ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Recon just started transmitting again and is beginning to enter the storm. We should have a center pass within the next half an hour or so.
2 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Ramping up for recon.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iota really exploded in areal extent of convection overnight. I don't think there's really anything but an ERC that may disrupt RI the next 24 hrs. I'd expect the eye to clear out later today. My heart goes out to the poor people of Central America that will get hammered by torrential rain, storm tides, and wind from a major hurricane twice in two weeks.
0 likes
-
skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2728
- Age: 35
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Houston TX
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
ronjon wrote:Iota really exploded in areal extent of convection overnight. I don't think there's really anything but an ERC that may disrupt RI the next 24 hrs. I'd expect the eye to clear out later today. My heart goes out to the poor people of Central America that will get hammered by torrential rain, storm tides, and wind from a major hurricane twice in two weeks.
The signs were already there last night unfortunately, lots of cold towers were firing off in all the bands.
Last edited by skyline385 on Sun Nov 15, 2020 11:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
-
skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2728
- Age: 35
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Houston TX
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
The warm spot in the center seems to appear right around the spinning towers going off again, looks like its finally clearing
0 likes
ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iota is "fisting" (intensifying)...Will this be a record as far as intensity climatology?...
0 likes
-
Kazmit
- Category 5
- Posts: 2124
- Age: 22
- Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
- Location: Williamsburg, VA / Bermuda
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Recon data looks unimpressive.
0 likes
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
cheezyWXguy
- Category 5
- Posts: 6108
- Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
- Location: Dallas, TX
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
skyline385 wrote:The warm spot in the center seems to appear right around the spinning towers going off again, looks like its finally clearing
https://i.imgur.com/zS7EMix.jpg
If you look at visible the eye is much more apparent. CDO starting to look like a buzzsaw. Clearly intensifying despite the recent warming of cloud tops. Classic evolution.
0 likes
-
supercane4867
- Category 5
- Posts: 4966
- Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Kazmit wrote:Recon data looks unimpressive.
Not sure if that's the eyewall yet
0 likes
-
supercane4867
- Category 5
- Posts: 4966
- Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am
-
skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2728
- Age: 35
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Houston TX
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
976mb, so its trailing behind the latest HWRF run...
Peak SFMR only 59 kts in the NE eyewall
Peak SFMR only 59 kts in the NE eyewall
0 likes
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Insane for November!
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Wind measurements are surprisingly low, but the pressure has dropped to below the NHC’s 10am estimate. The second pass should determine how fast Iota is deepening.
2 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145313
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145313
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
This is looking like just a temporary hiccup. Iota is very well organized with a closed eye, and over the last several runs, the HMON and HWRF have dropped the idea of an EWRC. One is still possible but I doubt it could occur in time. I think we might have another RI-until-landfall scenario on our hands...just stop it 2020.
0 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
-
skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2728
- Age: 35
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Houston TX
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
aspen wrote:This is looking like just a temporary hiccup. Iota is very well organized with a closed eye, and over the last several runs, the HMON and HWRF have dropped the idea of an EWRC. One is still possible but I doubt it could occur in time. I think we might have another RI-until-landfall scenario on our hands...just stop it 2020.
The likelihood of a 20 nm closed eye undergoing EWRC is pretty slim, its already large enough and stabilized...
0 likes
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
skyline385 wrote:aspen wrote:This is looking like just a temporary hiccup. Iota is very well organized with a closed eye, and over the last several runs, the HMON and HWRF have dropped the idea of an EWRC. One is still possible but I doubt it could occur in time. I think we might have another RI-until-landfall scenario on our hands...just stop it 2020.
The likelihood of a 20 nm closed eye undergoing EWRC is pretty slim, its already large enough and stabilized...
20 nm isn’t that big. I’d say an EWRC is possible, but perhaps dry air might erode some outer bands and prevent them from becoming an outer eyewall.
0 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
-
Deshaunrob17
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 207
- Joined: Tue Aug 18, 2020 7:49 am
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Or could the system just be too large to intensify quickly? It is a large system and if memory serves me.right, large systems take time
0 likes
-
SconnieCane
- Category 4
- Posts: 998
- Joined: Thu Aug 02, 2018 5:29 pm
- Location: Madison, WI
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Deshaunrob17 wrote:Or could the system just be too large to intensify quickly? It is a large system and if memory serves me.right, large systems take time
On IR it almost looks kind of like Ike when the core got totally blown out after going over most of the length of Cuba, but microwave shows that's not really the case.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests