ATL: GAMMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[robbielyn]

Gamma still looks pretty good despite being over the Yucatan all day. Might intensify once over the GOM......MGC

i don’t think it will take too long to exit the yucatán either

[Hurricane Mike]

Evening update on Gamma
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_0sarxaE2k

[aspen]

Gamma still looks pretty good despite being over the Yucatan all day. Might intensify once over the GOM......MGC

i don’t think it will take too long to exit the yucatán either

It looks like it’s only a few hours (six at the most) from entering the Gulf. Gamma seems to be moving faster than anticipated, and it’s remained much better organized than expected despite going over land, so it could try to intensify again once it’s back over open water before shear and dry air try to kill it.

[lrak]

Nice symmetrical "pool ball look" right now. I wonder???

[TheStormExpert]

Yet another case of “If this has more time over water”. This has been a reoccurring theme this season where storms rapidly spin up just before landfall starting with Hanna.

Gamma could very well be upgraded to minimal Cat.1 status in post analysis, anyone else agree?

 https://twitter.com/stuostro/status/1312539602469748737

[ElectricStorm]

Yet another case of “If this has more time over water”. This has been a reoccurring theme this season where storms rapidly spin up just before landfall starting with Hanna.

Gamma could very well be upgraded to minimal Cat.1 status in post analysis, anyone else agree?

https://twitter.com/stuostro/status/1312539602469748737

Yeah I bet it will get the upgrade. Honestly I'm a little surprised they didn't pull the trigger today

[TheStormExpert]

Yet another case of “If this has more time over water”. This has been a reoccurring theme this season where storms rapidly spin up just before landfall starting with Hanna.

Gamma could very well be upgraded to minimal Cat.1 status in post analysis, anyone else agree?

https://twitter.com/stuostro/status/1312539602469748737

Yeah I bet it will get the upgrade. Honestly I'm a little surprised they didn't pull the trigger today

It had an eye-like feature so I’d be surprised if it doesn’t get upgraded.

[bob rulz]

Certainly looked significantly better than Nana.

[gfsperpendicular]

Almost over water again and pretty much intact:

[ScottNAtlanta]

I believe it is now offshore. It sure doesn't look much worse for being over land all day

[aspen]

The NHC is so uncertain with its intensity forecast, it’s kept Gamma at 50 kt throughout the entire 120 hour forecast period. This is the first time I’ve seen a constant intensity forecast.

[drezee]

West winds on N Mexico coast...someone is offshore

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ITIZIM2

[drezee]

 https://twitter.com/andretrotter/status/1312634884037500928

[xironman]

Sub 990 steering

[GCANE]

Much higher rain rate today than this time yesterday

[GCANE]

Back in the water

[GCANE]

Cold pool has warmed as expected.
However, the cold pool and warm core are vertically stacked and a large thermal gradient is present at mid level.

[GCANE]

Large and deepening warm-core feature

[GCANE]

Recon heading into Gamma

[GCANE]

Strong, high-CAPE infeed from the Loop Current.
CAPE increasing to the west of the CoC indicating no low-level dry-air entrainment yet.