ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[MississippiWx]

no they need to head SW now.. what you see there is the boundary between the dying lobe to the NE and the much more defined circ to the SW>

Possibly.

Think the area you are looking at could be mostly mid-level. We will see.

That area currently has the greatest focus of energy at the 925, 700, and 500 millibar levels. 850 millibar vorticity could be argued to be more spread out, but with all other levels of energy focusing on the southwest portion of the storm and the strongest convection currently located over that area, then this is the location where'd you expect a closed low to form.

I think we are all referring to the same area. However, I believe the low level vort is off-set from the convection a bit. We will see. Thank goodness for recon.

[SouthFLTropics]

Major uncertainty and potential chaos... just what you'd expect for the 'I' storm.

This year we may have some additional chaos with the pronunciation...

Just think about late 80's rappers. It makes it so much easier. Easy E As.

[EquusStorm]

Like, I'm glad we have a good variety of Spanish and French names on the list since most countries affected by Atlantic cyclones speak those languages, but you'd think they would have accepted a name slightly easier to pronounce in the English speaking media

That said we are really starting to run fairly low on easy to pronounce 'I' names lately...

[wxman57]

There is something very LLC looking on the last couple frames here

https://www.barbadosweather.org/Composi ... 1595956044

That radar is looking WAY above the surface, Maybe 20,000 ft up. Can't identify a surface circulation from 100+nm away on radar.

[psyclone]

Major uncertainty and potential chaos... just what you'd expect for the 'I' storm.

This year we may have some additional chaos with the pronunciation...

Just think about late 80's rappers. It makes it so much easier. Easy E As.

Freaking brilliant. You made it click for me finally. Nobody move!

[Hd444]

Looks like a gloria // irene track coming.

[Vdogg]

Great zoomed out satellite image. It’s going to be huge.
 https://twitter.com/bobbistorm/status/1288160199405187074

[Aric Dunn]

There is something very LLC looking on the last couple frames here

https://www.barbadosweather.org/Composi ... 1595956044

That radar is looking WAY above the surface, Maybe 20,000 ft up. Can't identify a surface circulation from 100+nm away on radar.

yeppers.. just assuming some co location..

[Evil Jeremy]

Looks like a gloria // irene track coming.

Based on what? Certainly not the NHC's forecast or current model consensus... Gloria's path can't even be placed in the current NHC cone.

[Aric Dunn]

Great zoomed out satellite image. It’s going to be huge.
https://twitter.com/bobbistorm/status/1288160199405187074?s=21

they are not going to find it in the direction they are presently going lol .. will be another wind shift as they cross the boundary again..

[Vdogg]

Great zoomed out satellite image. It’s going to be huge.
https://twitter.com/bobbistorm/status/1288160199405187074?s=21

they are not going to find it in the direction they are presently going lol .. will be another wind shift as they cross the boundary again..

I’m assuming this reply was meant for wxman57?

[Aric Dunn]

Great zoomed out satellite image. It’s going to be huge.
https://twitter.com/bobbistorm/status/1288160199405187074?s=21

they are not going to find it in the direction they are presently going lol .. will be another wind shift as they cross the boundary again..

I’m assuming this reply was meant for wxman57?

no.. the tweet said recon needs to find a west wind..

[tropicwatch]

2:00 PM AST Tue Jul 28
Location: 14.1°N 54.8°W
Moving: W at 23 mph
Min pressure: 1007 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
But did not name it.

[Vdogg]

they are not going to find it in the direction they are presently going lol .. will be another wind shift as they cross the boundary again..

I’m assuming this reply was meant for wxman57?

no.. the tweet said recon needs to find a west wind..

Oh, gotcha. Was confused for a second, thought you were referring to wxman57s post about finding the LLC.

[TheStormExpert]

2:00 PM AST Tue Jul 28
Location: 14.1°N 54.8°W
Moving: W at 23 mph
Min pressure: 1007 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
But did not name it.

Still trucking west I see.

[OuterBanker]

Most models have shifted west and with only a tropical storm which is good news for us.
Now we are at 100% capacity, nothing available. National news is telling people it is a safe beach.
And the tourist came.
As long as the hype for the storm is aimed at someone else we will thrive.
Hoping it stays that way, to try to evac the OBX at full capacity would be a nightmare.

[Aric Dunn]

Looks like recon is gathering some data about the that boundary.

[Vdogg]

Most models have shifted west and with only a tropical storm which is good news for us.
Now we are at 100% capacity, nothing available. National news is telling people it is a safe beach.
And the tourist came.
As long as the hype for the storm is aimed at someone else we will thrive.
Hoping it stays that way, to try to evac the OBX at full capacity would be a nightmare.

I’m getting Irene vibes off this but too early to tell for now.

[ColdMiser123]

Recon finding no signs of rotation with the northeast lobe, which shows that the southwest lobe has conclusively become the dominant piece of this disturbance, and any spin there has become washed out with the wind flow. They are turning away from the northeast lobe.

[ConvergenceZone]

Most models have shifted west and with only a tropical storm which is good news for us.
Now we are at 100% capacity, nothing available. National news is telling people it is a safe beach.
And the tourist came.
As long as the hype for the storm is aimed at someone else we will thrive.


Hoping it stays that way, to try to evac the OBX at full capacity would be a nightmare.

Remember not to pay attention to strength forecasts, as they will more than likely be wrong. I think the strength forecasts will definitely go up slowly.