ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[PandaCitrus]

What is the timing on this? Any possibility this will cause a problem on election day?

[Hurricaneman]

What is the timing on this? Any possibility this will cause a problem on election day?

No problem for Election day but after that is when to watch

[TheStormExpert]

Here’s all the Tropical Storms and Hurricanes to strike Florida in November, not many!

 https://twitter.com/hurricanemanwx/status/1321957921400459273

[Nancy Smar]

AL, 96, 2020103000, , BEST, 0, 123N, 622W, 20, 1008, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 100, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 063, SPAWNINVEST, al712020 to al962020,

[Blown Away]

Here’s all the Tropical Storms and Hurricanes to strike Florida in November, not many!

https://twitter.com/hurricanemanwx/status/1321957921400459273

If the 1935 Yankee hurricane happened again, can you imagine the chaos trying to believe the models sending a storm SW into Florida from near Bermuda.

[SFLcane]

Wow this is VERY impressive. This will be a TD within 24hrs

[ouragans]

AL, 96, 2020103000, , BEST, 0, 123N, 622W, 20, 1008, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 100, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 063, SPAWNINVEST, al712020 to al962020,

12.3N 62.2W matches the current location instead of 78.0W

[cycloneye]

AL, 96, 2020103000, , BEST, 0, 123N, 622W, 20, 1008, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 100, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 063, SPAWNINVEST, al712020 to al962020,

Thank you for bringing the correct position one.

[cycloneye]

AL, 96, 2020103000, , BEST, 0, 123N, 622W, 20, 1008, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 100, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 063, SPAWNINVEST, al712020 to al962020,

12.3N 62.2W matches the current location instead of 78.0W

The initial one was wrong.

[TheStormExpert]

Here’s all the Tropical Storms and Hurricanes to strike Florida in November, not many!

https://twitter.com/hurricanemanwx/status/1321957921400459273

If the 1935 Yankee hurricane happened again, can you imagine the chaos trying to believe the models sending a storm SW into Florida from near Bermuda.

It’s kind of like that one run from October 16th of the GFS-P sending pre-Zeta from east to west then back east.

[GCANE]

GFS is showing ideal conditions for supporting a very strong TC when this gets close to Honduras.
TPW, RH, CAPE all at very high levels.
Will be in the middle of a very large anticyclone with big updraft.
They way this is developing and how it would track, could be the strongest TC of the season.
Reminds me of Wilma.

[Keldeo1997]

GFS is showing ideal conditions for supporting a very strong TC when this gets close to Honduras.
TPW, RH, CAPE all at very high levels.
Will be in the middle of a very large anticyclone with big updraft.
They way this is developing and how it would track, could be the strongest TC of the season.
Reminds me of Wilma.

2020 really doesn't want to give up the CAT 5 streak lol.

[sma10]

wow take a look at radr out of the islands.. expect a possible TD in the next 24 hours..
https://www.rainviewer.com/map.html?loc ... &sm=0&sn=0" width="100%" frameborder="0" style="border:0;height:50vh;" allowfullscreen></iframe>

So unusual for a developing wave in that area to be moving nearly due west this time of year

[SconnieCane]

GFS is showing ideal conditions for supporting a very strong TC when this gets close to Honduras.
TPW, RH, CAPE all at very high levels.
Will be in the middle of a very large anticyclone with big updraft.
They way this is developing and how it would track, could be the strongest TC of the season.
Reminds me of Wilma.

Thought that was gonna happen with Delta but then that unexpected mid-level shear showed up. Once again, all we can say is the potential is there...

[SFLcane]

wow take a look at radr out of the islands.. expect a possible TD in the next 24 hours..
https://www.rainviewer.com/map.html?loc ... &sm=0&sn=0" width="100%" frameborder="0" style="border:0;height:50vh;" allowfullscreen></iframe>

So unusual for a developing wave in that area to be moving nearly due west this time of year

That’s that climo...

[Aric Dunn]

wow take a look at radr out of the islands.. expect a possible TD in the next 24 hours..
https://www.rainviewer.com/map.html?loc ... &sm=0&sn=0" width="100%" frameborder="0" style="border:0;height:50vh;" allowfullscreen></iframe>

So unusual for a developing wave in that area to be moving nearly due west this time of year

eastern carrib even in peak season is rare.

this has towers developing and starting wrap to the west ans SW side now.
LLC is quickly trying to develop.

[sma10]

Here’s all the Tropical Storms and Hurricanes to strike Florida in November, not many!

https://twitter.com/hurricanemanwx/status/1321957921400459273

Anyone around here remember 1994 Gordon? Wasn't that strong, but was a crazy zig zag of a thing

[SFLcane]

wow take a look at radr out of the islands.. expect a possible TD in the next 24 hours..
https://www.rainviewer.com/map.html?loc ... &sm=0&sn=0" width="100%" frameborder="0" style="border:0;height:50vh;" allowfullscreen></iframe>

So unusual for a developing wave in that area to be moving nearly due west this time of year

eastern carrib even in peak season is rare.

this has towers developing and starting wrap to the west ans SW side now.
LLC is quickly trying to develop.

https://i.ibb.co/YccSRh3/ezgif-com-gif-maker-28.gif

This will develop way before reaching the western Caribbean.

[Laminar]

What is the timing on this? Any possibility this will cause a problem on election day?

In my country, yes. We vote on the 11th.

[CrazyC83]

wow take a look at radr out of the islands.. expect a possible TD in the next 24 hours..
https://www.rainviewer.com/map.html?loc ... &sm=0&sn=0" width="100%" frameborder="0" style="border:0;height:50vh;" allowfullscreen></iframe>

So unusual for a developing wave in that area to be moving nearly due west this time of year

eastern carrib even in peak season is rare.

this has towers developing and starting wrap to the west ans SW side now.
LLC is quickly trying to develop.

https://i.ibb.co/YccSRh3/ezgif-com-gif-maker-28.gif

Tomas 2010 developed in that area, although a bit farther east.