ATL: LAURA - Models

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plasticup
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3981 Postby plasticup » Thu Aug 27, 2020 7:33 am



This "OFCL" guy seems pretty good. :wink:
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Kazmit
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3982 Postby Kazmit » Thu Aug 27, 2020 8:05 am

The HWRF was the winner of the models. Did a great job of intensity the whole way through Laura's life.
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3983 Postby BobHarlem » Thu Aug 27, 2020 9:49 pm

This is a good followup reasoning to counter all the "west" chatter that was going on a few days before landfall.

 https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1299034890969776128


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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3984 Postby toad strangler » Fri Aug 28, 2020 6:16 am

BobHarlem wrote:This is a good followup reasoning to counter all the "west" chatter that was going on a few days before landfall.

https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1299034890969776128



B I N G O!
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cheezyWXguy
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#3985 Postby cheezyWXguy » Fri Aug 28, 2020 3:00 pm

BobHarlem wrote:This is a good followup reasoning to counter all the "west" chatter that was going on a few days before landfall.

https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1299034890969776128

The thing is, for a time it wasn’t just one model. While the eps was the most consistent with the western track, the HMON had several runs in that direction as well. Then at one point or another, the euro deterministic, cmc, gefs and even gfs showed it. The difference is that the rest of these only had one or two runs showing it before they moved back. At that one time though, things did look a little dicey, and that’s why consistency is key.
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