ATL: OMAR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[BYG Jacob]

Yeah, back up to 30kt from 25kt. Under like 50-60kt of northerly shear. Dunno how

Shear is just a number

[supercane4867]

Not only that he's still alive, but also probably very close to becoming a TS again.

[aspen]

Not only that he's still alive, but also probably very close to becoming a TS again.

https://i.imgur.com/nRTrZv4.gif

I hope it becomes a TS again so we can actually get some ACE out of Omar’s persistence.

[AnnularCane]

Just die already!!!

Just for that, he's going to hang on even longer.

I'm starting to think the shear needs to just let up and give the poor little guy a break.

[us89]

NHC has pushed dissipation out to the 12-24 hour time frame.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Storm literally too angry to die.

[EquusStorm]

Ok yeah he definitely earned the name at this point.

[AxaltaRacing24]

is this the "long-tracker" you guys were asking for?

[EquusStorm]

is this the "long-tracker" you guys were asking for?

It's like the corrupt-a-wish game. "I want a long lived Atlantic storm to track this year!" "Granted! But uh, hey, remember Joyce from 2018?"

[TheStormExpert]

5am discussion wants to keep Omar alive the for at least the next 12hrs.

 https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack/status/1302085148087812098

[TheStormExpert]

Just die already!!!

Just for that, he's going to hang on even longer.

I'm starting to think the shear needs to just let up and give the poor little guy a break.

Yeah I probably jinxed it!

[us89]

It’s still hanging on...

Omar is barely a tropical cyclone. The center is completely exposed
to the north of a slowly shrinking area of sheared deep convection.
The initial intensity is held at 30 kt for this advisory. Omar
remains in an environment of northerly wind shear, dry air, and it
is headed toward cool waters. These conditions should cause Omar to
finally become a remnant low soon. Although the forecast shows the
system becoming a remnant low at 24 hours, it certainty could become
one at any time before then after its limited amount of deep
convection dissipates. Satellite images show an approaching cold
front about 300 n mi to the northwest of Omar. This front is
expected to merge with the system, causing Omar or its remnants to
become extratropical by Sunday afternoon.

[Shell Mound]

is this the "long-tracker" you guys were asking for?

The shutdown of international travel in the wake of COVID-19 has effectively rendered Omar a stateless citizen, wandering aimlessly over the cold North Atlantic...

I think the poor guy is feeling quite lonely out there. Someone should probably give him a ticket to the warmest basin. A nice warm bath could work some wonders.

To be fair, we have already seen a long-tracking, CV-type MH, a significant landfall to boot: Laura, which formed well out in the western part of the MDR. It counts.

[MarioProtVI]

Could Omar surprise us and live for quite a while? There have been surprise overperformers in the subtropics in recent years.

You sir, are an excellent predictor of the future

[ClarCari]

What’s the reasoning behind tropical depressions not considered for at least a tinnyyy bit of ACE since they are technically tropical cyclones?

I’m also curious what’s the longest lived tropical depression

[MarioProtVI]

And he’s finally gone. Hats off to a storm that lasted quite a bit longer then everyone thought and also put up a great fight against the blistering shear.

[TheStormExpert]

And he’s finally gone. Hats off to a storm that lasted quite a bit longer then everyone thought and also put up a great fight against the blistering shear.

I thought he’d never die!