ATL: BETA - Remnants - Discussion

[Dean4Storms]

We gots a naked Swirl.

[Airboy]

Extrap. Sfc. Press: 991.8 mb (29.29 inHg)

[Extratropical94]

00995 03015

Center dropsonde 995 mb / 15 kts

[xironman]

Looks steady at 50 kts.

[Extratropical94]

00999 36055 11993 36061 22982 00562 33952 00558 44931 01051

55 kts at the surface, 61 kts at 150 ft, 62 kts at 400 ft (possibly gusts though)

[One Eye]

Yep its totally naked with strong southwestern shear. Slim chance of hurricane status today. The models thus far have been struggling with this one. I'm getting all the way on the Mississippi coast because of the shear.
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES1 ... 0x1000.gif

[ElectricStorm]

22L BETA 200919 1200 26.5N 92.4W ATL 50 995

[GCANE]

CAPE infeed increasing.
Up to 3500

[GCANE]

An area of very high updraft is firing two to three cells.
Comes from the interaction of the vertical shear, dryline, and cold pool.
Cells seem to be closing in on the swirl.

[SETXstorms]

Keep in mind that this isn't supposed to become a hurricane until tomorrow night. Still plenty of time for it to strengthen. Never trust a slow moving storm in the gulf in peak season

well I trust science, and what I'm seeing, is hype on this one

Well let's see this science you speak so we can see the samething as you do. Many people that come to this site want accurate info not just one liners with no detail/proof of what you are talking about.

posted

[DestinHurricane]

wind shear and water temps below 80 degrees will keep this under control and due to trade wind inversion this is not going to intensify.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.GIF

Water temps below 80 degrees? Where are you getting this? NHC has it becoming a hurricane, hard to go against them.

[stormlover2013]

Lol don’t even talk to this dude, clueless

[Nederlander]

wind shear and water temps below 80 degrees will keep this under control and due to trade wind inversion this is not going to intensify.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.GIF

Water temps below 80??? I don’t expect Beta to strengthen much, but that’s pretty bold to use wrong facts and to support your absolute claim that this won’t intensify.

[GCANE]

Closest cell starting to fire heavy lightning.
Could turn into a vortical hot tower.

[jwayne]

He’s citing some shallow bay readings. Gulf still 83-85 in area this will be traversing.

[fwbbreeze]

wind shear and water temps below 80 degrees will keep this under control and due to trade wind inversion this is not going to intensify.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.GIF

Water temps below 80 degrees? Where are you getting this? NHC has it becoming a hurricane, hard to go against them.

well I am going against them lol they can be wrong sometimes

According to this map...temps are plenty warm.

https://www.maineharbors.com/weather/seatemp4.htm

[DestinHurricane]

Here's the real SSTs if anyone is confused

[Aric Dunn]

I see the center did recloate to the north more. 26.5n ish.

but also that the boundary broke down sooner than expect with the dry air and also the shear analysis was obviously off. lol

also appears to just be sitting there... still a lot of curve balls to come it appears. bit of a precarious position it is in.

[tailgater]

PV southern end seems to have broken off, maybe forming a small cut off Low.

[sphelps8681]

I think this guy needs a disclaimer for his posts. Use to be a requirement when posting opinions. Maybe I am wrong. So correct me if that is the case.