ATL: WILFRED - Remnants - Discussion

[ElectricStorm]

23L WILFRED 200919 0000 12.5N 35.2W ATL 35 1008

[HurricaneEnzo]

Wilfred not looking so good right now. Might be on life support

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[ClarCari]

Yea I’m thinking this might have a better chance of dissipating into a remnant low and staying quite and low for a few days until it finds more favorable conditions more west and perhaps blow up into a disaster...

And nooooo! I’m not comparing to Harvey at all how silly of ya’ll to think that of me

[ElectricStorm]

...POORLY ORGANIZED WILFRED STILL A STORM...

Lol NHC is just done at this point

[wx98]

NHC taking copies from Storm2k:

...WOEFUL WILFRED HEADING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
5:00 AM AST Sat Sep 19
Location: 13.1°N 36.9°W
Moving: WNW at 17 mph
Min pressure: 1007 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph

[CrazyC83]

Literally, all he is doing is making our life miserable.

[Sciencerocks]

Literally, all he is doing is making our life miserable.

That's literally all 2020 is good at. Making life suck!

[Blinhart]

Ok, I haven't been paying attention to this one at all. I know NHC is expecting him to become a remnant low sooner or later, but are the models showing it regaining strength further down the road?

[us89]

Still hanging on...

...WILFRED CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 40.5W
ABOUT 1105 MI...1775 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1390 MI...2235 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

[ClarCari]

There doesn’t look like much of any dry air ahead of it for the next couple of days at least not from what I could tell?
Can’t speak on how much shear, but considering how persistent storms have survived both, even Beta right now still battling thru, I still see how this could be a concern down the line if it can survive somewhat even as a remnant low...

[wx98]

Looking at satellite, a huge plume of SAL is coming down the pike directly behind Wilfred. Probably one reason they dropped the chances on the wave behind it.

[StAuggy]

Looking at satellite, a huge plume of SAL is coming down the pike directly behind Wilfred. Probably one reason they dropped the chances on the wave behind it.

Any wave exiting lower on the coast shouldn’t be affected by that dry air from the map I just viewed. I’m curious about this wave at 9N 17W... seems like it’s in a great position for a shot at sliding across into the Caribbean.

[TheStormExpert]

 https://twitter.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1307683241843974144

[wx98]

Nearly dead:

...WILFRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...
11:00 AM AST Sun Sep 20
Location: 15.7°N 44.2°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 35 mph

[ElectricStorm]

Almost forgot this little guy was still out there

[SconnieCane]

Trend with Wilfred's "final" (remnant low) forecast point seems to be further S and W with each advisory...I wouldn't sleep on him just yet.

[cycloneye]

Bye.

...WILFRED DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 47.4W
ABOUT 1555 MI...2500 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 925 MI...1490 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

[Blinhart]

Bye.

...WILFRED DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 47.4W
ABOUT 1555 MI...2500 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 925 MI...1490 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

For now, if the trough of low pressure stays intact, it could regenerate in the Caribbean.

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

It's dead, Jim. (For now at least.)

[ElectricStorm]

See ya Wimpy Wilfred!