ATL: KYLE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3437
Age: 42
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#41 Postby eastcoastFL » Fri Aug 14, 2020 1:07 pm

HurricaneEnzo wrote:Also think this will be the first area of interest I made a thread for that ended up getting invested and named (assuming it becomes Kyle which seems like a foregone conclusion). Finally got one right! :D :D :D :lol: :lol: :lol:


Well done. You couldn’t get em all wrong


Image
3 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1915
Age: 21
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg VA for college, Bermuda otherwise

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#42 Postby Kazmit » Fri Aug 14, 2020 1:09 pm

Naked swirl peeking out.

Image
2 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
HurricaneEnzo
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 723
Joined: Wed Mar 14, 2018 12:18 pm
Location: Newport, NC (Hurricane Alley)

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#43 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Fri Aug 14, 2020 1:12 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:
HurricaneEnzo wrote:Also think this will be the first area of interest I made a thread for that ended up getting invested and named (assuming it becomes Kyle which seems like a foregone conclusion). Finally got one right! :D :D :D :lol: :lol: :lol:


Well done. You couldn’t get em all wrong


https://i2.wp.com/www.blindsquirrelauctions.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/cropped-Blind-Squirrel-logo.jpg?fit=512%2C512



A broken clock is right twice a day so I should have one more good call coming :lol: Right when I think 96L was pretty much a guarantee to be Kyle the shear really starts kicking in lol. I still think we will get Kyle though.
3 likes   
Bertha 96' - Fran 96' - Bonnie 98' - Dennis 99' - Floyd 99' - Isabel 03' - Alex 04' - Ophelia 05' - Irene 11' - Arthur 14' - Matthew 16' - Florence 18' - Dorian 19' - Isaias 20' (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)

I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
Top
User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3437
Age: 42
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#44 Postby eastcoastFL » Fri Aug 14, 2020 1:57 pm

HurricaneEnzo wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:
HurricaneEnzo wrote:Also think this will be the first area of interest I made a thread for that ended up getting invested and named (assuming it becomes Kyle which seems like a foregone conclusion). Finally got one right! :D :D :D :lol: :lol: :lol:


Well done. You couldn’t get em all wrong


https://i2.wp.com/www.blindsquirrelauctions.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/cropped-Blind-Squirrel-logo.jpg?fit=512%2C512



A broken clock is right twice a day so I should have one more good call coming :lol: Right when I think 96L was pretty much a guarantee to be Kyle the shear really starts kicking in lol. I still think we will get Kyle though.


I think you’re right and we will see Kyle in the next 36 hours
2 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
BYG Jacob
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 893
Age: 26
Joined: Wed Aug 23, 2017 3:46 pm
Location: Tucson, Arizona

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#45 Postby BYG Jacob » Fri Aug 14, 2020 2:45 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:Besides Hanna 96l lookin better than most of the named storms we’ve seen so far.

Uh, wrong
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8057
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#46 Postby aspen » Fri Aug 14, 2020 2:57 pm

I would be quite surprised if we didn’t see (Sub)Tropical Depression 12 at 5pm.
3 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
gfsperpendicular
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 383
Age: 19
Joined: Mon Jun 19, 2017 3:04 pm
Location: Northern Virginia

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#47 Postby gfsperpendicular » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:24 pm

We have Kyle!  https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1294368447573323777




Also breaks Katrina's record as the earliest K storm by 10 days. :double:
Last edited by gfsperpendicular on Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
8 likes   
I'm not sleeping, I'm waiting for the 0900 UTC advisory!

#1 CMC stan
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21228
Age: 41
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: KYLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#48 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:26 pm

Not surprised at all.. was an easy call.
3 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2634
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: ATL: KYLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#49 Postby AnnularCane » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:27 pm

I didn't actually think it would be upgraded this soon. :double:
4 likes   
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

Re: ATL: KYLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#50 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:27 pm

The Atlantic continues to take scattered convection with broad vorticity and blow it up into a full fledged tropical storm in a 24-36 hour span, in an unfavorable MJO phase, with dry air present, a month before peak season. If that ain't an omen I don't know what is.
15 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8057
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#51 Postby aspen » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:28 pm

gfsperpendicular wrote:We have Kyle! https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1294368447573323777

Also breaks Katrina's record as the earliest K storm by 10 days. :double:

The Atlantic gives 0 damns about there being a not very favorable MJO setup right now. Late August through September is going to be nuts...
1 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4928
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#52 Postby Nimbus » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:29 pm

Kazmit wrote:
gfsperpendicular wrote:Cool-looking storm this morning.
https://i.imgur.com/V19ULzo.gif

Pretty legit looking apart from the lack of convection west of the center.


Headed for Bermuda as requested.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2634
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: ATL: KYLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#53 Postby AnnularCane » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:30 pm

EquusStorm wrote:The Atlantic continues to take scattered convection with broad vorticity and blow it up into a full fledged tropical storm in a 24-36 hour span, in an unfavorable MJO phase, with dry air present, a month before peak season. If that ain't an omen I don't know what is.


Better be careful with flushing the toilet, the swirl might move offshore and develop. :lol:
17 likes   
Top
User avatar
DorkyMcDorkface
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 698
Age: 26
Joined: Mon Sep 30, 2019 1:32 pm
Location: Mid-Atlantic

Re: ATL: KYLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#54 Postby DorkyMcDorkface » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:39 pm

Just like that, Kyle is here. Another record bites the dust...next one is the only record left not held by 2005, Luis of 1995 (August 29). Given what I'm seeing on the EPS we might blow that one out of the water as well.

Again, seems like every little thing wants to spin up this year. Very much a testament to the favorability of the Atlantic I feel. I dread what we'll see once that CCKW/MJO combo arrives...
5 likes   
Floyd 1999 | Isabel 2003 | Hanna 2008 | Irene 2011 | Sandy 2012 | Isaias 2020
Top
TallyTracker
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 584
Joined: Thu Oct 11, 2018 2:46 pm

Re: ATL: KYLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#55 Postby TallyTracker » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:46 pm

I knew it looked good but didn’t expect TS Kyle this fast! lol :eek: This crazy season just keeps on surprising!
4 likes   
Fran '96, Georges '98, Gordon '00, Gabrielle '01, Charley '04, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Barry '07, Fay '08, Debby '12, Matthew '16, Emily '17, Irma '17, Michael ‘18, Elsa ‘21, Fred ‘21, Mindy ‘21, Nicole ‘22, Idalia ‘23
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

Re: ATL: KYLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#56 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:52 pm

Just ten names to go to carry us through the second half of August and into peak and beyond, I think the Greeks are pretty much inevitable at this point lol
4 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
zhukm29
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 219
Joined: Tue Aug 28, 2018 2:37 pm

Re: ATL: KYLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#57 Postby zhukm29 » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:57 pm

Wow, we haven't even gotten to peak season yet and half the names are already gone. It's August 14...
8 likes   
Top
USTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2414
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2007 3:45 am
Location: Florida State University

Re: ATL: KYLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#58 Postby USTropics » Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:59 pm

Tropical Storm Kyle is the earliest named K storm in the Atlantic, surpassing Katrina in 2005 by 10 days (formed on August 24th, 2005). The next record, Luis, formed on August 29th 1995.

Edit: corrected to Luis 1995
Last edited by USTropics on Fri Aug 14, 2020 4:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
3 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ubuntwo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1089
Age: 30
Joined: Thu Oct 05, 2017 10:41 pm

Re: ATL: KYLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#59 Postby Ubuntwo » Fri Aug 14, 2020 4:04 pm

USTropics wrote:Tropical Storm Kyle is the earliest named K storm in the Atlantic, surpassing Katrina in 2005 by 10 days (formed on August 24th, 2005). The next record, Lee, formed on August 31st 2005.

I believe Luis of '95 holds that record, not Lee.
5 likes   
Kendall -> SLO -> PBC

Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
Top
User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1915
Age: 21
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg VA for college, Bermuda otherwise

Re: ATL: KYLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#60 Postby Kazmit » Fri Aug 14, 2020 4:07 pm

Given that every single puff of clouds wants to spin up this year, imagine what happens when conditions actually become favorable 10 days from now. :eek:
4 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 77 guests