CPAC: INVEST 90C

[Nancy Smar]

90C INVEST 200815 1200 11.3N 152.0W CPAC 25 1006

[Yellow Evan]

An area of low pressure is located around 550 miles south of Hilo,
Hawaii. Shower and thunderstorm activity with the feature has
persisted over the past six hours. Environmental conditions
are expected to become more conducive for development during
the next few days and a tropical depression may form later this
weekend or early next week as the system moves steadily west at
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

[1900hurricane]

Actually looks pretty good for what it is. Won't take too much more for it to be classifiable. It's taking a bit of easterly shear though.

[Extratropical94]

An area of low pressure about 700 miles south of Honolulu, Hawaii
is producing persistent showers and thunderstorms, but the system
still lacks significant organization. Environmental conditions are
expected to be marginally conducive for gradual development over
the next couple of days as the system moves toward the west near
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

[bob rulz]

I personally think this is or at least was classifiable. Easterly shear exposed a very robust LLC and it maintained convection for a while. Still a good chance for this one to get a number I think.

[mrbagyo]

90C INVEST 200820 0000 10.0N 172.1W CPAC 25 1007
Could cross the dateline in the near future - this one looks interesting