, 2020 9:52 pm

NHC upgraded to a hurricane
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
gfsperpendicular
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 383
Age: 20
Joined: Mon Jun 19, 2017 3:04 pm
Location: Northern Virginia

Re: ATL: NANA - Hurricane - Discussion

#490 Postby gfsperpendicular » Wed Sep 02, 2020 9:54 pm

Please get me off the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season's wild ride
3 likes   
I'm not sleeping, I'm waiting for the 0900 UTC advisory!

#1 CMC stan
Top
MarioProtVI
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 671
Age: 22
Joined: Sun Sep 29, 2019 7:33 pm
Location: New Jersey

Re: ATL: NANA - Hurricane - Discussion

#491 Postby MarioProtVI » Wed Sep 02, 2020 9:57 pm

She did it. After nearly becoming crippled with a broken leg exposed center she managed to chug all the way through. Unfortunately it continues the theme of intensifying storms up to landfall.
6 likes   
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8057
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: NANA - Hurricane - Discussion

#492 Postby aspen » Wed Sep 02, 2020 9:58 pm

Nano Nana made it to hurricane status, with only a few hours to spare. Now she ruined my post on the 2020 indicators thread.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3437
Age: 42
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: NANA - Hurricane - Discussion

#493 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Sep 02, 2020 10:00 pm

MarioProtVI wrote:She did it. After nearly becoming crippled with a broken leg exposed center she managed to chug all the way through. Unfortunately it continues the theme of intensifying storms up to landfall.


Not a good trend as we approach the “P” storm on the 2nd of September. I have a feeling we’ll be speaking Greek in October.
3 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2299
Age: 29
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: ATL: NANA - Hurricane - Discussion

#494 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Sep 02, 2020 10:00 pm

Whoa didn't expect that. Just hours ago we thought she was doomed. Starting to fill up those hurricane #s now.
2 likes   
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
Top
User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3437
Age: 42
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: NANA - Hurricane - Discussion

#495 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Sep 02, 2020 10:01 pm

Will Nana keep on chugging and regain hurricane strength in EPac?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3437
Age: 42
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: NANA - Hurricane - Discussion

#496 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Sep 02, 2020 10:02 pm

galaxy401 wrote:Whoa didn't expect that. Just hours ago we thought she was doomed. Starting to fill up those hurricane #s now.



What are we at now? 14/4/1?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
wx98
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2018 9:24 pm

Re: ATL: NANA - Hurricane - Discussion

#497 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 02, 2020 10:03 pm

Of the 4 Category 1s so far this year, they have trended weaker in order from Hanna (90; 973) to now Nana (75; 994). Assuming Nana’s pressure doesn’t fall below 991 (Marco) it will continue the trend. Just an interesting pattern I found which doesn’t really mean anything :lol:
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8057
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: NANA - Hurricane - Discussion

#498 Postby aspen » Wed Sep 02, 2020 10:03 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:
galaxy401 wrote:Whoa didn't expect that. Just hours ago we thought she was doomed. Starting to fill up those hurricane #s now.



What are we at now? 14/4/1?

15/5/1. Absolutely insane for September 2nd/3rd.
6 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

Re: ATL: NANA - Hurricane - Discussion

#499 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Sep 02, 2020 10:03 pm

15/5/1

Well then. That happened
0 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
MarioProtVI
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 671
Age: 22
Joined: Sun Sep 29, 2019 7:33 pm
Location: New Jersey

Re: ATL: NANA - Hurricane - Discussion

#500 Postby MarioProtVI » Wed Sep 02, 2020 10:04 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:
galaxy401 wrote:Whoa didn't expect that. Just hours ago we thought she was doomed. Starting to fill up those hurricane #s now.



What are we at now? 14/4/1?


15-5-1
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 11 guests