Fancy1001 wrote:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=26L&product=ir
It's booking it now.
ATL: DELTA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
It's booking it now.
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zal0phus
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
chaser1 wrote:Anyone care to venture what Delta's lowest pressure will be? I'm going to go with 914mb
I think there's a chance it could get to sub-900 levels, I don't think it will exceed Wilma thankfully but I think it could rival it.
The Caribbean and lower Gulf are more or less bathwater right now.
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Do not take anything I say seriously as a form of meteorological prediction. I am not a meteorologist; I don't think being in law school translates to any special knowledge. I am just a somewhat bullish amateur watcher.
Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
St0rmTh0r wrote:Mob1 wrote:Can someone please post the actual track overlay compared to the NHC official one. My wife is in Cancun and I'm obsessively tracking every inch of latitude Delta gains.
Not to sound personal but what's your wife doing in Cancun without you? I'd be tracking the storm as well as her!
LMAO. "You are a beautiful American woman." Lots of charmers down there. My ex-wife went down there when she graduated nursing school with some of her classmates. She got tired of being hit on non-stop. So she finally busted out a "bonjour" and got, "Oh you are a beautiful Canadian woman." Haha. Love me some Yucatan.
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
MississippiWx wrote:Mob1 wrote:Can someone please post the actual track overlay compared to the NHC official one. My wife is in Cancun and I'm obsessively tracking every inch of latitude Delta gains.
Is there any way she can leave?
She could very possibly experience a Cat 4-5 hurricane tonight. She will probably be stuck there for a while if she can’t leave.
I told her to relocate, she is headed about 35 miles SW of Playa del Carmen. She should be good there but she'll move further south if Delta tracks south of the current forecast.
Last edited by Mob1 on Tue Oct 06, 2020 10:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Latest VDM shows the eye has shrunk to 5 nautical miles.
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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
SoupBone wrote:mpic wrote:Will the front that's suppose to come through Houston come in time to spare us?
Even Levi is mentioning Galveston. We should still be concerned here in the Greater Houston Area.
I did get my roof replaced over the weekend and think I'll reschedule my remodeling plans until next week. Glad I didn't put my porch furniture back out. This year sucks.
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Alicia, Rita, Ike, Harvey and Beryl...moved to Splendora lol
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Pulse down in the eyewall convection.. next burst should clear the eye out.
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
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If there is nothing before... then just ask
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I believe the sky is falling...
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supercane4867
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
chaser1 wrote:Anyone care to venture what Delta's lowest pressure will be? I'm going to go with 914mb
I would also note that the lowest pressure may not occur in the Caribbean but in the Western Gulf.
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
New Extrapolated Sfc. Pressure 954.0 mbar. Another 3.2 mbar drop in ~100 minutes.
Last edited by kevin on Tue Oct 06, 2020 10:06 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
I'm going with a 135 knot peak right as the storm is making landfall...
140 knots+ isn't impossible though.
140 knots+ isn't impossible though.
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
chaser1 wrote:Anyone care to venture what Delta's lowest pressure will be? I'm going to go with 914mb
I'll go with 180mph/900mb
Last edited by ElectricStorm on Tue Oct 06, 2020 10:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
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FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
145900 1809N 08243W 7029 02739 9604 +153 +146 225052 077 113 064 00
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mrbagyo
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
chaser1 wrote:Anyone care to venture what Delta's lowest pressure will be? I'm going to go with 914mb
175 mph / 906mb
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
mpic wrote:SoupBone wrote:mpic wrote:Will the front that's suppose to come through Houston come in time to spare us?
Even Levi is mentioning Galveston. We should still be concerned here in the Greater Houston Area.
I did get my roof replaced over the weekend and think I'll reschedule my remodeling plans until next week. Glad I didn't put my porch furniture back out. This year sucks.
I don't think anyone is sounding any alarms for us, but with the way this season has gone, and the continued west shifts in the Euro, I'm still paying close attention. It's not over until it dissipates as we all know.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
chaser1 wrote:Anyone care to venture what Delta's lowest pressure will be? I'm going to go with 914mb
I'll say 180 mph and 899 mbar, just so it officially enters the Atlantic sub-900mb club, which hasn't had a new entry since Rita and Wilma in 2005.
Last edited by kevin on Tue Oct 06, 2020 10:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Cat 4 SFMR in SE quad. Borderline cat 5 flight level wind in NW quad.
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supercane4867
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Ummmmm? This may be nearly a Cat 4...
FL winds >130 kt and SFMR ~115 kt
FL winds >130 kt and SFMR ~115 kt
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Something else that is concerning to me is that the NHC now has Delta restrengthening again in the GOM before finally weakening before landfall... But that restrengthening will also create a higher surge even when it weakens coming in
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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Jeez.
SFMR
113 knots
(~ 130.0 mph)
Flight Level
132 knots
(~ 151.9 mph)
Multiple SFMR readings >100 knots too.
SFMR
113 knots
(~ 130.0 mph)
Flight Level
132 knots
(~ 151.9 mph)
Multiple SFMR readings >100 knots too.
Last edited by Hypercane_Kyle on Tue Oct 06, 2020 10:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
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