ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

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chaser1
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#61 Postby chaser1 » Sat May 30, 2020 12:37 pm

Kinda taking on a look of a double-yoke egg with most of the egg white well removed to the north.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#62 Postby Extratropical94 » Sat May 30, 2020 1:56 pm

Down to 40/40

Shower activity has decreased today in association with a broad area
of low pressure located about 400 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.
Some development of this system is still possible through tonight,
and it could become a short-lived subtropical depression while it
moves northwestward over the central Atlantic. After that time,
further development is not anticipated due to unfavorable
environmental conditions. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook
will be issued by 9 PM EDT today, or earlier if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#63 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat May 30, 2020 2:46 pm

NEXT!!!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#64 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 30, 2020 4:49 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:NEXT!!!


Next looks to be BOC.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#65 Postby AJC3 » Sat May 30, 2020 4:59 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:Overall it does not matter what it looks like. If dynamics of the system.make it a STS if should be upgraded regardless of how long it lasts. Skewed historical data helps no one.

The ULL will keep this a STS. Convection is sheared. But it is still a STS.


Meh. Designate this and you have to go back through the satellite archives and designate a few hundred more systems. THAT would be a "skewed historical data base that helps no one"

This system never met the subjective criterion of persistent organized convection. I wouldn't have called this a STC. Feel free to e-mail them and voice your objection. I'm sure they'll tell you what I'm telling you.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#66 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Sat May 30, 2020 5:06 pm

Good call not naming this it was junk. Had too much shear to deal with. On to the next one. BOC might be opening for business.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#67 Postby AJC3 » Sun May 31, 2020 1:14 am

RIP...

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the area of low
pressure over the central Atlantic and the potential for tropical
cyclone formation over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

An area of low pressure located about 350 miles east of Bermuda is
producing limited shower activity. The low is forecast to move
northeastward at 5 to 10 mph later today, and development is not
expected due to unfavorable environmental conditions.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
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