Near the dateline
WPAC: INVEST 91W
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WPAC: INVEST 91W
91W.INVEST
Near the dateline
91W.INVEST.15kts.1006mb.5.5N.171E
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
Location matches EURO's and GFS's initialization. This was probrably Etau that was forecast to develop.
Now trending weaker.
Now trending weaker.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
I think it depends on where Atsani goes, if Atsani recurves it would absorb 91W but if Atsani goes west like towards the Philippines 91W could develop.
WWJP27 RJTD 291800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800.
WARNING VALID 301800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 170E WEST SLOWLY.
WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800.
WARNING VALID 301800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 170E WEST SLOWLY.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
Hayabusa wrote:I think it depends on where Atsani goes, if Atsani recurves it would absorb 91W but if Atsani goes west like towards the Philippines 91W could develop.WWJP27 RJTD 291800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800.
WARNING VALID 301800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 170E WEST SLOWLY.
This might be the next TC the GFS has been showing after Atsani.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
With recent runs from GFS towards at Atsani, 91W's chance of development has gone up based on those runs.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
The latest fix is near equatorial
91W INVEST 201030 0600 1.8N 168.0E WPAC 15 1009
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
EURO tracks the vorticity to the Marianas with little to no development.
GFS still develops it after passing the Marianas in 168 hours and landfalls in Luzon as a 986 mb typhoon.
GFS still develops it after passing the Marianas in 168 hours and landfalls in Luzon as a 986 mb typhoon.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
GFS has development in 162 hours and peak of 994 mb.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
This becomes a fast west runner after passing south of Marianas based on latest GFS
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
Weaker on the 06z run with a peak of 997 mb Luzon landfall compared to the 00z run which peaked it at 987 mb Visayas landfall.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
Vietnam all over again.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
There seems to be ensemble support even typhoon ones, anyway these 170+ knots ensembles for Goni are pretty
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
Interesting...
Could future Etau take advantage of this environment that was suppose to strengthen Atsani into a powerful typhoon but was sheared by the outflow of Goni...
Could future Etau take advantage of this environment that was suppose to strengthen Atsani into a powerful typhoon but was sheared by the outflow of Goni...
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
06z GFS peak 993 mb and makes a beeline for Northern Philippines.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
GFS persistent on this. Development in 144 hours and peaks at 993 mb in 168 hours. Close call for Taiwan.
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- mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
looking good so far - anticyclone is right above it giving it a nice radial outflow
Last edited by mrbagyo on Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
mrbagyo wrote:looking good so far - nice radial outflow
That is the most organized system we've seen all year this far east...
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- 1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
SCATSAT and ASCAT seem to show a SW to NE oriented surface trough with 91W at the top of the trough axis nearish 8ºN, 161ºE, kind of like your typical easterly wave. There aren't really and low latitude westerlies to help consolidate the invest, but if it can keep generating convection atop the trough axis where convergence is best, it has a shot. Might be a slow process though.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
Really just kind of enjoying watching the convection evolution with this one. There's some good inflow coming in from the SE, but doesn't look like there is much going on as far as organization at the moment.
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W
Not sure if this is still the same invest the GFS is developing after 72 hours, but GFS 18Z still makes a run for 91W in tropicaltdibits, also best track hasn't been updated since 12Z, but that also happened when Atsani was still 90W.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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