ATL: MARCO - Models

[Steve]

NAM 3km (low level) Marco is coming in with a little bit of weather, but bands mostly to the east in south MS. It travels west but more inland than other recent runs I remember where it had it offshore. Perhaps the nose of the ridge is a little farther north which also could be why the 0z guidance for Laura is slightly farther east.

[FixySLN]

NAM 3km (low level) Marco is coming in with a little bit of weather, but bands mostly to the east in south MS. It travels west but more inland than other recent runs I remember where it had it offshore. Perhaps the nose of the ridge is a little farther north which also could be why the 0z guidance for Laura is slightly farther east.

Nailed it.

[catskillfire51]

NAM 3km (low level) Marco is coming in with a little bit of weather, but bands mostly to the east in south MS. It travels west but more inland than other recent runs I remember where it had it offshore. Perhaps the nose of the ridge is a little farther north which also could be why the 0z guidance for Laura is slightly farther east.

Nailed it.

Good point just remember we have 2-3 days before laura buts up to the ridge if it's still expanding or moving west as expected it could be further then where Marco is tomorrow/tuesday

[xironman]

HRRR shows a landfall at the tip of LA.

[mpic]

Could someone please either verify or dispel the theory that Marco could head south then east after landfall and cross paths with Laura creating a Fujiwhara effect?

[FixySLN]

Could someone please either verify or dispel the theory that Marco could head south then east after landfall and cross paths with Laura creating a Fujiwhara effect?

I don't think that's likely at all considering how weak Marco is. With that being said, it's 2020 and nothing will surprise me anymore.

I've said it a few times, just know that this is a pretty unique situation with multiple storms in the gulf. Nobody, people nor models, have this scenario hammered out yet and anyone that says they know what's going to happen 100% is spouting nonsense. Listen to the pros, make informed decisions, and looks after you and yours.

[mpic]

Could someone please either verify or dispel the theory that Marco could head south then east after landfall and cross paths with Laura creating a Fujiwhara effect?

I don't think that's likely at all considering how weak Marco is. With that being said, it's 2020 and nothing will surprise me anymore.

I've said it a few times, just know that this is a pretty unique situation with multiple storms in the gulf. Nobody, people nor models, have this scenario hammered out yet and anyone that says they know what's going to happen 100% is spouting nonsense. Listen to the pros, make informed decisions, and looks after you and yours.

Thank you and agree anything is possible. My problem with it is that Marco will be so weak that even if it it happened, I don't see how it could create a "supercane" or "the Perfect Storm" like they are suggesting.

[FixySLN]

Could someone please either verify or dispel the theory that Marco could head south then east after landfall and cross paths with Laura creating a Fujiwhara effect?

I don't think that's likely at all considering how weak Marco is. With that being said, it's 2020 and nothing will surprise me anymore.

I've said it a few times, just know that this is a pretty unique situation with multiple storms in the gulf. Nobody, people nor models, have this scenario hammered out yet and anyone that says they know what's going to happen 100% is spouting nonsense. Listen to the pros, make informed decisions, and looks after you and yours.

Thank you and agree anything is possible. My problem with it is that Marco will be so weak that even if it it happened, I don't see how it could create a "supercane" or "the Perfect Storm" like they are suggesting.

I don't think anyone is suggesting that. If they interacted right now, Laura would destroy Marco, shredding it down to nothing. It wouldn't have the energy to be pushed away. I don't think the Gulf could support the Fujiwara effect period, based on the limited space. I read somewhere that it would have to happen within a 900 mile radius or something. It would also require an enormous bed of water, which isn't something the Gulf can supply compared to the Atlantic.

[abk_0710]

What areas would you say still need to watch for landfall? Should SELA be concerned?

[Blinhart]

What areas would you say still need to watch for landfall? Should SELA be concerned?

No where for landfall, it is dead,

[abk_0710]

Sorry I meant to post in the Laura thread!