WPAC: GONI - Post-Tropical

[Ed_2001]

The WMG has vanished again for the time being and there’s only 2-3 hours left for Goni, could be land interaction, but I don’t think it matters at this point. This storm’s going to be absolutely catastrophic.

[Highteeld]

This is the first operational T 8.0 from JTWC and JMA since Haiyan in 2013

[Highteeld]

The WMG has vanished again for the time being and there’s only 2-3 hours left for Goni, could be land interaction, but I don’t think it matters at this point. This storm’s going to be absolutely catastrophic.

just give it 10 or 20 minutes and it will come back. the mesovorts around the eye i think are doing that

[Cunxi Huang]

Some AMSU, 181kt/898mb.

CIMSS/NESDIS-USAF/NRL AMSU TC Intensity Estimation:
SUPER TYPHOON 22w
Saturday 31oct20 Time : 1256 UTC
Latitude: 14.12 Longitude: 126.33
Storm position corresponds to AMSU-A FOV16 [ 1<--->30]

Estimated MSLP: 898 hPa
Estimated Maximum Sustained Wind: 181 kts
Estimate Confidence: Good ( +/-10mb+/ - 12kts )

storm is sub-sampled: Bias correction applied is -28.1 hPa
Channel 8 (~150 hPa) Tb Anomaly : 4.74C
hannel 7 (~250 hPa) Tb Anomaly : 3.40
RMw : 12 km
RMW Source is: IR
Environmental Pressure: 1005
Satellite: NOAA-90
ATCF data for Month: 10 Day: 31 Time(UTC): 1200

[ElectricStorm]

I'm still in absolute shock that this is actually happening right now... Went from a likely weakening storm at landfall to a possible world record

[doomhaMwx]

What will JTWC and JMA give for 18Z? The suspense is killing me!

[NotoSans]

WTPQ50 RJTD 311800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2019 GONI (2019)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 311800UTC 13.7N 125.0E GOOD
MOVE WSW 15KT
PRES 905HPA
MXWD 120KT
GUST 170KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 260NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST

[aspen]

I'm still in absolute shock that this is actually happening right now... Went from a likely weakening storm at landfall to a possible world record

For once this year, the HWRF was wrong, and I wish it was right (it had Goni rapidly weaken due to its EWRC getting interrupted).

[Hayabusa]

So it is Meranti level huh

[euro6208]

Cant believe this.

Goni could potentially become the 3rd typhoon to reach 170 knots in a span of 7 years!

The previous two made landfall at peak intensity tied for the strongest landfall in the world. Goni could make a 3 way tie!

Update: I stand corrected. Goni is now the world landfall record!

[ElectricStorm]

Cant believe this.

Goni could potentially become the 3rd typhoon to reach 170 knots in a span of 7 years!

The previous two made landfall at peak intensity tied for the strongest landfall in the world. Goni could make a 3 way tie!

Goni will beat that if it's upgraded here. The other 2 were 165kt landfalls

[xtyphooncyclonex]

I'm still in absolute shock that this is actually happening right now... Went from a likely weakening storm at landfall to a possible world record

I've been lurking and it did seem like this would be strong... but not THIS strong. Shows that the Philippine Sea isn't a force to be reckoned with

[Highteeld]

The WMG has vanished again for the time being and there’s only 2-3 hours left for Goni, could be land interaction, but I don’t think it matters at this point. This storm’s going to be absolutely catastrophic.

it's back

[ElectricStorm]

I'm still in absolute shock that this is actually happening right now... Went from a likely weakening storm at landfall to a possible world record

I've been lurking and it did seem like this would be strong... but not THIS strong. Shows that the Philippine Sea isn't a force to be reckoned with

I had a feeling there would be a Cat 5 at some point this year due to all the untouched waters down there but I certainly never imagined a possible world record landfall

[Hayabusa]

HOLY SH*T

22W GONI 201031 1800 13.7N 125.1E WPAC 170 884

[ElectricStorm]

22W GONI 201031 1800 13.7N 125.1E WPAC 170 884

[Ed_2001]

Haiyan 2.0

[Highteeld]

HOLY SH*T

22W GONI 201031 1800 13.7N 125.1E WPAC 170 884

Looks like they copied and pasted the UKmet's 12z initial conditions for the 18z intensity XD

[aspen]

HOLY SH*T

22W GONI 201031 1800 13.7N 125.1E WPAC 170 884

Holy **** ****** ***

That’s one of the strongest storms in history right there. Did Haiyan get lower than 884 mbar in its best track?

[euro6208]

And right before landfall.