ATL: DOLLY - Remnants

[Do_For_Love]

Wow, becomes Dolly and fully tropical to boot. Kinda surprised!

[Hammy]

Second time now (yesterday with the depression upgrade obviously being the first) that I've written this off and only found out it was upgraded when coming to check the seasonal indicators thread.

[Aric Dunn]

and yep convection building and trying to wrap around the north side as the low level circ starts moving a little faster with the shear.

it could try and deepen more than forecast before hitting colder water.

[northjaxpro]

WOW. I went against my own intuition earlier. We did get Dolly after all. It is shaping up to be one heck a season.
.

well do that now..

Yeah Aric I hear you! It is very rare for me to second guess, but that's the beauty of this business and science!!

So on to July, and activity will pick up by the middle of the month.

[Aric Dunn]

WOW. I went against my own intuition earlier. We did get Dolly after all. It is shaping up to be one heck a season.
.

well do that now..

Yeah Aric I hear you! It is very rare for me to second guess, but that's the beauty of this business and science!!

So on to July, and activity will pick up by the middle of the month.

meant to say "dont do that now " lol

and there are plenty of people to doubt in this "business and science" but no need to doubt yourself. especially after all these years :p

[northjaxpro]

well do that now..

Yeah Aric I hear you! It is very rare for me to second guess, but that's the beauty of this business and science!!

So on to July, and activity will pick up by the middle of the month.

meant to say "dont do that now " lol

and there are plenty of people to doubt in this "business and science" but no need to doubt yourself. especially after all these years :p

You are not kidding about this, especially all the time I have done this. A huge AMEN to that Aric

[AnnularCane]

This one seems to have some defiance in her. Every time she was dismissed, waved good-bye to, etc., she seemed to make a comeback. Almost like she's been reading this forum behind our backs.

[cainjamin]

https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1275472951815499777

Dolly is the northernmost forming June TS! And also the second northernmost if you include all July genesises as well. Pretty impressive!

[toad strangler]

Is she still a storm? How many more minutes?

[northjaxpro]

https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1275472951815499777

Dolly is the northernmost forming June TS! And also the second northernmost if you include all July genesises as well. Pretty impressive!

She also demonstrated the old Gulf Stream magic. Once the cyclone moved over the warner ssts in a span of 24-30 hours, and
it did the trick in getting named, and became fully tropical. Quite impressive in that region of the North ATL basin.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/wxtrackercody/status/1275471055730032640

[TheStormExpert]

This one seems to have some defiance in her. Every time she was dismissed, waved good-bye to, etc., she seemed to make a comeback. Almost like she's been reading this forum behind our backs.

Now watch her become the seasons first hurricane.

[Aric Dunn]

https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1275472951815499777

Dolly is the northernmost forming June TS! And also the second northernmost if you include all July genesises as well. Pretty impressive!

She also demonstrated the old Gulf Stream magic. Once the cyclone moved over the warner ssts in a span of 24-30 hours, and
it did the trick in getting named, and became fully tropical. Quite impressive in that region of the North ATL basin.

Yeah warmer SSTs and very cold air aloft will do that..

I think Dolly is going to make a small run up in the next 24 hours before hitting cold water..

it is small, over warmer enough water, with a large fetch for said water.. very unstable atmosphere. and once it starts moving just a little more with the shear convection might pop a good deal.

[Pressure]

It would be very 2020 to have Dolly randomly intensify to 50kts... we shall see

[aspen]

It would be very 2020 to have Dolly randomly intensify to 50kts... we shall see

I’d say she’s making a run for 45 kt. Still decent for a storm at this latitude in June.

[Aric Dunn]

The center is tucking up under that convective ball.. what will Dolly do for us today.. lol

are we looking at a Hurricane Bill from 1997 situation?

[AnnularCane]

The center is tucking up under that convective ball.. what will Dolly do for us today.. lol

You mean besides looking cute for us? Time will tell! These things always seem to be full of surprises.

[aspen]

If Dolly becomes a hurricane, I will eat my hat.

[Aric Dunn]

although the low level center is slightly offset fromt the MLC.

it sure has the look of a high latitude deepening TS..

little mid level eye feature starting to peak through on visible as well.



If that LLC stacks with that mid level, as it looks to be doing right now.. given the size of this thing.. I would give it a 50/50 shot of making a run for a Hurricane.

[EquusStorm]

Definitely making a run for strongest storm so far this year if the trend continues