ATL: GONZALO - Advisories

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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Advisories

#21 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 25, 2020 3:47 pm

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Gonzalo Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072020
500 PM AST Sat Jul 25 2020

...REMNANTS OF GONZALO MOVING ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST CARIBBEAN...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 63.0W
ABOUT 125 MI...195 KM WNW OF TRINIDAD
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the remnants of Gonzalo were located near
latitude 11.0 North, longitude 63.0 West. The remnants of Gonzalo
are forecast to move generally westward across the southern
Caribbean for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gusty conditions associated with squalls will be possible as the
remnants of Gonzalo move westward.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gusty conditions associated with squalls will be possible
across portions of the southern Caribbean as the remnants of
Gonzalo move westward during the next couple of days.

RAINFALL: The remnants of Gonzalo are expected to produce
additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches, and isolated storm
total amounts of 4 inches over far northeastern Venezuela through
this evening. The system is also expected to produce 1 to 2 inches
of rain over the Leeward Antilles and the remainder of far northern
Venezuela. This includes Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$

Forecaster Zelinsky


ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Remnants Of Gonzalo Discussion Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072020
500 PM AST Sat Jul 25 2020

Gonzalo's structure has degraded further since the last advisory.
Late-arriving ASCAT data showed a well-defined tropical wave with
winds around 30 kt, but no clear evidence of a closed circulation.
Grenada reported max winds of 28 kt with a gust to 40 kt, in line
with the ASCAT observations, while multiple observing stations in
Trinidad did not report any westerly winds as the system passed.
There has been no evidence of a well-defined center in visible
imagery since that time. Given the additional degradation of
Gonzalo's appearance since it moved closest to those islands, it
appears that the system has opened into wave and dissipated.
Therefore, this will be the last advisory issued by the National
Hurricane Center.

Tropical squalls associated with the remnants of Gonzalo will
continue to move westward for the next day or so and could bring
gusty winds and heavy rain to portions of the southeastern
Caribbean. Please consult products from your national meteorological
service for information specific to your area.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/2100Z 11.0N 63.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

NNNN
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