ATL: BETA - Remnants - Discussion

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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1001 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 22, 2020 10:01 am

Even more prominent in the lower levels.

Image
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1002 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Sep 22, 2020 10:24 am

Pretty crazy how much rain this has dropped despite its lack of deep convection. RadarScope storm totals show spots of 15-18” south of Houston
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1003 Postby mpic » Tue Sep 22, 2020 10:45 am

Is this still going to continue east? I'm in southeast Montgomery county and only had an inch in 2 days but looking at the flooding in Houston has me concerned.
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1004 Postby Shell Mound » Tue Sep 22, 2020 10:47 am

Ubuntwo wrote:36kt sustained gusting 46kt at Matagorda Bay Channel, elevated 12m.

think we found the TS winds :wink:

Does anyone have a NEXRAD screen capture or loop at the time of this reading? Nearby surface observations don’t seem to support such high winds.

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1308233531370373122


Last edited by Shell Mound on Tue Sep 22, 2020 11:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1005 Postby Storm Battered » Tue Sep 22, 2020 11:20 am

us89 wrote:Beta has now made landfall, according to the NHC:

...CENTER OF BETA CROSSES THE TEXAS COAST NEAR THE SOUTHERN END OF
MATAGORDA PENINSULA...

Surface observations received after the issuance of the previous
advisory indicate that Beta's center crossed the Texas coast near
the southern end of Matagorda Peninsula around 10 PM CDT.


That is the 10th tropical cyclone landfall on the continental US so far this year, and the 9th at TS intensity or greater. (In case you've forgotten, the others were Bertha, Cristobal, Fay, Hanna, Isaias, Marco, Laura, and Sally.)


What's the record for landfalls just in the Gulf?

So far, we've had:
TS Cristobal - Louisiana
Hurricane Hanna - Texas
Hurricane Laura (M) - Louisiana
Hurricane Marco - MS river
Hurricane Sally - Alabama
TS Beta - Texas
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1006 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 22, 2020 11:49 am

I guess they don't trust the dry air just yet.

 https://twitter.com/NWSWPC/status/1308436023928475650


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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1007 Postby Blinhart » Tue Sep 22, 2020 11:56 am

Ron Swanson wrote:
Blinhart wrote:Any chance that the big mess of storms south of New Orleans gets its own CoC??? I'm not impressed with the mess at the Center of Beta. I know there is significant flooding South of Houston, but still not that impressive.


Please discontinue downplaying anything and everything that doesn't hit in your area. That doesn't make unimpressive or less dangerous.

This seems to be a fairly consistent issue with your posts.


I wasn't downplaying the situation, just stating that this is not a very impressive system satellite and radar wise.
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1008 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 22, 2020 12:54 pm

Why isn't this damn thing moving?
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1009 Postby mpic » Tue Sep 22, 2020 12:58 pm

SoupBone wrote:Why isn't this damn thing moving?


Somebody forgot to program a speed button into the softfware.
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1010 Postby Ron Swanson » Tue Sep 22, 2020 1:37 pm

Blinhart wrote:
Ron Swanson wrote:
Blinhart wrote:Any chance that the big mess of storms south of New Orleans gets its own CoC??? I'm not impressed with the mess at the Center of Beta. I know there is significant flooding South of Houston, but still not that impressive.


Please discontinue downplaying anything and everything that doesn't hit in your area. That doesn't make unimpressive or less dangerous.

This seems to be a fairly consistent issue with your posts.


I wasn't downplaying the situation, just stating that this is not a very impressive system satellite and radar wise.


Respectfully disagree. Now back to Beta.
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1011 Postby Steve » Tue Sep 22, 2020 1:47 pm

It isn't very impressive and only ever has been briefly. But that shouldn't minimize hazards that it did and will bring. It's been grey/misty/drizzly here since about Friday or so. The only thing that saved SELA was that the heavier bands stayed offshore the last several days. And we're talking generally less than 100 miles. So for those who got caught under training bands, the rainfall is real. So was wind-driven coastal flooding. It was always a cool storm to follow though.

I also don’t want to minimize some of the historical nature. First Greek storm to landfall on the US. 6th Gulf landfall. Multiple-th storm west of 80/85/90W.

Currently it looks like it's beginning to decouple. The low-level center will probably stay farther behind the energy as it shears off slowly to the N and NE. I don't know if there comes a point where it no longer produces any rainfall, but we certainly aren't there yet. Center is pretty close to the coast and firing off a little. But we can see that the cloudtops aren't very cold on the IR.

Visible
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES1 ... 0x1000.gif

IR
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES1 ... 0x1000.gif
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1012 Postby Frank P » Tue Sep 22, 2020 2:47 pm

Well to me watching the LLC this afternoon it’s looks to be well intact and heading ESE towards the GOM, keeps this heading and will be back will be back in GOM tonight... it’s just ENE of Port Alto on radar, here is the center in red from the latest sat image.. pretty cool to watch a naked swirl regardless of where they’re located.

https://imgur.com/a/Q6F9A7w
Link to sat loop
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES1 ... 0x1000.gif
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1013 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:14 pm

Agree headed back to GOM. I think this should
be interesting since the NHC did not predict it.

Frank P wrote:Well to me watching the LLC this afternoon it’s looks to be well intact and heading ESE towards the GOM, keeps this heading and will be back will be back in GOM tonight... it’s just ENE of Port Alto on radar, here is the center in red from the latest sat image.. pretty cool to watch a naked swirl regardless of where they’re located.

https://imgur.com/a/Q6F9A7w
Link to sat loop
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES1 ... 0x1000.gif
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1014 Postby loon » Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:21 pm

A few of the models have hinted at going offshore in their latest runs. Will be interesting for sure.
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1015 Postby tiger_deF » Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:23 pm

The persistence of the storms this year despite facing some pretty huge SAL early on as well as vicious mid level shear has sure been something.
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1016 Postby Frank P » Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:35 pm

loon wrote:A few of the models have hinted at going offshore in their latest runs. Will be interesting for sure.

Euro hinted this yesterday I think...
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1017 Postby Frank P » Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:43 pm

If it keeps on it current heading and motion the full center should be back in the GOM in the next 3-4 hours at the most
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1018 Postby Frank P » Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:52 pm

NHC AT 4 pm issued last advisory on Beta...
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1019 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 22, 2020 4:51 pm

I know they said more rain tonight but both low and mid levels show dry air behind Beta. Are we done with rain?
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Re: ATL: BETA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1020 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 22, 2020 5:16 pm

Low Level:
Image


Mid Level:
Image
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