TheStormExpert wrote:Having three named storms prior to June 1st just doesn’t say much in regards to how to season unfolds in my opinion. Especially considering Arthur, Bertha, and potential-Cristobal were short lived.
Now if we get a rare hurricane in June below 30°N that’ll be impressive and alarming.
Well then, let’s hope the Euro doesn’t get its way with that potential basin-crosser.
If Cristobal does form, it could hint that the subtropics might be quite active again this year, meaning we could end up with more total named storms than anticipated like 2019. I don’t think anyone expected all those little systems popping up all over the place last October.
If both the subtropics and the Gulf/western Caribbean see enhanced activity this year, perhaps there’s a shot of exhausting this season’s name list.