ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
wx98
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1383
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2018 9:24 pm

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5981 Postby wx98 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:44 pm

Extratropical94 wrote:183500 2720N 09229W 6966 02711 9447 +210 +074 224012 017 030 001 00

Significantly lower than last pass...
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11496
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5982 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:45 pm

945 mb extrap
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Cunxi Huang
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 329
Age: 27
Joined: Thu Sep 26, 2013 12:17 pm
Location: San Jose, CA
Contact:
Contact Cunxi Huang

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5983 Postby Cunxi Huang » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:45 pm

183500 2720N 09229W 6966 02711 9447 +210 +074 224012 017 030 001 00


944.7. At least 125 kt now I would say. :double:
1 likes   
06 SuTY SAOMAI | 09 TY LINFA | 10 TY FANAPI | 10 SuTY MEGI | 16 SuTY MERANTI | 19 SuTY LEKIMA | 24 C2 FRANCINE
DO NOT use my posts for life and death decisions. For official information, please refer to products from your RSMC and national weather agency.
Top
User avatar
Highteeld
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2139
Age: 41
Joined: Tue Jan 30, 2018 9:10 pm
Location: Chicago

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5984 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:45 pm

The euro is nailing the short term intensity trends
6 likes   
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11496
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5985 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:45 pm

That theta-e ridge is doing the job
7 likes   
Top
Fancy1001
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 452
Joined: Thu Jul 16, 2020 10:16 pm

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5986 Postby Fancy1001 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:46 pm

Looks like they are going to check the NE eyewall.
0 likes   
Top
Airboy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 439
Joined: Wed Jul 27, 2011 10:41 am

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5987 Postby Airboy » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:46 pm

Well, that was a huge drope since last pass.......
1 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
SunnyThoughts
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2263
Joined: Wed Jul 09, 2003 12:42 pm
Location: Pensacola, Florida

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5988 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:46 pm

Live local coverage out of Lake Charles.

https://www.kplctv.com/live/
1 likes   
Top
edu2703
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 349
Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2018 7:15 pm

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5989 Postby edu2703 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:46 pm

Jeff Piotrowski reported on his stream that some storm chasers are already trapped by surge along Louisiana highway 82 on the coast. I just hope they are safe.
3 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3352
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5990 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:47 pm

SFMR was 105 knots on the NW side, which is a significant improvement.
0 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Top
User avatar
FLpanhandle91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1033
Age: 34
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 3:50 pm
Location: Fort Walton Beach, FL

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5991 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:47 pm

One can simply look at the outflow and convection along the Texas coast right now to gauge wind shear. The trough axis appears to be a bit more inland than the what earlier shear maps have shown.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11496
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5992 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:47 pm

Buoys reporting 45' waves
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
MississippiWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1699
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5993 Postby MississippiWx » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:47 pm

The shear Northwest of the hurricane is partially due to its own outflow. It will likely not be 25kts of shear shredding it at landfall. Shear effects will be subtle.
1 likes   
This post is not an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of MississippiWx and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
wkwally
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 279
Joined: Sun Jun 27, 2010 9:18 pm
Location: Humble, Texas

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5994 Postby wkwally » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:48 pm

Blinhart wrote:Really wish people would stop saying Houston is in the cross hairs still, that would would be a catastrophic failure if it happens.

it is not that we want it to come here because as you say it would be catastrophic but we are very nervous here and trying to get a better fix on this. My self I will not have that warm and fuzzy feeling until it makes that turn North.
4 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurrilurker
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 719
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 3:32 pm
Location: San Francisco, CA

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5995 Postby Hurrilurker » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:48 pm

edu2703 wrote:Jeff Piotrowski reported on his stream that some storm chasers are already trapped by surge along Louisiana highway 82 on the coast. I just hope they are safe.

If they are indeed "trapped" and it's the same surge the NHC is describing as "unsurvivable" that's not too good...
Last edited by Hurrilurker on Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Highteeld
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2139
Age: 41
Joined: Tue Jan 30, 2018 9:10 pm
Location: Chicago

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5996 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:48 pm

Saving this for archiving purposes

Image
2 likes   
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5997 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:48 pm

Giving the improvement trend in visible satellite, that pressure drop is unsurprising IMO.
Last edited by supercane4867 on Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8818
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5998 Postby aspen » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:49 pm

A 5-10 mbar drop since last pass. I wonder why the pressure was still in the low 950s when recon got there.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
Michele B
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1114
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2016 8:08 am
Location: SWFL

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5999 Postby Michele B » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:49 pm



Well, didn't Rail Dawg put up cameras, too?

Not live, but cams until they blow away is good....
1 likes   
Cleo - 1964, Betsy - 1965, David - 1979, Andrew - 1992, Charlie (Francis, Ivan, Jeanne) - 2004, Irma - 2017, Ian - 2022
Top
User avatar
Beef Stew
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 498
Joined: Sat May 30, 2020 11:31 am
Location: South Florida

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6000 Postby Beef Stew » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:49 pm

8 mb pressure drop in an hour, and the eye is looking the cleanest it has yet. Talk about a bombing storm...
1 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 14 guests